UCD vs Finn Harps Prediction

UCD
5-4
Finished
HT 1-2
Finn Harps
UCD Bowl, Dublin 28/08/2026
UCDUCD
5-4
Finished
Finn HarpsFinn Harps

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+0.6%
UCD Rest
7 days
Finn Harps Rest
7 days

UCD vs Finn Harps: the result in context

UCD beat Finn Harps 5-4 in the First Division on 28 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

UCD have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
87%1.22
X
8%5.90
2
5%9.20
Double Chance
1X
95%1.05
X2
14%3.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.75
No
56%1.91
Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'C. Akinrintayo
38'S. Bradley
43'O. Brogan
52'L. Cailloce
54'J. Goad
58'S. Mohan INM. McCullagh out
58'J. Goad INC. Behan out
59'D. Costello INE. Sheeran out
59'A. McLaughlin INR. Ferns out
60'S. Bradley
61'L. Dignam
64'T. McNamee
66'R. Ferns
69'F. Mckenlay INBenny out
70'S. Bradley ING. Priosti out
71'G. McAteer
74'L. Dignam
79'M. Hutchison
86'C. Akinrintayo ING. Ogbonna out
87'O. Brogan
89'H. Smith
90'D. Coyle INA. McDaid out

Team Comparison

UCDUCD
Finn HarpsFinn Harps
1498Elo Rating 1270
2.68Attack 0.90
1.92Defense 1.68
66%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+228 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

UCDUCD
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Finn HarpsFinn Harps
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

UCDUCD6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Finn HarpsFinn Harps2Wins · 20%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

First Division12/06/2026
Finn HarpsUCD
05
First Division17/04/2026
UCDFinn Harps
21
First Division20/02/2026
Finn HarpsUCD
21
First Division17/10/2025
Finn HarpsUCD
34
FAI Cup18/07/2025
Finn HarpsUCD
30
First Division11/07/2025
UCDFinn Harps
31
First Division23/05/2025
Finn HarpsUCD
12
First Division07/03/2025
UCDFinn Harps
11
First Division23/08/2024
UCDFinn Harps
20
First Division13/06/2024
Finn HarpsUCD
11

League Table

First Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cork CityCork City36236774:35+3975DWLLW
2UCDUCD361681267:51+1656WDWLL
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers361591267:53+1454LDLWW
4Kerry FCKerry FC3614101245:41+452WWDLL
5Longford TownLongford Town3614101249:46+352WDDWW
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers361471546:54-849LLWDL
7Athlone TownAthlone Town361391442:43-148LLWDW
8WexfordWexford361191644:58-1442LDDLW
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United361191637:53-1642WWLWL
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps36772233:70-3728WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cork CityCork City3674:3575
2UCDUCD3667:5156
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3667:5354
4Kerry FCKerry FC3645:4152
5Longford TownLongford Town3649:4652
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3646:5449
7Athlone TownAthlone Town3642:4348
8WexfordWexford3644:5842
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United3637:5342
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps3633:7028

About the UCD vs Finn Harps forecast

The forecasts for this First Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

UCD and Finn Harps in the First Division table

The table shows a wide gap: UCD are 2nd in the First Division, while Finn Harps sit 10th, 28 points behind. League goal record so far: UCD 67-51, Finn Harps 33-70. The full standings are on the First Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

UCD have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.