Sporting CP vs Alverca Prediction

Sporting CP
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Alverca
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon·Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 9.5
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Sporting CP Rest
8 days
Alverca Rest
7 days

Sporting CP vs Alverca: result, form and history

Sporting CP beat Alverca 3-1 in the Primeira Liga on 22 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sporting CP had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Alverca.

Sporting CP have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game. Referee Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo averages 5.86 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
80%1.20
X
18%6.60
2
2%12.50
Double Chance
1X
98%1.03
X2
20%4.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.03
No
45%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.18 + 0.77 = 2.95
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.48
Over 3.5
33%2.25
Under 1.5
17%5.25
Under 2.5
40%2.57
Under 3.5
67%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.6 + 3.1 = 10.7
Over 8.5
75%1.42
Over 9.5
65%1.72
Over 10.5
57%2.10
Under 8.5
25%2.55
Under 9.5
35%2.00
Under 10.5
43%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.9 = 4.7
Over 3.5
65%1.33
Over 4.5
45%1.80
Under 3.5
35%2.75
Under 4.5
55%1.92

Match Events

2'M. Araujo
16'Y. BojangHolding
22'G. CatamoTripping
39'D. GuiTripping
55'Matheus MendesOG
56'Rayan Lucas INA. Vidigal out
56'V. Semedo INS. J. Merheg out
60'L. SuarezAssist: G. Catamo
66'Chissumba INM. Essimi out
68'G. Catamo INLuis Guilherme out
68'F. Goncalves INN. Irankunda out
75'M. EssimiHolding
75'Ian Luccas INV. Moreira out
75'D. Gui INZ. Kassary out
75'Z. Debast INE. Quaresma out
75'L. Suarez INR. Nel out
88'R. Zalazar INPedro Lima out
89'FigueiredoAssist: V. Moreira

Lineups

Sporting CP
4-2-3-1Coach: Rui Borges
Alverca
3-4-2-1Coach: Sergio Ferreira
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.35
Rui Silva6.61R. Silva
Iván Fresneda6.322I. Fresneda
Zeno Debast6.96Z. Debast
Ibrahima Ba6.655I. Ba
Maximiliano AraújoC7.720M. Araújo
Sergi Altimira7.25S. Altimira
Issa Doumbia6.777I. Doumbia
Geny Catamo7.010G. Catamo
Flávio Gonçalves6.758F. Gonçalves
Rodrigo Zalazar6.317R. Zalazar
Luis Javier Suárez6.397L. Javier Suárez
Matheus Mendes6.231M. Mendes
Steven Baseya6.314S. Baseya
Yaya Bojang6.34Y. Bojang
Isaac James6.212I. James
Nabil Touaizi6.22N. Touaizi
Davy Gui6.26D. Gui
Rayan Lucas6.535R. Lucas
Francisco Chissumba6.255F. Chissumba
Ian Luccas6.325I. Luccas
FigueiredoC7.222Figueiredo
Vivaldo6.39Vivaldo

Sporting CP Substitutes

12João Virgínia
13Georgios Vagiannidis
72Eduardo Quaresma75'for Z. Debast
25Gonçalo Inácio
50Rodrigo Dias
73Eduardo Felicíssimo
31Luís Guilherme68'for G. Catamo
21Pedro Lima88'for R. Zalazar
4Silas Andersen
28Jesse Derry
9Rafael Nel75'for L. Suarez
19Nestory Irankunda68'for F. Goncalves

Alverca Substitutes

23André Paulo
91Jhonatan
15Ikker dos Santos
21Sergi Gómez
20Diogo Spencer
19Marco Essimi66'for Chissumba75'
18Zakaria Kassary75'for D. Gui
8Vasco Moreira75'for Ian Luccas
7André Vidigal56'for Rayan Lucas
11Cédric Nuozzi
27Toni Tamarit
17Samy Jr Merheg56'for V. Semedo

Match Stats

Sporting CPAlverca
59%Ball Possession41%
3Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box6
7Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots2
13Fouls17
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves5
611Total Passes414
541Passes Accurate339
89%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Sporting CPSporting CP
AlvercaAlverca
1793Elo Rating 1626
1.81Attack 1.37
1.88Defense 2.39
64%Hit Rate 50%
20.6Shots per Game 13.8
6.6Shots on Target 4.2
6.2Corners per Game 3.5
1.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+167 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sporting CPSporting CP
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AlvercaAlverca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Sporting CPSporting CP3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
AlvercaAlverca1Wins · 25%
3.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga22/03/2026
AlvercaSporting CP
14
Primeira Liga31/10/2025
Sporting CPAlverca
20
Taça da Liga28/10/2025
Sporting CPAlverca
51
Taça de Portugal17/10/2019
AlvercaSporting CP
20

Recent Form

Sporting CPSporting CP
8W1D1L
14/08/2026
Sporting CPVitória SC
32
W
08/08/2026
EstrelaSporting CP
22
D
31/07/2026
Sporting CPNottingham Forest
41
W
25/07/2026
Sporting CPMonaco
20
W
20/07/2026
Sporting CPStrasbourg
70
W
14/07/2026
Sporting CPCeltic
41
W
24/05/2026
Sporting CPTorreense
1121
L
16/05/2026
Sporting CPGIL Vicente
30
W
11/05/2026
Rio AveSporting CP
14
W
04/05/2026
Sporting CPGuimaraes
51
W
AlvercaAlverca
4W2D4L
15/08/2026
AlvercaEstrela
22
D
09/08/2026
FC PortoAlverca
20
L
01/08/2026
AlvercaSporting CP B
10
W
25/07/2026
MafraAlverca
10
L
22/07/2026
AlvercaEstoril
20
W
17/07/2026
AlvercaCF Os Belenenses
21
W
16/05/2026
FamalicaoAlverca
10
L
10/05/2026
AlvercaEstoril
11
D
02/05/2026
FC PortoAlverca
10
L
24/04/2026
AlvercaArouca
21
W

Referee Profile

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo226 matches

5.86Cards per match
5.60Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
28.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo5.86
Other referees5.34

5.86 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.34).

Cards come from 168 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto10100025:4+2130WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica971126:8+1822WWLWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP1063123:11+1221WLWDD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1063115:6+921WLWDW
5AroucaArouca1062213:7+620WWWDL
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1062215:12+320WWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8MoreirenseMoreirense1042413:17-414WWLDW
9AlvercaAlverca932413:13011LWWWL
10SC BragaSC Braga93249:11-211LLLDW
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314:11+310WLWDD
12EstrelaEstrela1024415:19-410LLLLD
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
14MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
15NacionalNacional1021710:19-97LWLLL
16Rio AveRio Ave102179:23-147LLWLD
17Casa PiaCasa Pia102175:19-147LWLWL
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1025:430
2BenficaBenfica926:822
3Sporting CPSporting CP1023:1121
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1015:621
5AroucaArouca1013:720
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1015:1220
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente98:714
8MoreirenseMoreirense1013:1714
9AlvercaAlverca913:1311
10SC BragaSC Braga99:1111
11FamalicaoFamalicao914:1110
12EstrelaEstrela1015:1910
13Vitória SCVitória SC910:108
14MaritimoMaritimo109:218
15NacionalNacional1010:197
16Rio AveRio Ave109:237
17Casa PiaCasa Pia105:197
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Sporting CP vs Alverca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sporting CP and Alverca in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, Sporting CP are 3rd and Alverca 9th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting CP 23-11, Alverca 13-13. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sporting CP have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.