FC Krasnodar vs Fakel Prediction

CupRussia Russia · Group Stage - 4
FC Krasnodar
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Fakel
Ozon Arena, Krasnodar·Matvey Zaika 13/10/2026
FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
0-2
Finished
FakelFakel

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.37
SignalHIGHModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
FC Krasnodar Rest
3 days
Fakel Rest
3 days

FC Krasnodar vs Fakel: the result in context

Fakel beat FC Krasnodar 2-0 in the Cup on 13 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.37
X
16%4.95
2
10%8.40
Double Chance
1X
90%1.08
X2
26%3.09
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'Aleksandr Koksharov
28'Stanislav Magkeev INClayton Sampaio Pereira out
32'Valentin Paltsev(Penalty missed)
42'Albert Gabaraev
46'Darko Todorovic INAnton Kovalev out
46'Joao Batxi INJhon Cordoba out
46'Valentin Paltsev INSergey Petrov out
61'Aleksandr Koksharov INMaksim Turishchev out
61'Belajdi Pusi INAxel Gnapi out
62'Dmitriy Vorobyov INChristian out
63'Efim Burkin INDaniil Utkin out
63'Magomed Ozdoev INAleksandr Chernikov out
69'Abdula Bagamaev
75'Ilnur Alshin INHodaifa El Mhassani out
81'Maksim Turishchev
86'Aleksey Sutormin
88'Abdula Bagamaev

Lineups

FC Krasnodar
4-3-3Coach: M. Musaev
Fakel
3-4-3Coach: Oleg Vasilenko
A. Koryakin16A. Koryakin
V. Paltsev17V. Paltsev
Vítor Tormena3V. Tormena
M. Rodríguez2M. Rodríguez
A. Khmarin59A. Khmarin
Kevin Pina6K. Pina
E. Burkin27E. Burkin
M. Ozdoev21M. Ozdoev
J. Boselli23J. Boselli
D. Vorobjev10D. Vorobjev
Batxi11Batxi
I. Obukhov96I. Obukhov
A. Gabaraev5A. Gabaraev
S. Magkeev27S. Magkeev
M. Bardachev53M. Bardachev
D. Todorović55D. Todorović
A. Bagamaev8A. Bagamaev
R. Netfullin52R. Netfullin
I. Alshin10I. Alshin
A. Sutormin11A. Sutormin
B. Pusi19B. Pusi
A. Koksharov90A. Koksharov

FC Krasnodar Substitutes

1S. Agkatsev
98S. Petrov46'for Valentin Paltsev
15L. Olaza
5Jubal
40I. Vakhania
53A. Chernikov63'for Magomed Ozdoev
47D. Utkin63'for Efim Burkin
18Christian62'for Dmitriy Vorobyov
9J. Córdoba46'for Joao Batxi
29E. Guseynov

Fakel Substitutes

9A. Gnapi Dable61'for Belajdi Pusi
7M. Turishchev61'for Aleksandr Koksharov81'
18K. Simonov
17A. Kovalev46'for Darko Todorovic
23V. Yakimov
97B. Magomedov
22H. El Mahasni75'for Ilnur Alshin
44Y. Zhuravlev
40Clayton28'for Stanislav Magkeev
1D. Frolkin
35V. Dorovskikh

Match Stats

FC KrasnodarFakel
62%Ball Possession38%
5Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards4
16Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
FakelFakel
1676Elo Rating 1478
1.34Attack 1.28
1.01Defense 1.31
0%Hit Rate 50%
17.1Shots per Game 11.6
6.3Shots on Target 3.6
4.8Corners per Game 4.9
2.2Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+199 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FakelFakel
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar3Wins · 38%
Draws562%
FakelFakel0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Cup01/09/2026
FakelFC Krasnodar
3141
Premier League02/08/2026
FC KrasnodarFakel
32
Premier League30/03/2025
FC KrasnodarFakel
50
Premier League04/08/2024
FakelFC Krasnodar
00
Premier League19/04/2024
KrasnodarFakel Voronezh
20
Premier League25/08/2023
Fakel VoronezhKrasnodar
00
Premier League05/11/2022
Fakel VoronezhKrasnodar
33
Premier League17/07/2022
KrasnodarFakel Voronezh
22

Recent Form

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
6W3D1L
10/10/2026
FC KrasnodarZenit
23
L
17/09/2026
FC OrenburgFC Krasnodar
00
D13/09/2026
FC KrasnodarAkron
11
D05/09/2026
Krylia SovetovFC Krasnodar
22
D
01/09/2026
FakelFC Krasnodar
3141
W
29/08/2026
FC KrasnodarFC Rostov
10
W23/08/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaFC Krasnodar
01
W
19/08/2026
DynamoFC Krasnodar
01
W
15/08/2026
FC KrasnodarAkhmat
10
W09/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
12
W
FakelFakel
1W2D7L
10/10/2026
FakelLokomotiv
05
L
03/10/2026
FakelFC Vitebsk
10
W
16/09/2026
Spartak MoscowFakel
10
L12/09/2026
FakelBaltika
22
D
05/09/2026
FC RostovFakel
31
L
01/09/2026
FakelFC Krasnodar
3141
L
29/08/2026
FakelZenit
01
L
22/08/2026
FakelFC Orenburg
00
D
18/08/2026
AkhmatFakel
21
L
15/08/2026
CSKA MoscowFakel
10
L

Explore more predictions

This match

All predictions

About the FC Krasnodar vs Fakel forecast

The forecasts for this Cup match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Cup

More Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.