FC Porto vs Manchester City Prediction
World · League Stage - 1
S. Marciniak 08/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.66SignalGOODModel51%RiskMediumGap+2.4%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 3.5
1.83SignalHIGHModel58%RiskMediumGap+10.0%
FC Porto Rest
3 days
Manchester City Rest
3 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
120%4.95
X26%4.05
254%1.67
Double Chance
1X46%2.20
X280%1.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes88%1.65
No12%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.79 = 3.29
Over 1.583%1.20
Over 2.561%1.66
Over 3.539%2.62
Under 1.517%4.47
Under 2.539%2.25
Under 3.561%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.7 = 9.4
Over 8.559%1.52
Over 9.545%1.89
Over 10.533%2.40
Under 8.541%2.33
Under 9.555%1.83
Under 10.567%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.8 = 3.3
Over 3.542%1.84
Over 4.523%2.54
Under 3.558%1.83
Under 4.577%1.47
Match Events
37'Josko GvardiolFoul
47'Erling HaalandAssist: Enzo Fernández
48'Josko Gvardiol INAbdukodir Khusanov out
49'Gianluigi DonnarummaFoul
62'Antoine Semenyo INIliman Ndiaye out
62'Rayan Cherki INElliot Anderson out
68'Alan Gonzalo Varela INHwang In-Beom out
68'William Gomes INBorja Sainz out
73'Martim Fernandes INFrancisco Moura out
73'André Silva INSantiago Giménez out
75'Ayyoub Bouaddi INMateo Kovačić out
75'Phil Foden INRayan Aït-Nouri out
83'Gabri Veiga INSeko Fofana out
86'Francesco FarioliDissent
90+1'Erling HaalandAssist: Rayan Aït-Nouri
90+3'Pablo RosarioArgument
90+3'Erling HaalandArgument
Lineups
FC PortoManchester City
4-2-3-1Coach: E. Maresca
99D. CostaDiogo Costa
20A. BaioAlberto Baio
18N. PérezN. Pérez
4J. KiwiorJ. Kiwior
52M. FernandesMartim Fernandes
13P. RosarioP. Rosario
22A. VarelaA. Varela
10G. VeigaGabri Veiga
7WilliamWilliam
19A. SilvaAndré Silva
11P. AquinoPepê Aquino
1G. DonnarummaG. Donnarumma
27M. NunesMatheus Nunes
6M. GuéhiM. Guéhi
3R. DiasRúben Dias
24J. GvardiolJ. Gvardiol
32A. BouaddiA. Bouaddi
17E. FernándezE. Fernández
47P. FodenP. Foden
10R. CherkiR. Cherki
42A. SemenyoA. Semenyo
9E. HaalandE. HaalandFC Porto Substitutes
92João Pedro Moreira TeixeiraM
14Cláudio RamosG
24AndorinhaG
57Duarte CunhaF
42S. FofanaM
29S. GiménezF
64Luís GomesD
16Hwang In-BeomM
74Francisco MouraD
17Borja SainzF
58T. SilvaM
33SouzaD
Manchester City Substitutes
22Vitor NunesD
28G. RulliG
7I. NdiayeF
56R. McAidooF
82R. LewisD
8M. KovačićM
45A. KhusanovD
13M. BettinelliG
5E. AndersonM
37AllanF
21R. Aït-NouriD
Match Stats
FC PortoManchester City 36%Ball Possession64%
2Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
5Total Shots20
0Shots on Goal10
4Shots off Goal6
3Shots Inside Box13
2Shots Outside Box7
1Blocked Shots4
10Fouls17
7Offsides1
8Goalkeeper Saves0
353Total Passes640
287Passes Accurate589
17Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
FC PortoManchester City1871Elo Rating 2021
2.25Attack 1.87
2.08Defense 2.69
77%Hit Rate 100%
14.3Shots per Game 13.9
4.9Shots on Target 5.9
6.8Corners per Game 5.9
0.8Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.29 goals
📈BTTS Trend46% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC Porto- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
Manchester City- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Based on 2 historical meetings
FC Porto 0%Draw 54%46% Manchester City
1.84Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5
Recent Form
FC Porto5W0D0L
04/09/2026FC Porto
Moreirense
29/08/2026FC PortoMoreirense21
W
Academico ViseuFC Porto03
W23/08/2026FC Porto
Arouca20
W15/08/2026
Rio AveFC Porto02
W09/08/2026FC Porto
Alverca20
WManchester City4W0D1L
05/09/2026Manchester City
Coventry
28/08/2026Manchester CityCoventry10
W
Crystal PalaceManchester City14
W23/08/2026Manchester City
Bournemouth21
W16/08/2026
ArsenalManchester City
ArsenalManchester City30
L09/08/2026Manchester City
Atletico Madrid
Manchester CityAtletico Madrid31
WReferee Profile
S. Marciniak · 56 matches analysed
4.3Avg Yellows
4.4Avg Cards
25.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 49% of referees analysed
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | +5 | 3 | W |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 3 | W |
| 3 |  Barcelona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | 3 | W |
| 4 |  Manchester United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 3 | W |
| 5 |  Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 3 | W |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 9 |  Aston Villa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 10 |  Lens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 11 |  Real Betis | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 12 |  Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 13 |  Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 14 |  Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 16 |  AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | +1 | 3 | W |
| 17 |  AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 19 |  PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 20 |  Fenerbahçe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 21 |  Villarreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 22 |  Lille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 23 |  Slavia Praha | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 24 |  Club Brugge KV | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 25 |  Inter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 27 |  Napoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 28 |  Lask Linz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 | L |
| 29 |  Viking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 30 |  Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| 32 |  RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 | L |
| 33 |  Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 34 |  Sabah FA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 | L |
| 35 |  Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 | L |
| 36 |  Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 | 6:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bayern München | 1 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 1 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Manchester United | 1 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Como | 1 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 1 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Lens | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Real Betis | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 18 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 19 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 20 | Fenerbahçe | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 21 | Villarreal | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 22 | Lille | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 23 | Slavia Praha | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 24 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 25 | Inter | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 26 | Atletico Madrid | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 27 | Napoli | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | Lask Linz | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 29 | Viking | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 30 | Galatasaray | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 31 | FC Porto | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 34 | Sabah FA | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Champions League
Bracket
Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
AEK Athens FCViking
CelticLask Linz
Sparta Praha
Lyon
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
Olympiakos Piraeus
NEC Nijmegen
Mjallby AIFSlovan Bratislava
Aarhus
Lech Poznan
FC Thun
Dinamo ZagrebFenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
Hapoel Beer Sheva
FK Crvena Zvezda
Omonia Nicosia
CeljeAEK Athens FCVikingCelticLask LinzSparta PrahaLyonUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenAEK Athens FCVikingCelticLask LinzAEK Athens FCVikingCelticLask LinzSparta PrahaLyonUnion St. GilloiseBodo/GlimtOlympiakos PiraeusNEC NijmegenMjallby AIFSlovan BratislavaAarhusLech PoznanFC ThunDinamo ZagrebFenerbahçeGornik ZabrzeSturm GrazHeart Of MidlothianHapoel Beer ShevaFK Crvena ZvezdaOmonia NicosiaCeljeFC Porto vs Manchester City Prediction
As a knockout-stage UEFA Champions League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About UEFA Champions League
ScorePredicts covers UEFA Champions League across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
FC Porto and Manchester City have met 2 times recently, averaging 1.84 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.