Leningradets vs FC Sochi Prediction

Leningradets
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
FC Sochi
Petrovsky Stadium, Saint Petersburg 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.76
SignalSOLIDModel30%SurpriseHighGap+8.9%
Leningradets Rest
6 days
FC Sochi Rest
5 days

Leningradets vs FC Sochi: the result in context

Leningradets beat FC Sochi 2-1 in the First League on 1 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: FC Sochi had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Leningradets.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%5.08
X
26%3.67
2
37%1.64
Double Chance
1X
63%2.12
X2
63%1.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.94
No
56%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.29
Over 2.5
38%2.03
Over 3.5
18%3.42
Under 1.5
36%3.11
Under 2.5
62%1.76
Under 3.5
82%1.23
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'I. Stefanovich INA. Ukomskiy out
64'A. Kulishev
64'O. Kenfak INM. Pershin out
70'V. Litvinov INI. Kalinin out
70'P. Meleshin INZ. Fedorov out
72'M. Ignatov
72'D. Rodin
72'E. Botaka-Yoboma
72'M. Kuzmin
74'M. Pershin
74'K. Morozov INE. Zarypbekov out
79'K. Zaika INR. Bart out
79'M. Kuzmin INM. Kaynov out
81'I. KalininOG
84'I. Kalinin
88'M. Pershin ING. Kiselev out
88'E. Botaka-Yoboma INK. Isaev out
89'A. Makarchuk INR. Pasevich out
90+2'E. Zarypbekov

Lineups

Leningradets
4-4-2Coach: Aleksandr Shmarko
FC Sochi
3-4-3Coach: Igor Osinkin
Egor Smirnov1E. Smirnov
Sergey Nikolaev2S. Nikolaev
Erwing Jo Botaka-Ioboma3E. Jo Botaka-Ioboma
Nikita Kalugin44N. Kalugin
Roman Kudryavtsev4R. Kudryavtsev
Danila Emeljanov99D. Emeljanov
Kirill Morozov5K. Morozov
Daniil Rodin6D. Rodin
Olivier Kenfack14O. Kenfack
Artem Kulishev32A. Kulishev
Ilya Stefanovich23I. Stefanovich
Aleksandr Degtev35A. Degtev
Aleksandr Soldatenkov3A. Soldatenkov
Marcelo Alves33M. Alves
Vyacheslav Litvinov4V. Litvinov
Kirill Zaika27K. Zaika
Aleksandr Osipov5A. Osipov
Maksim Kuzmin6M. Kuzmin
Artem Makarchuk17A. Makarchuk
Ruslan Magal28R. Magal
Pavel Meleshin11P. Meleshin
Mikhail Ignatov8M. Ignatov

Leningradets Substitutes

7Artemiy Ukomskiy46'for I. Stefanovich
10Eldiyar Zarypbekov74'for K. Morozov90+2'
37Kirill Isaev88'for E. Botaka-Yoboma
96Aleksey Kuznetsov
78Gennadiy Kiselev88'replaced by M. Pershin
19Artur Maksetsov
52Ilya Petukhov
9Matvey Pershin64'for O. Kenfak74'88'for G. Kiselev
83Ivan Petrov
11Dmitriy Yakovlev

FC Sochi Substitutes

13Igor Kalinin70'for V. Litvinov81'84'
9Zakhar Fedorov70'for P. Meleshin
59Ruslan Bart79'for K. Zaika
18Maksim Kaynov79'for M. Kuzmin
97Roman Pasevich89'for A. Makarchuk
85Daniil Silev
44Nemanja Stojić
66Aleksandr Metsiev
60Mark Nosatiy

Match Stats

LeningradetsFC Sochi
47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards1
7Total Shots7
3Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal6
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

LeningradetsLeningradets
FC SochiFC Sochi
1385Elo Rating 1522
0.82Attack 1.68
1.03Defense 2.42
39%Hit Rate 83%
4.8Shots per Game 7.8
2.6Shots on Target 3.0
3.0Corners per Game 4.5
1.5Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LeningradetsLeningradets
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC SochiFC Sochi
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

LeningradetsLeningradets1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
FC SochiFC Sochi0Wins · 0%
4.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Cup28/07/2021
LeningradetsPFC Sochi
40

Recent Form

LeningradetsLeningradets
3W2D5L
26/07/2026
LeningradetsUral
00
D
19/07/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlLeningradets
20
L
11/07/2026
FC UFALeningradets
30
L
04/07/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaLeningradets
30
L
13/06/2026
VelesLeningradets
11
D
07/06/2026
LeningradetsTorpedo Miass
31
W
31/05/2026
TekstilshchikLeningradets
02
W
27/05/2026
LeningradetsVolgar Astrakhan
01
L
23/05/2026
KalugaLeningradets
01
W
17/05/2026
LeningradetsMashuk-KMV
05
L
FC SochiFC Sochi
3W3D4L
26/07/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
50
W
19/07/2026
FC SochiSpartak Kostroma
02
L
12/07/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlFC Sochi
22
D
03/07/2026
FC SochiTorpedo Moskva
03
L
30/06/2026
FC SochiSka-khabarovsk
42
W
26/06/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
33
D
17/05/2026
FC SochiAkhmat
11
D
10/05/2026
ZenitFC Sochi
21
L
03/05/2026
FC SochiFC Orenburg
31
W
26/04/2026
DynamoFC Sochi
20
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod15131144:15+2940WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi1492323:14+929WWDWL
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1584327:12+1528DWWDD
4Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1483320:13+727WLLWW
5VelesVeles1583420:18+227DWLDL
6UralUral1474322:10+1225LLWWD
7FC UFAFC UFA1556418:15+321LWLDL
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1448218:14+420DWDLD
9Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1554623:18+519DLDWW
10Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1553720:22-218WDWLL
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1444615:26-1116LWLDL
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1443718:23-515LWDWD
13EniseyEnisey1535716:30-1414LLLDW
14KAMAZKAMAZ1434716:23-713WDWDL
15LeningradetsLeningradets1434711:25-1413LLWLD
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik14401010:21-1112LLLLW
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1524918:28-1010WLDDD
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1424810:22-1210WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1544:1540
2FC SochiFC Sochi1423:1429
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1527:1228
4Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1420:1327
5VelesVeles1520:1827
6UralUral1422:1025
7FC UFAFC UFA1518:1521
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1418:1420
9Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1523:1819
10Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1520:2218
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1415:2616
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1418:2315
13EniseyEnisey1516:3014
14KAMAZKAMAZ1416:2313
15LeningradetsLeningradets1411:2513
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1410:2112
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1518:2810
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1410:2210

About the Leningradets vs FC Sochi forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Leningradets and FC Sochi in the First League table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Sochi are 2nd in the First League, while Leningradets sit 15th, 16 points behind. League goal record so far: Leningradets 11-25, FC Sochi 23-14. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Leningradets and FC Sochi have met only 1 time recently, with 4.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.