FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula Prediction

FC Sochi
5-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Arsenal Tula
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseHighGap+5.5%
FC Sochi Rest
7 days
Arsenal Tula Rest
6 days

FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula: result, form and history

FC Sochi beat Arsenal Tula 5-0 in the First League on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.86
X
27%3.27
2
29%4.42
Double Chance
1X
71%1.18
X2
56%1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.97
No
56%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.35
Over 2.5
38%2.17
Over 3.5
18%3.72
Under 1.5
36%2.75
Under 2.5
62%1.68
Under 3.5
82%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'M. Ignatov
24'K. Zaika
27'P. Meleshin
30'M. Ignatov
40'A. Osipov
44'Y. Krashevskiy
46'N. Razdorskikh IND. Shamkin out
46'I. Enin INM. Brnovic out
46'D. Plotnikov INE. Reyes out
53'D. Shamkin
56'M. Ignatov
60'V. Litvinov INR. Bart out
60'K. Zaika INI. Kalinin out
64'D. Davidyan
65'I. Gorbunov INN. Glushkov out
68'P. Meleshin INZ. Fedorov out
68'A. Osipov INM. Kaynov out
77'R. Magomedov INT. Melekestsev out
77'M. Ignatov INN. Stojic out
82'Z. Fedorov
86'Y. Krashevskiy
86'Y. Krashevskiy

Lineups

FC Sochi
3-4-3Coach: Igor Osinkin
Arsenal Tula
4-4-2Coach: Dmitry Gunko
Aleksandr Degtev35A. Degtev
Vyacheslav Litvinov4V. Litvinov
Marcelo Alves33M. Alves
Aleksandr Soldatenkov3A. Soldatenkov
Kirill Zaika27K. Zaika
Aleksandr Osipov5A. Osipov
Maksim Kuzmin6M. Kuzmin
Artem Makarchuk17A. Makarchuk
Ruslan Magal28R. Magal
Pavel Meleshin11P. Meleshin
Mikhail Ignatov8M. Ignatov
Aleksandr Melikhov42A. Melikhov
Daniil Penchikov4D. Penchikov
Kirill Gotsuk24K. Gotsuk
Nikita Karmaev45N. Karmaev
Yaroslav Krashevskiy5Y. Krashevskiy
David Davidyan9D. Davidyan
Ivan Enin35I. Enin
Daniil Plotnikov77D. Plotnikov
Igor Gorbunov17I. Gorbunov
Rashid Magomedov11R. Magomedov
Nikita Razdorskikh21N. Razdorskikh

FC Sochi Substitutes

13Igor Kalinin60'for K. Zaika
59Ruslan Bart60'for V. Litvinov
9Zakhar Fedorov68'for P. Meleshin82'
18Maksim Kaynov68'for A. Osipov
44Nemanja Stojić77'for M. Ignatov
39Matvey Lantrat
85Daniil Silev
37Makar Chirkov
60Mark Nosatiy
66Aleksandr Metsiev
97Roman Pasevich

Arsenal Tula Substitutes

7Edarlyn Reyes46'for D. Plotnikov
14Miloš Brnović46'for I. Enin
8Daniil Shamkin46'for N. Razdorskikh53'
19Nikita Glushkov65'for I. Gorbunov
23Timur Melekestsev77'for R. Magomedov
18Mikhail Tsulaya
44Oleg Isaenko
82Aleksandr Alekhin
10Ilya Zhigulev
25Artem Biryukov
22Georgiy Uridia
75Timur Zhamaletdinov

Match Stats

FC SochiArsenal Tula
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
3Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal4

Team Comparison

FC SochiFC Sochi
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
1522Elo Rating 1404
1.68Attack 2.11
2.42Defense 0.56
83%Hit Rate 46%
7.8Shots per Game 3.6
3.0Shots on Target 2.5
4.5Corners per Game 3.4
2.1Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+119 Elo
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC SochiFC Sochi
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

FC SochiFC Sochi4Wins · 57%
Draws229%
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1Wins · 14%
4.0Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs26/06/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
33
First League03/05/2025
FC SochiArsenal Tula
51
First League13/10/2024
Arsenal TulaFC Sochi
11
Premier League26/02/2022
PFC SochiArsenal Tula
20
Premier League31/10/2021
Arsenal TulaPFC Sochi
12
Premier League27/02/2021
PFC SochiArsenal Tula
40
Premier League20/09/2020
Arsenal TulaPFC Sochi
32

Recent Form

FC SochiFC Sochi
3W3D4L
19/07/2026
FC SochiSpartak Kostroma
02
L
12/07/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlFC Sochi
22
D
03/07/2026
FC SochiTorpedo Moskva
03
L
30/06/2026
FC SochiSka-khabarovsk
42
W
26/06/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
33
D
17/05/2026
FC SochiAkhmat
11
D
10/05/2026
ZenitFC Sochi
21
L
03/05/2026
FC SochiFC Orenburg
31
W
26/04/2026
DynamoFC Sochi
20
L
21/04/2026
FC SochiKrylia Sovetov
21
W
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
1W5D4L
19/07/2026
Arsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
01
L
13/07/2026
Arsenal TulaTekstilshchik
21
W
04/07/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
11
D
26/06/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
33
D
21/06/2026
Arsenal TulaSpartak Kostroma
11
D
17/06/2026
Arsenal TulaVolga Ulyanovsk
12
L
16/05/2026
Arsenal TulaRodina Moskva
14
L
11/05/2026
EniseyArsenal Tula
10
L
04/05/2026
Arsenal TulaRotor Volgograd
22
D
25/04/2026
Spartak KostromaArsenal Tula
11
D

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod15131144:15+2940WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi15102326:15+1132WWWDW
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1584327:12+1528DWWDD
4UralUral1584325:11+1428WLLWW
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1483320:13+727WLLWW
6VelesVeles1683520:19+127LDWLD
7FC UFAFC UFA1556418:15+321LWLDL
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1663721:22-121WWDWL
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1448218:14+420DWDLD
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1554623:18+519DLDWW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1554619:29-1019WLWLD
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1543819:26-715LLWDW
13EniseyEnisey1535716:30-1414LLLDW
14LeningradetsLeningradets1535712:26-1414DLLWL
15KAMAZKAMAZ1534819:27-813LWDWD
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik15411011:22-1113DLLLL
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1524918:28-1010WLDDD
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1524911:25-1410LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1544:1540
2FC SochiFC Sochi1526:1532
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1527:1228
4UralUral1525:1128
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1420:1327
6VelesVeles1620:1927
7FC UFAFC UFA1518:1521
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1621:2221
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1418:1420
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1523:1819
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1519:2919
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1519:2615
13EniseyEnisey1516:3014
14LeningradetsLeningradets1512:2614
15KAMAZKAMAZ1519:2713
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1511:2213
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1518:2810
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1511:2510

About the FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Sochi and Arsenal Tula in the First League table

In the First League table, FC Sochi are 2nd and Arsenal Tula 11th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Sochi 26-15, Arsenal Tula 19-29. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.