FC Porto vs Arouca Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
FC Porto vs Arouca: the result in context
FC Porto beat Arouca 2-0 in the Primeira Liga on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Porto had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Arouca.
FC Porto have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
FC Porto
Avg ratingAvg rating
C99D. Costa
20A. Costa
5J. Bednarek
4J. Kiwior
12Zaidu
8V. Froholdt
13P. Rosario
10G. Veiga
7W. Gomes
19A. Silva
11Pepê
12I. De Arruabarrena
C28T. Esgaio
15J. Sanchez
3J. Fontan
18O. Lebedenko
6E. van Ee
8T. Fukui
19A. Trezza
14H. Lee
7N. Djouahra
17I. BarberoFC Porto Substitutes
Arouca Substitutes
Match Stats
FC PortoArouca Team Comparison
FC PortoAroucaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
FC Porto- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Arouca- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
FC Porto8Wins · 80%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
27/02/2026FC PortoArouca29/09/2025AroucaFC Porto01/03/2025AroucaFC Porto29/09/2024FC PortoArouca12/02/2024AroucaFC Porto03/09/2023FC PortoArouca08/05/2023AroucaFC Porto
11/01/2023FC PortoArouca28/12/2022FC PortoArouca06/02/2022AroucaFC PortoRecent Form
FC Porto
Rio AveFC PortoFC Porto
AlvercaFC Porto
TorreenseFC Porto
Aston VillaFC Porto
Santa Clara
AVSFC PortoFC PortoAlverca
EstrelaFC PortoFC Porto
Sporting CPFC Porto
TondelaAroucaArouca
Moreirense
GuimaraesArouca
Lusitânia LourosaAroucaSanta ClaraArouca
FamalicaoArouca
FeirenseAroucaRio AveAroucaAroucaTondela
GIL VicenteAroucaAroucaSanta ClaraReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.81 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).
Cards come from 180 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 25:4 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | +12 | 21 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 21 | WLWDW |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | +3 | 20 | WWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Moreirense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 14 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 10 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15:19 | -4 | 10 | LLLLD |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 | LLWLD |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5:19 | -14 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 10 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 10 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 10 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 9 | Alverca | 9 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 10 | SC Braga | 9 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 10 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 10 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 10 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 10 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 5:19 | 2 |
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About the FC Porto vs Arouca forecast
The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Porto and Arouca in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, FC Porto are 1st and Arouca 5th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Porto 25-4, Arouca 13-7. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Arouca have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.