FC Porto B vs União de Leiria Prediction

Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes, Vila Nova de Gaia·Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.24
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.0%
FC Porto B Rest
15 days
União de Leiria Rest
8 days

FC Porto B vs União de Leiria: the result in context

FC Porto B and União de Leiria drew 1-1 in the Segunda Liga on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. União de Leiria tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 1.5 for FC Porto B.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.80
X
29%3.39
2
47%1.91
Double Chance
1X
53%1.80
X2
76%1.24
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.80
No
48%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.37 = 2.46
Over 1.5
71%1.29
Over 2.5
48%1.95
Over 3.5
27%3.40
Under 1.5
29%3.30
Under 2.5
52%1.79
Under 3.5
73%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'Joao·Teixeira INTiago Gonçalves da Silva out
25'Kauê Rodrigues Pessanha(Penalty)
34'Jose Pedro Barros Goncalves
42'Tharlley Oliveira Da Silva
46'Tharlley Oliveira Da Silva INKouassi Eboue out
46'Duarte Cunha INAndré Miranda out
69'Yoan Pereira INMartim cunha out
69'Eduardo Ferreira INMame Alassane Niang out
70'Pablo Fernandez INDiogo Martins out
70'Juan Muñoz INJair silva da goncalves out
74'jaiminho INJosé Nabil Ondo Onva Adjugu out
74'Hugo Masaki INMarc Baró out
76'Ibrahima Kalil·Guirassy
81'Kauê Rodrigues Pessanha
81'Kauê Rodrigues Pessanha INGonçalo Lemos Oliveira out
84'Mame Alassane Niang
90'Dinis
90+2'José Nabil Ondo Onva Adjugu
90+6'(Penalty missed)

Lineups

FC Porto B
4-2-3-1Coach: João Brandão
União de Leiria
4-4-2Coach: Fábio Pereira
J. Afonso50J. Afonso
7676Dinis
Luís Gomes64L. Gomes
Tiago Ferreira93T. Ferreira
Y. Pereira55Y. Pereira
João Pedro Moreira Teixeira92J. Pedro Moreira Teixeira
Kauê56Kauê
Gabriel Veron97G. Veron
Mateus Mide89M. Mide
Duarte Cunha57D. Cunha
E. Ferreira53E. Ferreira
J. Odehnal99J. Odehnal
Maga68Maga
Marcelo44Marcelo
Zé Pedro16Z. Pedro
H. Masaki70H. Masaki
Jaime21Jaime
Ibrahima98Ibrahima
1818T. Oliveira Da Silva
Pablo Fernández17P. Fernández
D. Loppy29D. Loppy
Juan Muñoz9J. Muñoz

FC Porto B Substitutes

72André Miranda46'for Duarte Cunha
54António Ribeiro
2Hjalte Froholdt
84Martim Cunha69'for Yoan Pereira
70Eirik Granaas
82Gonçalo Lemos Oliveira81'replaced by Kauê Rodrigues Pessanha
47Cardoso Varela
41G. Silva
91Gonçalo Ribeiro
63salvador gomes
46M. Alassane Niang69'for Eduardo Ferreira84'
58T. Silva18'for Joao·Teixeira

União de Leiria Substitutes

79Pedro Oliveira
80Christian Joel
3Marc Baró74'for Hugo Masaki
11Jair da Silva42'46'for Kouassi Eboue70'for Juan Muñoz
7Jose Adjugu74'for jaiminho90+2'
88Diogo Martins70'for Pablo Fernandez
25Diogo Amado
8Reko
6E. Kouassi46'replaced by Tharlley Oliveira Da Silva
42Tomas Caturra
34Quilma
4Leo Mascaró

Match Stats

FC Porto BUnião de Leiria
3Yellow Cards4

Team Comparison

FC Porto BFC Porto B
União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
1472Elo Rating 1563
1.14Attack 1.40
1.19Defense 1.94
41%Hit Rate 61%
6.9Shots per Game 18.2
5.1Shots on Target 5.8
1.5Corners per Game 6.7
3.3Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend83% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC Porto BFC Porto B
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

FC Porto BFC Porto B1Wins · 17%
Draws466%
União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria1Wins · 17%
2.3Avg Goals
83%Both teams scored5 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Segunda Liga15/02/2026
União de LeiriaFC Porto B
22
Segunda Liga14/09/2025
FC Porto BUnião de Leiria
12
Segunda Liga09/02/2025
União de LeiriaFC Porto B
00
Segunda Liga01/09/2024
FC Porto BUnião de Leiria
11
Segunda Liga03/02/2024
União de LeiriaFC Porto B
11
Segunda Liga27/08/2023
FC Porto BUnião de Leiria
21

Recent Form

FC Porto BFC Porto B
3W2D5L
10/10/2026
LeixoesFC Porto B
12
W
14/09/2026
FC Porto BVizela
22
D
05/09/2026
TondelaFC Porto B
30
L
30/08/2026
FC Porto BPenafiel
03
L
24/08/2026
FeirenseFC Porto B
01
W
16/08/2026
FC Porto BFarense
13
L
10/08/2026
Lusitânia LourosaFC Porto B
20
L
29/07/2026
Lusitânia LourosaFC Porto B
33
D
25/07/2026
FC Porto BAcademica
13
L
15/05/2026
FC Porto BBenfica B
20
W
União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
5W1D4L
17/10/2026
União de LeiriaBragança
21
W
11/10/2026
União de LeiriaAcademica
02
L
19/09/2026
O ElvasUnião de Leiria
02
W
13/09/2026
AmaranteUnião de Leiria
22
D
06/09/2026
União de LeiriaPortimonense
10
W
28/08/2026
União de LeiriaTondela
20
W
22/08/2026
LeixoesUnião de Leiria
24
W
15/08/2026
União de LeiriaBenfica B
12
L
09/08/2026
VizelaUnião de Leiria
10
L
28/07/2026
Las PalmasUnião de Leiria
32
L

Referee Profile

Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe60 matches

4.93Cards per match
4.80Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luis Carlos Mateus Filipe4.93
Other referees5.15

4.93 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.15).

Cards come from 15 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa853014:7+718DDWWW
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B860213:6+718WWLWW
3PenafielPenafiel851218:8+1016WLWWW
4AcademicaAcademica850314:10+415WWLLL
5FarenseFarense842214:10+414LWWDL
6Benfica BBenfica B84228:5+314DWWLL
7AVSAVS833210:8+212WWDLW
8TondelaTondela84049:8+112LWWWL
9VizelaVizela83238:8011LLDWW
10União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria832311:10+111DLDWW
11LeixoesLeixoes83149:12-310LLDWW
12PortimonensePortimonense83146:10-410LWLLL
13TorreenseTorreense82338:10-29WLDWL
14ChavesChaves82248:15-78WDLWL
15FC Porto BFC Porto B82247:15-88DWDLL
16Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193281437:9-27DLLLW
17AmaranteAmarante81256:11-55LLDLW
18FeirenseFeirense80262:10-82DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa814:718
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B813:618
3PenafielPenafiel818:816
4AcademicaAcademica814:1015
5FarenseFarense814:1014
6Benfica BBenfica B88:514
7AVSAVS810:812
8TondelaTondela89:812
9VizelaVizela88:811
10União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria811:1011
11LeixoesLeixoes89:1210
12PortimonensePortimonense86:1010
13TorreenseTorreense88:109
14ChavesChaves88:158
15FC Porto BFC Porto B87:158
16Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193287:97
17AmaranteAmarante86:115
18FeirenseFeirense82:102
PromotionRelegation

About the FC Porto B vs União de Leiria forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Porto B and União de Leiria in the Segunda Liga table

In the Segunda Liga table, União de Leiria are 10th and FC Porto B 15th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Porto B 7-15, União de Leiria 11-10. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.