Kerry vs Finn Harps Prediction

Kerry
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Finn Harps
Mounthawk Park, Tralee 24/07/2026
KerryKerry
2-1
Finished
Finn HarpsFinn Harps

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.31
SignalSTRONGModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Kerry Rest
7 days
Finn Harps Rest
7 days

Kerry vs Finn Harps: the result in context

Kerry beat Finn Harps 2-1 in the First Division on 24 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Kerry had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Finn Harps.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.67
X
25%3.65
2
25%4.40
Double Chance
1X
75%1.16
X2
50%2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.78
No
56%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.23
Over 2.5
38%1.84
Over 3.5
19%2.97
Under 1.5
36%3.42
Under 2.5
62%1.88
Under 3.5
81%1.31
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'S. McGrath
20'Benny
30'C. Bargary
36'G. Priosti
90+4'

Team Comparison

KerryKerry
Finn HarpsFinn Harps
1448Elo Rating 1270
1.28Attack 0.90
2.11Defense 1.68
59%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+178 Elo

Game State Tendencies

KerryKerry
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Finn HarpsFinn Harps
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

KerryKerry3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Finn HarpsFinn Harps4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

First Division08/05/2026
Finn HarpsKerry
10
First Division20/03/2026
KerryFinn Harps
10
First Division13/10/2025
Finn HarpsKerry
11
First Division08/08/2025
KerryFinn Harps
01
First Division18/04/2025
Finn HarpsKerry
42
First Division14/02/2025
KerryFinn Harps
20
First Division27/09/2024
KerryFinn Harps
11
First Division04/07/2024
Finn HarpsKerry
10
First Division24/05/2024
KerryFinn Harps
20
First Division22/03/2024
Finn HarpsKerry
00

Recent Form

KerryKerry
5W2D3L
17/07/2026
KerryShelbourne
6252
W
10/07/2026
WexfordKerry
22
D
03/07/2026
Treaty UnitedKerry
21
L
26/06/2026
KerryLongford Town
21
W
19/06/2026
UCDKerry
01
W
12/06/2026
KerryAthlone Town
10
W
29/05/2026
Cobh RamblersKerry
20
L
22/05/2026
KerryBray Wanderers
22
D
15/05/2026
KerryWexford
21
W
08/05/2026
Finn HarpsKerry
10
L
Finn HarpsFinn Harps
2W2D6L
17/07/2026
Finn HarpsBray Wanderers
01
L
10/07/2026
Finn HarpsTreaty United
01
L
03/07/2026
Finn HarpsWexford
10
W
26/06/2026
Athlone TownFinn Harps
11
D
19/06/2026
Cobh RamblersFinn Harps
31
L
12/06/2026
Finn HarpsUCD
05
L
29/05/2026
Cork CityFinn Harps
40
L
22/05/2026
Finn HarpsLongford Town
22
D
15/05/2026
Treaty UnitedFinn Harps
30
L
08/05/2026
Finn HarpsKerry
10
W

League Table

First Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cork CityCork City36236774:35+3975DWLLW
2UCDUCD361681267:51+1656WDWLL
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers361591267:53+1454LDLWW
4Kerry FCKerry FC3614101245:41+452WWDLL
5Longford TownLongford Town3614101249:46+352WDDWW
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers361471546:54-849LLWDL
7Athlone TownAthlone Town361391442:43-148LLWDW
8WexfordWexford361191644:58-1442LDDLW
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United361191637:53-1642WWLWL
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps36772233:70-3728WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cork CityCork City3674:3575
2UCDUCD3667:5156
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3667:5354
4Kerry FCKerry FC3645:4152
5Longford TownLongford Town3649:4652
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3646:5449
7Athlone TownAthlone Town3642:4348
8WexfordWexford3644:5842
9Treaty UnitedTreaty United3637:5342
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps3633:7028

About the Kerry vs Finn Harps forecast

The forecasts for this First Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First Division

More First Division fixtures and forecasts are on the First Division Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.