VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction

Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum·Konrad Oldhafer 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.39
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
VfL Bochum Rest
9 days
Arminia Bielefeld Rest
7 days

VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld: the result in context

Arminia Bielefeld beat VfL Bochum 1-0 in the 2. Bundesliga on 11 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: VfL Bochum had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Arminia Bielefeld.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Referee Konrad Oldhafer averages 3.83 cards a game, 0.84 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.28
X
26%3.56
2
30%2.89
Double Chance
1X
70%1.39
X2
56%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.55
No
40%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.19 = 2.77
Over 1.5
78%1.18
Over 2.5
55%1.67
Over 3.5
35%2.56
Under 1.5
22%4.35
Under 2.5
45%2.19
Under 3.5
65%1.47
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.5
70%1.30
Over 9.5
58%1.51
Over 10.5
47%1.85
Under 8.5
30%3.20
Under 9.5
42%2.35
Under 10.5
53%1.84
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
36%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

23'Michael SteinwenderFoul
39'Joel FelixFoul
63'Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen INBerkan Taz out
64'Leon Jensen INJannik Rochelt out
64'Isaiah Young INBenjamin boakye out
72'Benjamin boakyeFoul
78'Benjamin boakyeAssist: Joel Grodowski
81'Mats Henry Pannewig INDaniel Hanslik out
82'Joel Grodowski INDavid Min out
86'Maximilian Wittek INalessandro crimaldi out
87'Gerrit HoltmannTime wasting
90'Marius Worl INLeon Schneider out
90'David MinTime wasting

Lineups

VfL Bochum
4-2-3-1Coach: U. Rösler
Arminia Bielefeld
5-4-1Coach: Oliver Kirch
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.87
T. Horn6.51T. Horn
S. Klaiber6.82S. Klaiber
M. Steinwender7.215M. Steinwender
K. Mets7.15K. Mets
M. Wittek7.432M. Wittek
T. Meyer6.434T. Meyer
M. Pannewig6.824M. Pannewig
C. Rasmussen6.37C. Rasmussen
K. Miyoshi6.423K. Miyoshi
G. Holtmann6.217G. Holtmann
P. Hofmann6.533P. Hofmann
J. Kersken6.61J. Kersken
F. Hagmann6.92F. Hagmann
M. Großer6.919M. Großer
M. Bauer7.35M. Bauer
J. Felix6.43J. Felix
A. Sicker7.017A. Sicker
I. Young7.130I. Young
S. Russo6.421S. Russo
L. Jensen7.231L. Jensen
M. Wörl6.638M. Wörl
J. Grodowski6.811J. Grodowski

VfL Bochum Substitutes

16T. Casali
37Alessandro Crimaldi86'for Maximilian Wittek6.3
19D. Hanslik81'for Mats Henry Pannewig6.0
39L. Isbruch
4Y. Karademir
29M. Ouro-Tagba
28C. Patino
31L. Sawas
10B. Taz63'for Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussen6.7

Arminia Bielefeld Substitutes

7H. Koudossou
6M. Mehlem
9D. Min82'for Joel Grodowski90'6.3
18L. Oppermann
10J. Rochelt64'for Leon Jensen6.8
23L. Schneider90'for Marius Worl
8S. Schreck
29T. Handwerker
27Benjamin Bediako Boakye64'for Isaiah Young72'78'7.9

Match Stats

VfL BochumArminia Bielefeld
64%Ball Possession36%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots12
3Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots4
9Fouls9
0Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
536Total Passes301
456Passes Accurate215
9Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

VfL BochumVfL Bochum
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
1631Elo Rating 1631
0.58Attack 1.13
1.61Defense 1.89
0%Hit Rate 42%
15.6Shots per Game 10.6
4.8Shots on Target 2.2
5.8Corners per Game 4.6
1.5Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

VfL BochumVfL Bochum
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

VfL BochumVfL Bochum2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1Wins · 20%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

2. Bundesliga02/05/2026
Arminia BielefeldVfL Bochum
11
2. Bundesliga06/12/2025
VfL BochumArminia Bielefeld
10
DFB Pokal12/08/2023
Arminia BielefeldVfl Bochum
4212
Bundesliga06/05/2022
Vfl BochumArminia Bielefeld
21
Bundesliga14/12/2021
Arminia BielefeldVfl Bochum
20

Recent Form

VfL BochumVfL Bochum
4W2D4L
02/10/2026
VfL BochumVfL Osnabrück
41
W
20/09/2026
Hannover 96VfL Bochum
21
L
12/09/2026
VfL BochumSpVgg Greuther Fürth
11
D
05/09/2026
Dynamo DresdenVfL Bochum
12
W
28/08/2026
VfL BochumVfL Osnabrück
01
L
23/08/2026
SpVgg Greuther FürthVfL Bochum
12
W
14/08/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigVfL Bochum
01
W
07/08/2026
VfL BochumHertha BSC
01
L
01/08/2026
VfL BochumSheffield Utd
00
D
25/07/2026
Werder BremenVfL Bochum
20
L
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
2W4D4L
03/10/2026
Arminia BielefeldRot-Weiß Essen
22
D
20/09/2026
Arminia Bielefeld1. FC Heidenheim
22
D
11/09/2026
SV Darmstadt 98Arminia Bielefeld
21
L
04/09/2026
Arminia BielefeldFC St. Pauli
22
D
29/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergArminia Bielefeld
41
L
22/08/2026
SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachArminia Bielefeld
3202
L
16/08/2026
Arminia BielefeldEnergie Cottbus
30
W
08/08/2026
Karlsruher SCArminia Bielefeld
21
L
25/07/2026
Arminia BielefeldMSV Duisburg
11
D
18/07/2026
BolognaArminia Bielefeld
04
W

Referee Profile

Konrad Oldhafer20 matches

3.83Cards per match
3.61Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Konrad Oldhafer3.83
Other referees4.67

3.83 cards a match, 0.84 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.67).

Cards come from 18 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC981020:8+1225WDWWW
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg953121:12+918LDDWW
31. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern95319:4+518WWDWL
4VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg944123:14+916DWDWL
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg951320:12+816WLWDW
61. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim943216:16015DLDDW
7FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli926111:9+212DDWDW
8VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück932414:15-111WLDDL
9Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld932413:14-111LWWDL
10Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig931515:15010WLWLD
11Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus924317:18-110DDLDW
12SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth923412:16-49LWLDD
13Holstein KielHolstein Kiel915310:11-18WDLDL
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum92256:10-48DLLLD
15Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden922511:18-78LWDLD
16Hannover 96Hannover 9692258:15-78LDLWL
17Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC922511:20-98LWLLL
18SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 9892258:18-108DLWLW
PromotionRelegation

About the VfL Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld forecast

The forecasts for this 2. Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

VfL Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga table

In the 2. Bundesliga table, Arminia Bielefeld are 9th and VfL Bochum 14th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: VfL Bochum 6-10, Arminia Bielefeld 13-14. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.