FC Zurich vs FC Thun Prediction

FC Zurich
4-2
Finished
HT 2-1
FC Thun
Letzigrund, Zurich·Hajrim Qovanaj 10/10/2026
FC ZurichFC Zurich
4-2
Finished
FC ThunFC Thun

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-6.3%
FC Zurich Rest
21 days
FC Thun Rest
7 days

FC Zurich vs FC Thun: the result in context

FC Zurich beat FC Thun 4-2 in the Super League on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.3 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.53
X
26%3.81
2
36%2.40
Double Chance
1X
64%1.54
X2
62%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.34
No
33%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.49 = 3.05
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
66%1.36
Over 3.5
45%1.94
Under 1.5
16%6.50
Under 2.5
34%2.87
Under 3.5
55%1.80
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 5 = 10.4
Over 8.5
64%1.28
Over 9.5
53%1.50
Over 10.5
43%1.87
Under 8.5
36%3.28
Under 9.5
47%2.42
Under 10.5
57%1.88
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
44%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
56%-

Match Events

16'Simon Lengen
30'Kevin SpadanudaAssist: Umeh Emmanuel
37'Bledian Krasniqi
40'A. IlicFoul
56'Simon LengenFoul
57'Simon Lengen INNoah Christoffersson out
57'A. Ilic INNils·Reichmuth out
64'Doron LichtensteinAssist: Kevin Spadanuda
67'Card upgrade confirmedJan Bamert
67'Jan BamertSerious foul
73'Nico Maier INDorian Derbaci out
73'Furkan Dursun INRiccardo Braschi out
77'Philippe Paulin KenyAssist: Doron Lichtenstein
78'Miguel Reichmuth INNevio Emanuele Di Giusto out
82'Nassim Zoukit INLouis Immanuel Passavant out
85'Bledian Krasniqi INJill Stiel out
85'Philippe Paulin Keny INDin Ramić out
85'Kevin Spadanuda INMohamed Bangoura out
87'Leandro Schödler INJorge Segura out
90'Dorian DerbaciAssist: Fabio Fehr

Lineups

FC Zurich
4-1-4-1Coach: M. Koller
FC Thun
4-4-2Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli
Avg rating6.81
Avg rating6.06
11S. Huber
4747D. Lichtenstein
L. Kamberi7.02L. Kamberi
L. Schodler7.021L. Schodler
N. Volken6.943N. Volken
V. Berisha7.223V. Berisha
K. Spadanuda8.317K. Spadanuda
M. Reichmuth6.438M. Reichmuth
B. Krasniqi7.77B. Krasniqi
U. Emmanuel6.711U. Emmanuel
P. Keny7.419P. Keny
N. Steffen5.31N. Steffen
F. Fehr7.147F. Fehr
N. Bürgy5.95N. Bürgy
J. Bamert4.919J. Bamert
T. Strannegård5.618T. Strannegård
N. Maier5.530N. Maier
J. Roth6.416J. Roth
N. Zoukit6.113N. Zoukit
Adam Ilic5.852A. Ilic
S. Lengen7.380S. Lengen
F. Dursun6.39F. Dursun

FC Zurich Substitutes

18M. Bangoura85'for Kevin Spadanuda6.2
8L. Comenencia
14N. Di Giusto78'for Miguel Reichmuth5.9
6C. Fiorini
42A. Hack
13H. Lindner
49D. Ramić85'for Philippe Paulin Keny6.5
4J. Segura87'for Leandro Schödler6.2
46J. Stiel85'for Bledian Krasniqi6.0

FC Thun Substitutes

70N. Reichmuth57'for A. Ilic5.8
54L. Passavant82'for Nassim Zoukit5.7
2O. Mambwa
37L. Dähler
21D. Derbaci73'for Nico Maier90'6.6
26N. Christoffersson57'for Simon Lengen6.2
20R. Braschi73'for Furkan Dursun6.5
17A. Balaruban
25T. Spycher

Match Stats

FC ZurichFC Thun
63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
9Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
8Fouls17
3Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves1
443Total Passes244
369Passes Accurate157
17Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

FC ZurichFC Zurich
FC ThunFC Thun
1532Elo Rating 1541
1.77Attack 0.84
1.58Defense 1.50
61%Hit Rate 14%
14.2Shots per Game 11.2
4.9Shots on Target 3.6
4.3Corners per Game 3.5
0.7Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.05 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC ZurichFC Zurich
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC ThunFC Thun
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

FC ZurichFC Zurich1Wins · 33%
Draws00%
FC ThunFC Thun2Wins · 67%
4.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Super League21/03/2026
FC ZurichFC Thun
21
Super League20/12/2025
FC ThunFC Zurich
42
Super League23/08/2025
FC ZurichFC Thun
04

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC LuganoFC Lugano11101034:9+2531WWWWD
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1174035:18+1725WWWDD
3FC SionFC Sion1171324:17+722WLDWW
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1152420:23-317WWDWD
5Servette FCServette FC1151516:14+216WWLWW
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1151517:21-416LWWLL
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931142517:20-314DLLWL
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1133518:24-612LLWLD
9FC ThunFC Thun1131719:30-1110LLWLL
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1130822:23-19LWLLW
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1123613:26-139DLLLW
12LausanneLausanne111377:17-106LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC LuganoFC Lugano1134:931
2BSC Young BoysBSC Young Boys1135:1825
3FC SionFC Sion1124:1722
4FC ZurichFC Zurich1120:2317
5Servette FCServette FC1116:1416
6FC ST. GallenFC ST. Gallen1117:2116
7FC Basel 1893FC Basel 18931117:2014
8FC LuzernFC Luzern1118:2412
9FC ThunFC Thun1119:3010
10FC VaduzFC Vaduz1122:239
11GrasshoppersGrasshoppers1113:269
12LausanneLausanne117:176
Relegation

About the FC Zurich vs FC Thun forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Zurich and FC Thun in the Super League table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Zurich are 4th in the Super League, while FC Thun sit 9th, 7 points behind. League goal record so far: FC Zurich 20-23, FC Thun 19-30. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.