AVS vs Tondela Prediction

AVS
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Tondela
Estádio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves·Diogo Teixeira Araujo 25/10/2026
AVSAVS
2-1
Finished
TondelaTondela

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-9.9%
AVS Rest
7 days
Tondela Rest
6 days

AVS vs Tondela: the result in context

AVS beat Tondela 2-1 in the Segunda Liga on 25 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Tondela had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for AVS.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them. Tondela tend to win more corners, 8.0 a game to 2.8 for AVS.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.47
X
30%3.28
2
40%2.02
Double Chance
1X
60%1.69
X2
70%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.81
No
49%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.07 = 2.35
Over 1.5
70%1.30
Over 2.5
45%2.02
Over 3.5
25%3.50
Under 1.5
30%3.20
Under 2.5
55%1.73
Under 3.5
75%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Mateus Ferreira
5'Hiago Souza Lima Santos
6'Fernando Almeida
15'Carraça
18'Hiago Souza Lima Santos
27'Guilherme Neiva
36'Hugo Félix
46'Hugo Félix INTiago Dias out
46'Carraça INBebeto out
56'Leonardo Daniel Rivas
68'Fernando Almeida INPedro Pimentel out
69'Rafael Lobato INRegis Ndo out
69'Hélder Tavares INSphephelo Sithole out
70'Mateus Pivô
76'Leonardo Daniel Rivas INAndré Sousa out
76'Guilherme Neiva INDiogo Brasido out
76'Mateus Pivô INJorge Meireles out
76'Arjen Van Der Heide INHenry Addo out
76'Mateus Ferreira INJoao Marcos Lima Candido out
86'Jorge Meireles

Lineups

AVS
4-3-3Coach: Silas
Tondela
4-2-3-1Coach: Ricardo Costa
Dani Rebollo1D. Rebollo
Matheus Pivô97M. Pivô
L. Rosić3L. Rosić
2626B. Conde
L. Rivas12L. Rivas
Roni70Roni
F. Almeida88F. Almeida
Hiago Santos80H. Santos
Rafael Genuino19R. Genuino
Guilherme Neiva7G. Neiva
Talles Wander30T. Wander
Carlos28Carlos
Carraça15Carraça
Christian Marques4C. Marques
Farru6Farru
Zé Ricardo12Z. Ricardo
Hélder Tavares8H. Tavares
Sarará37Sarará
A. van der Heide26A. van der Heide
Hugo Félix20H. Félix
Cascavel7Cascavel
Tómané19Tómané

AVS Substitutes

25Raul
4Davi Schuindt
6Carlos Ponck
22Diogo Brasido76'for Guilherme Neiva
28André Sousa76'for Leonardo Daniel Rivas
78Andrey
49P. Pimentel68'for Fernando Almeida
8Jorge Meireles76'for Mateus Pivô86'
9Rodrigo Pinho
17R. N'do69'for Rafael Lobato
20Ruan Assis

Tondela Substitutes

2Bebeto46'for Carraça
77Tiago Dias46'for Hugo Félix
9João Lima76'for Mateus Ferreira
17G. Novero
14Xabi Huarte
13S. Sithole69'for Hélder Tavares
10H. Addo76'for Arjen Van Der Heide
22B. Almeida
5João Afonso
3ian kamga
1Lucas Cañizares
21G. Ramalho

Match Stats

AVSTondela
6Yellow Cards3

Team Comparison

AVSAVS
TondelaTondela
1611Elo Rating 1571
1.26Attack 1.96
2.49Defense 2.81
69%Hit Rate 73%
10.0Shots per Game 23.0
3.4Shots on Target 5.0
2.8Corners per Game 8.0
4.0Cards per Game 3.8

Game State Tendencies

AVSAVS
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TondelaTondela
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

AVSAVS0Wins · 0%
Draws250%
TondelaTondela2Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga21/03/2026
TondelaAVS
00
Primeira Liga02/11/2025
AVSTondela
22
Segunda Liga19/05/2024
AVSTondela
01
Segunda Liga14/01/2024
TondelaAVS
32

Recent Form

AVSAVS
4W4D2L
17/10/2026
AVSMoreirense
10
W
09/10/2026
PenafielAVS
12
W
20/09/2026
SintrenseAVS
02
W
13/09/2026
AVSFarense
00
D
07/09/2026
Lusitânia LourosaAVS
21
L
30/08/2026
AVSFeirense
20
W
23/08/2026
ChavesAVS
22
D
17/08/2026
Felgueiras 1932AVS
11
D
09/08/2026
AVSSporting CP B
01
L
31/07/2026
AVSTrofense
11
D
TondelaTondela
6W0D4L
18/10/2026
TondelaAlverca
2000
W
10/10/2026
TondelaTorreense
10
W
19/09/2026
Imortal AlbufeiraTondela
15
W
12/09/2026
PortimonenseTondela
02
W
05/09/2026
TondelaFC Porto B
30
W
28/08/2026
União de LeiriaTondela
20
L
21/08/2026
TondelaAcademica
02
L
16/08/2026
LeixoesTondela
10
L
08/08/2026
TondelaAmarante
21
W
01/08/2026
Rio AveTondela
31
L

League Table

Segunda Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa853014:7+718DDWWW
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B860213:6+718WWLWW
3PenafielPenafiel851218:8+1016WLWWW
4AcademicaAcademica850314:10+415WWLLL
5FarenseFarense842214:10+414LWWDL
6Benfica BBenfica B84228:5+314DWWLL
7AVSAVS833210:8+212WWDLW
8TondelaTondela84049:8+112LWWWL
9VizelaVizela83238:8011LLDWW
10União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria832311:10+111DLDWW
11LeixoesLeixoes83149:12-310LLDWW
12PortimonensePortimonense83146:10-410LWLLL
13TorreenseTorreense82338:10-29WLDWL
14ChavesChaves82248:15-78WDLWL
15FC Porto BFC Porto B82247:15-88DWDLL
16Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193281437:9-27DLLLW
17AmaranteAmarante81256:11-55LLDLW
18FeirenseFeirense80262:10-82DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa814:718
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B813:618
3PenafielPenafiel818:816
4AcademicaAcademica814:1015
5FarenseFarense814:1014
6Benfica BBenfica B88:514
7AVSAVS810:812
8TondelaTondela89:812
9VizelaVizela88:811
10União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria811:1011
11LeixoesLeixoes89:1210
12PortimonensePortimonense86:1010
13TorreenseTorreense88:109
14ChavesChaves88:158
15FC Porto BFC Porto B87:158
16Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193287:97
17AmaranteAmarante86:115
18FeirenseFeirense82:102
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About the AVS vs Tondela forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AVS and Tondela in the Segunda Liga table

In the Segunda Liga table, AVS (7th) and Tondela (8th) are level on 12 points. League goal record so far: AVS 10-8, Tondela 9-8. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AVS have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Tondela have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.