FC Thun vs Servette FC Prediction

Super LeagueSwitzerland Switzerland · Regular Season - 4
FC Thun
2-4
Finished
HT 1-2
Servette FC
Stockhorn Arena, Thun 16/09/2026
FC ThunFC Thun
2-4
Finished
Servette FCServette FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseHighGap-4.0%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
FC Thun Rest
4 days
Servette FC Rest
3 days

FC Thun vs Servette FC: the result in context

Servette FC beat FC Thun 4-2 in the Super League on 16 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

FC Thun have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game. Servette FC tend to win more corners, 5.6 a game to 3.5 for FC Thun.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.27
X
24%3.60
2
30%2.80
Double Chance
1X
70%1.40
X2
54%1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.44
No
40%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.34 = 2.94
Over 1.5
84%1.15
Over 2.5
61%1.50
Over 3.5
34%2.31
Under 1.5
16%4.90
Under 2.5
39%2.38
Under 3.5
66%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.5 = 10.6
Over 8.5
68%1.44
Over 9.5
56%1.79
Over 10.5
44%2.23
Under 8.5
32%2.52
Under 9.5
44%1.93
Under 10.5
56%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%-

Match Events

4'Kingstone Mutandwa
29'Mathis LambourdeAssist: Lilian Njoh
31'Bradley MazikouFoul
36'fabio saizFoul
38'fabio saizAssist: Nils·Reichmuth
45'Nassim Zoukit INMattias Käit out
47'Jan BamertFoul
54'fabio saiz
63'Goal cancelledNicolas Bürgy
64'Noah Christoffersson INFurkan Dursun out
64'Tom Strannegard INOlivier Mambwa out
65'Teo Allix
66'Kingstone Mutandwa INDavid Datro Fofana out
66'Mathis Lambourde INJesper Karlsson out
69'David DoulineFoul
72'fabio saiz INNico Maier out
74'Jesper KarlssonFoul
77'Nicolas Bürgy INPatrik Kristal out
84'Marco BurchFoul
86'Jarell Simo INIvan Izquierdo out
86'David Datro FofanaAssist: Jarell Simo
90+2'Lilian Njoh INSylvain Claude Djoho Filho out

Lineups

FC Thun
4-4-2Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli
Servette FC
4-1-4-1Coach: J. Gourvennec
Avg rating6.24
Avg rating6.50
N. Steffen5.61N. Steffen
F. Fehr6.047F. Fehr
N. Bürgy6.15N. Bürgy
J. Bamert5.719J. Bamert
T. Strannegård6.118T. Strannegård
N. Reichmuth6.270N. Reichmuth
J. Roth6.316J. Roth
N. Zoukit5.913N. Zoukit
F. Saiz8.78F. Saiz
B. Labeau6.596B. Labeau
N. Christoffersson6.426N. Christoffersson
E. Gertmonas6.01E. Gertmonas
Houboulang Mendes5.717H. Mendes
T. Allix6.834T. Allix
M. Burch6.015M. Burch
B. Mazikou6.318B. Mazikou
D. Douline5.928D. Douline
M. Lambourde7.622M. Lambourde
M. Stevanović6.29M. Stevanović
Jarell Njike Simo6.220J. Njike Simo
L. Njoh7.114L. Njoh
K. Mutandwa7.57K. Mutandwa

FC Thun Substitutes

25T. Spycher
15P. Kristal77'for Nicolas Bürgy5.9
37L. Dähler
9F. Dursun64'for Noah Christoffersson6.5
14M. Käit45'for Nassim Zoukit6.3
80S. Lengen
30N. Maier72'for fabio saiz5.8
2O. Mambwa64'for Tom Strannegard5.9
54L. Passavant

Servette FC Substitutes

37Sylvain Claude Djoho Filho90+2'replaced by Lilian Njoh
27D. Fofana66'for Kingstone Mutandwa86'7.5
42Ivan Izquierdo86'replaced by Jarell Simo
21J. Karlsson66'for Mathis Lambourde74'6.6
36Thomas Lopes
23Q. Maceiras
41T. Nunez
44Louis Rieder
39Eronis Haxhiu

Match Stats

FC ThunServette FC
60%Ball Possession40%
7Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots5
16Fouls12
1Offsides2
450Total Passes300
369Passes Accurate203
10Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

FC ThunFC Thun
Servette FCServette FC
1541Elo Rating 1672
0.84Attack 2.93
1.50Defense 1.95
14%Hit Rate 83%
11.2Shots per Game 17.6
3.6Shots on Target 6.8
3.5Corners per Game 5.6
2.6Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

FC ThunFC Thun
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Servette FCServette FC
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

FC ThunFC Thun4Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Servette FCServette FC0Wins · 0%
3.5Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Super League08/02/2026
Servette FCFC Thun
13
Super League08/11/2025
Servette FCFC Thun
01
Super League18/10/2025
FC ThunServette FC
31
Schweizer Cup27/10/2021
FC ThunServette FC
41

Recent Form

FC ThunFC Thun
3W2D5L
12/09/2026
FC ThunGrasshoppers
01
L
06/09/2026
FC SionFC Thun
32
L
02/09/2026
FC ThunLausanne
00
D30/08/2026
FC ST. GallenFC Thun
34
W27/08/2026
FC ThunLech Poznan
22
D20/08/2026
Lech PoznanFC Thun
70
L
16/08/2026
Saxon SportsFC Thun
06
W
13/08/2026
Vikingur ReykjavikFC Thun
32
L
09/08/2026
FC Basel 1893FC Thun
42
L06/08/2026
FC ThunVikingur Reykjavik
30
W
Servette FCServette FC
4W1D5L
13/09/2026
LausanneServette FC
01
W06/09/2026
Servette FCFC ST. Gallen
02
L03/09/2026
FC LuganoServette FC
10
L
29/08/2026
Servette FCFC Luzern
11
D
15/08/2026
BavoisServette FC
07
W
08/08/2026
Servette FCGrasshoppers
21
W01/08/2026
FC ZurichServette FC
21
L25/07/2026
Servette FCFC Basel 1893
01
L
18/07/2026
Servette FCSaint Etienne
10
W
15/07/2026
LyonServette FC
21
L

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano11101034:9+2531WWWWD
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1174035:18+1725WWWDD
3FC SionFC Sion1171324:17+722WLDWW
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1152420:23-317WWDWD
5Servette FCServette FC1151516:14+216WWLWW
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1151517:21-416LWWLL
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931142517:20-314DLLWL
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1133518:24-612LLWLD
9FC ThunFC Thun1131719:30-1110LLWLL
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1130822:23-19LWLLW
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1123613:26-139DLLLW
12LausanneLausanne111377:17-106LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1134:931
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1135:1825
3FC SionFC Sion1124:1722
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1120:2317
5Servette FCServette FC1116:1416
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1117:2116
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931117:2014
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1118:2412
9FC ThunFC Thun1119:3010
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1122:239
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1113:269
12LausanneLausanne117:176
Relegation

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About the FC Thun vs Servette FC forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Thun and Servette FC in the Super League table

In the Super League table, Servette FC are 5th and FC Thun 9th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Thun 19-30, Servette FC 16-14. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Servette FC have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.