Farense vs Penafiel Prediction

Farense
1-4
Finished
HT 0-3
Penafiel
Estádio de São Luís, Faro·Anzhony Rodrigues 24/10/2026
FarenseFarense
1-4
Finished
PenafielPenafiel

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Farense Rest
7 days
Penafiel Rest
6 days

Farense vs Penafiel: result, form and history

Penafiel beat Farense 4-1 in the Segunda Liga on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Anzhony Rodrigues averages 4.63 cards a game, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.94
X
30%3.29
2
25%3.70
Double Chance
1X
75%1.24
X2
55%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.84
No
50%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1 = 2.36
Over 1.5
70%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.05
Over 3.5
25%3.73
Under 1.5
30%3.04
Under 2.5
55%1.72
Under 3.5
75%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Ricardo SchutteAssist: João Pinto
6'Pedro Sá
8'Nelson Oliveira
11'Ricardo Schutte
14'Juanda Fuentes
38'Joao·Resende
45+3'Claudio Falcão
46'Juanda Fuentes INfrancisco varela out
46'Claudio Falcão INJoseph N'Duquidi out
46'Nelson Oliveira INBruno Miguel Vicente dos Santos out
46'Joao·Resende INGabriel Barbosa out
55'Sarpreet Singh
62'toni herrero INDerick Poloni out
62'Sarpreet Singh INMiguel menino out
65'André Candeias
67'Ricardo Schutte INAntonio David Álvarez Rey out
78'Joseph N'Duquidi
83'Jaime Sánchez INJoao Miguel out
83'Max Svensson INClaudio Mendes out
87'Claudio Mendes
90+1'João Pinto INTomás Teixeira out
90+2'Alex Pinto

Lineups

Farense
4-3-3Coach: José Faria
Penafiel
3-4-3Coach: José Manuel Aira
F. Buntić97F. Buntić
Alex Pinto78A. Pinto
N. Zolotić44N. Zolotić
Gonçalo Silva37G. Silva
Toni Herrero22T. Herrero
Mattheus Oliveira27M. Oliveira
Cláudio Falcão29C. Falcão
S. Singh10S. Singh
André Candeias17A. Candeias
Nélson Oliveira11N. Oliveira
João Resende7J. Resende
Miguel Oliveira1M. Oliveira
Jaime Sánchez5J. Sánchez
Adrián Pica6A. Pica
Iano Imbene2I. Imbene
Ricardo Schutte33R. Schutte
Pedro Sá21P. Sá
Cláudio Silva3C. Silva
Douglas Borel7D. Borel
João Pinto17J. Pinto
Max Svensson9M. Svensson
J. Fuentes11J. Fuentes

Farense Substitutes

18Bruno Santos46'for Nelson Oliveira
9Gabriel Barbosa46'for Joao·Resende
88Rafael Teixeira
15J. Diazongua Nfinigui46'for Claudio Falcão78'
8Miguel Menino62'for Sarpreet Singh
43Dário Miranda
6Derick Poloni62'for toni herrero
5Rodrigo Borges
3Lucas D'Agrella
1J. Tånnander
19Leonardo Oliveira
70Victor

Penafiel Substitutes

99Claudio83'for Max Svensson87'
4João Miguel83'for Jaime Sánchez
14Jorge Meré
64Tiago Sampaio
38M. Ramon
50Francisco Varela46'for Juanda Fuentes
79Tomás Teixeira90+1'replaced by João Pinto
85Carlinhos Augusto
10Davo67'for Ricardo Schutte
13Eric Puerto
23Duarte Oliveira
28Tiago Ribeiro

Match Stats

FarensePenafiel
61%Ball Possession39%
8Corner Kicks1
4Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
14Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal9
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

FarenseFarense
PenafielPenafiel
1566Elo Rating 1567
2.15Attack 1.89
1.73Defense 1.81
73%Hit Rate 58%
13.1Shots per Game 20.7
6.7Shots on Target 7.9
7.8Corners per Game 3.9
3.3Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FarenseFarense
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
PenafielPenafiel
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

FarenseFarense3Wins · 50%
Draws350%
PenafielPenafiel0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Segunda Liga07/03/2026
PenafielFarense
11
Segunda Liga26/10/2025
FarensePenafiel
00
Segunda Liga22/04/2023
FarensePenafiel
21
Segunda Liga05/11/2022
PenafielFarense
02
Segunda Liga19/03/2022
PenafielFarense
13
Segunda Liga01/11/2021
FarensePenafiel
22

Recent Form

FarenseFarense
6W2D2L
17/10/2026
FarenseAD Marco 09
30
W
11/10/2026
FarenseFeirense
21
W
04/10/2026
FarenseChaves
40
W
20/09/2026
SacavenenseFarense
01
W
13/09/2026
AVSFarense
00
D
30/08/2026
Sporting CP BFarense
21
L
24/08/2026
FarenseFelgueiras 1932
11
D
16/08/2026
FC Porto BFarense
13
W
09/08/2026
FarenseTorreense
21
W
01/08/2026
FarenseFulham
12
L
PenafielPenafiel
5W1D4L
17/10/2026
PenafielLeça
01
L
09/10/2026
PenafielAVS
12
L
19/09/2026
OliveirensePenafiel
12
W
12/09/2026
Felgueiras 1932Penafiel
12
W
05/09/2026
PenafielAcademica
41
W
30/08/2026
FC Porto BPenafiel
03
W
23/08/2026
PenafielSporting CP B
20
W
15/08/2026
TorreensePenafiel
22
D
08/08/2026
PenafielPortimonense
01
L
24/07/2026
PenafielLeganes
02
L

Referee Profile

Anzhony Rodrigues93 matches

4.63Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Anzhony Rodrigues4.63
Other referees5.28

4.63 cards a match, 0.65 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.28).

Cards come from 38 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa853014:7+718DDWWW
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B860213:6+718WWLWW
3PenafielPenafiel851218:8+1016WLWWW
4AcademicaAcademica850314:10+415WWLLL
5FarenseFarense842214:10+414LWWDL
6Benfica BBenfica B84228:5+314DWWLL
7AVSAVS833210:8+212WWDLW
8TondelaTondela84049:8+112LWWWL
9VizelaVizela83238:8011LLDWW
10União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria832311:10+111DLDWW
11LeixoesLeixoes83149:12-310LLDWW
12PortimonensePortimonense83146:10-410LWLLL
13TorreenseTorreense82338:10-29WLDWL
14ChavesChaves82248:15-78WDLWL
15FC Porto BFC Porto B82247:15-88DWDLL
16Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193281437:9-27DLLLW
17AmaranteAmarante81256:11-55LLDLW
18FeirenseFeirense80262:10-82DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa814:718
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B813:618
3PenafielPenafiel818:816
4AcademicaAcademica814:1015
5FarenseFarense814:1014
6Benfica BBenfica B88:514
7AVSAVS810:812
8TondelaTondela89:812
9VizelaVizela88:811
10União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria811:1011
11LeixoesLeixoes89:1210
12PortimonensePortimonense86:1010
13TorreenseTorreense88:109
14ChavesChaves88:158
15FC Porto BFC Porto B87:158
16Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193287:97
17AmaranteAmarante86:115
18FeirenseFeirense82:102
PromotionRelegation

About the Farense vs Penafiel forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Farense and Penafiel in the Segunda Liga table

Penafiel and Farense are close in the Segunda Liga table, 3rd and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Farense 14-10, Penafiel 18-8. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Farense have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.