UCD vs Longford Town Prediction

UCD
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Longford Town
UCD Bowl, Dublin 09/10/2026
UCDUCD
1-1
Finished
Longford TownLongford Town

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-10.3%
UCD Rest
6 days
Longford Town Rest
7 days

UCD vs Longford Town: the result in context

UCD and Longford Town drew 1-1 in the First Division on 9 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

UCD have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.67
X
23%3.94
2
25%4.00
Double Chance
1X
75%1.18
X2
48%2.03
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'L. Dignam
36'L. Dignam(Penalty)
46'T. Morley INA. Wells out
62'M. Alonge
63'S. Ugbesia INP. Manuel out
65'C. Omorehiomwan
67'M. Alonge INH. Smith out
70'J. Bailey
73'S. Mohan INL. Cailloce out
73'E. Sheeran INC. Akinrintayo out
81'S. Norval ING. Ogbonna out
82'J. Hough
84'J. Bailey INA. Paraschiv out

Team Comparison

UCDUCD
Longford TownLongford Town
1498Elo Rating 1444
2.68Attack 1.20
1.92Defense 1.63
66%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

UCDUCD
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Longford TownLongford Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

UCDUCD6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
Longford TownLongford Town1Wins · 10%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

First Division04/07/2026
Longford TownUCD
21
First Division01/05/2026
UCDLongford Town
20
First Division07/03/2026
Longford TownUCD
00
First Division12/09/2025
UCDLongford Town
21
First Division28/06/2025
Longford TownUCD
02
First Division09/05/2025
UCDLongford Town
11
First Division12/04/2025
Longford TownUCD
01
First Division18/10/2024
UCDLongford Town
22
First Division27/07/2024
Longford TownUCD
12
First Division03/05/2024
UCDLongford Town
10

Recent Form

UCDUCD
3W3D4L
02/10/2026
Treaty UnitedUCD
04
W
25/09/2026
UCDBray Wanderers
13
L
18/09/2026
Cork CityUCD
51
L
11/09/2026
UCDAthlone Town
22
D
04/09/2026
Cobh RamblersUCD
11
D
28/08/2026
UCDFinn Harps
54
W
21/08/2026
KerryUCD
11
D
14/08/2026
UCDDerry City
12
L
07/08/2026
UCDWexford
41
W
03/08/2026
UCDTreaty United
12
L
Longford TownLongford Town
4W2D4L
02/10/2026
WexfordLongford Town
33
D
26/09/2026
Longford TownCork City
21
W
18/09/2026
Finn HarpsLongford Town
01
W
12/09/2026
Longford TownTreaty United
02
L
05/09/2026
Longford TownKerry
01
L
28/08/2026
Cobh RamblersLongford Town
22
D
22/08/2026
Longford TownBray Wanderers
42
W
16/08/2026
BohemiansLongford Town
40
L
07/08/2026
Athlone TownLongford Town
21
L
03/08/2026
Longford TownFinn Harps
50
W

League Table

First Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cork CityCork City36236774:35+3975DWLLW
2UCDUCD361681267:51+1656WDWLL
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers361591267:53+1454LDLWW
4Kerry FCKerry FC3614101245:41+452WWDLL
5Longford TownLongford Town3614101249:46+352WDDWW
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers361471546:54-849LLWDL
7Athlone TownAthlone Town361391442:43-148LLWDW
8WexfordWexford361191644:58-1442LDDLW
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United361191637:53-1642WWLWL
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps36772233:70-3728WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cork CityCork City3674:3575
2UCDUCD3667:5156
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3667:5354
4Kerry FCKerry FC3645:4152
5Longford TownLongford Town3649:4652
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3646:5449
7Athlone TownAthlone Town3642:4348
8WexfordWexford3644:5842
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United3637:5342
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps3633:7028

About the UCD vs Longford Town forecast

The forecasts for this First Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

UCD and Longford Town in the First Division table

In the First Division table, UCD are 2nd and Longford Town 5th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: UCD 67-51, Longford Town 49-46. The full standings are on the First Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

UCD have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.