Finn Harps vs Kerry Prediction

Finn Harps
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Kerry
Finn Park, Ballybofey 02/10/2026
Finn HarpsFinn Harps
1-2
Finished
KerryKerry

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.21
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-8.6%
Finn Harps Rest
7 days
Kerry Rest
7 days

Finn Harps vs Kerry: result, form and history

Kerry beat Finn Harps 2-1 in the First Division on 2 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Kerry had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Finn Harps.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%3.75
X
20%3.50
2
58%1.80
Double Chance
1X
42%1.84
X2
78%1.21
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Benny
22'Benny(Penalty missed)
27'J. McAteer
36'S. McGrath
43'A. McLaughlin ING. Priosti out
45+2'R. Perez
46'R. Perez INC. Bargary out
56'Benny
69'C. Brosnan INR. Keane out
72'S. Aladesanusi
79'C. Bargary

Team Comparison

Finn HarpsFinn Harps
KerryKerry
1270Elo Rating 1448
0.90Attack 1.28
1.68Defense 2.11
27%Hit Rate 59%

Game State Tendencies

Finn HarpsFinn Harps
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)
KerryKerry
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Finn HarpsFinn Harps4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
KerryKerry4Wins · 40%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

First Division24/07/2026
KerryFinn Harps
21
First Division08/05/2026
Finn HarpsKerry
10
First Division20/03/2026
KerryFinn Harps
10
First Division13/10/2025
Finn HarpsKerry
11
First Division08/08/2025
KerryFinn Harps
01
First Division18/04/2025
Finn HarpsKerry
42
First Division14/02/2025
KerryFinn Harps
20
First Division27/09/2024
KerryFinn Harps
11
First Division04/07/2024
Finn HarpsKerry
10
First Division24/05/2024
KerryFinn Harps
20

Recent Form

Finn HarpsFinn Harps
1W0D9L
25/09/2026
Treaty UnitedFinn Harps
21
L
18/09/2026
Finn HarpsLongford Town
01
L
11/09/2026
WexfordFinn Harps
13
W
04/09/2026
Finn HarpsAthlone Town
01
L
28/08/2026
UCDFinn Harps
54
L
21/08/2026
Finn HarpsCobh Ramblers
13
L
07/08/2026
Bray WanderersFinn Harps
50
L
03/08/2026
Longford TownFinn Harps
50
L
31/07/2026
Finn HarpsCork City
03
L
24/07/2026
KerryFinn Harps
21
L
KerryKerry
5W1D4L
25/09/2026
KerryWexford
10
W
18/09/2026
Athlone TownKerry
30
L
11/09/2026
KerryBray Wanderers
01
L
05/09/2026
Longford TownKerry
01
W
28/08/2026
KerryTreaty United
31
W
21/08/2026
KerryUCD
11
D
15/08/2026
Sligo RoversKerry
40
L
07/08/2026
Cork CityKerry
31
L
03/08/2026
KerryCobh Ramblers
30
W
31/07/2026
Bray WanderersKerry
04
W

League Table

First Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cork CityCork City36236774:35+3975DWLLW
2UCDUCD361681267:51+1656WDWLL
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers361591267:53+1454LDLWW
4Kerry FCKerry FC3614101245:41+452WWDLL
5Longford TownLongford Town3614101249:46+352WDDWW
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers361471546:54-849LLWDL
7Athlone TownAthlone Town361391442:43-148LLWDW
8WexfordWexford361191644:58-1442LDDLW
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United361191637:53-1642WWLWL
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps36772233:70-3728WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cork CityCork City3674:3575
2UCDUCD3667:5156
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3667:5354
4Kerry FCKerry FC3645:4152
5Longford TownLongford Town3649:4652
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3646:5449
7Athlone TownAthlone Town3642:4348
8WexfordWexford3644:5842
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United3637:5342
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps3633:7028

About the Finn Harps vs Kerry forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First Division

More First Division fixtures and forecasts are on the First Division Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.