Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale Prediction

Fleetwood Town
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Rochdale
Highbury Stadium, Fleetwood 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-8.8%
Fleetwood Town Rest
3 days
Rochdale Rest
3 days

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale: the result in context

Rochdale beat Fleetwood Town 2-1 in the League Two on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.86
X
26%3.58
2
26%3.80
Double Chance
1X
74%1.22
X2
52%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.72
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.18 = 2.59
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
50%1.84
Over 3.5
30%3.10
Under 1.5
27%3.60
Under 2.5
50%1.90
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.44
Over 9.5
50%1.78
Over 10.5
39%2.21
Under 8.5
42%2.56
Under 9.5
50%1.94
Under 10.5
61%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%-
Over 4.5
35%-
Under 3.5
46%-
Under 4.5
65%-

Match Events

8'Dajaune BrownAssist: Glenn Middleton
14'Aden FlintAssist: Dajaune Brown
30'Mark HelmAssist: Aaron Loupalo-Bi
39'Olutobi Adebayo-RowlingHandball
64'Jonny Smith INCian Hayes out
64'K. Taylor INEdward Francis out
64'Kayden Hughes INJake Thomas Batty out
69'Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling
70'Adam Murphy INRonan Coughlan out
73'R. CirinoFoul
84'Glenn Middleton INDevante Rodney out
84'Dajaune Brown INEmmanuel Dieseruvwe out
88'Harvey Gilmour INSam·Sherring out

Lineups

Fleetwood Town
5-3-2Coach: M. Lawlor
Rochdale
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian Watson
Avg rating6.37
Avg rating6.62
J. Lynch6.41J. Lynch
R. Cirino5.329R. Cirino
S. Rooney5.826S. Rooney
F. Potter6.65F. Potter
Kayden Hughes6.232K. Hughes
L. McCann6.214L. McCann
A. Murphy6.415A. Murphy
H. Neal6.44H. Neal
M. Helm7.310M. Helm
A. Loupalo-Bi6.820A. Loupalo-Bi
C. Evans6.317C. Evans
Sam William John Waller6.120S. William John Waller
C. Tasker6.42C. Tasker
A. Flint7.344A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson6.93K. Wilson
O. Adebayo-Rowling5.613O. Adebayo-Rowling
H. Gilmour6.48H. Gilmour
B. Adeeko6.417B. Adeeko
J. Smith6.518J. Smith
G. Middleton7.745G. Middleton
Kane Taylor6.321K. Taylor
D. Brown8.639D. Brown

Fleetwood Town Substitutes

19R. Coughlan70'for Adam Murphy7.2
9W. Davies
36J. Dempsey
22J. Pradic
28J. Robertson
24Jake Thomas Batty64'for Kayden Hughes5.9
35S. Costelloe

Rochdale Substitutes

26S. Sherring88'for Harvey Gilmour6.3
7C. Hayes64'for Jonny Smith6.7
19L. Hannant
10D. Rodney84'for Glenn Middleton6.6
14E. Francis64'for K. Taylor6.3
9E. Dieseruvwe84'for Dajaune Brown6.0
12J. Spaven

Match Stats

Fleetwood TownRochdale
54%Ball Possession46%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal6
13Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box10
8Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots3
12Fouls13
0Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves3
448Total Passes393
355Passes Accurate297
11Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
RochdaleRochdale
1538Elo Rating 1551
1.85Attack 1.33
1.42Defense 0.75
39%Hit Rate 14%
14.0Shots per Game 11.7
4.9Shots on Target 3.4
6.0Corners per Game 6.3
3.1Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0 in first half)
RochdaleRochdale
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
RochdaleRochdale1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

League One10/04/2021
Fleetwood TownRochdale
10
League One03/10/2020
RochdaleFleetwood Town
21

Recent Form

Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town
4W4D2L
22/09/2026
OldhamFleetwood Town
10
L
19/09/2026
BarnetFleetwood Town
31
L
16/09/2026
Fleetwood TownSheffield Utd
10
W
12/09/2026
Newport CountyFleetwood Town
11
D
05/09/2026
Fleetwood TownShrewsbury
20
W
01/09/2026
Fleetwood TownOldham
11
D
29/08/2026
GrimsbyFleetwood Town
22
D
25/08/2026
Fleetwood TownShrewsbury
40
W
22/08/2026
Fleetwood TownGillingham
00
D
15/08/2026
ChesterfieldFleetwood Town
01
W
RochdaleRochdale
3W1D6L
22/09/2026
RochdaleLiverpool U21
6373
L
19/09/2026
RochdaleOldham
20
W
12/09/2026
WalsallRochdale
00
D
05/09/2026
RochdaleGillingham
14
L
01/09/2026
RochdaleShrewsbury
30
W
29/08/2026
ColchesterRochdale
10
L
22/08/2026
RochdaleCrawley Town
12
L
15/08/2026
Newport CountyRochdale
30
L
08/08/2026
BradfordRochdale
20
L
01/08/2026
TranmereRochdale
1222
W

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1281319:12+725WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1063123:15+821LWWWW
3CreweCrewe1256115:11+421LWWWD
4WalsallWalsall1147016:7+919WDDDW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1253421:22-118WLLLW
6YorkYork1145219:13+617DDDWL
7GillinghamGillingham1245317:14+317DLWDL
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1252513:17-417WWLWD
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1244418:16+216DLDWL
10Exeter CityExeter City124448:6+216WDWWL
11Accrington STAccrington ST1236317:16+115DWDWD
12Newport CountyNewport County1236316:15+115DDWDW
13TranmereTranmere1236315:15015WLDLD
14RochdaleRochdale1243515:17-215DLDWW
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1243513:16-315WDLLD
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1250716:20-415LLLLW
17GrimsbyGrimsby1235415:15014DLLLL
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1235414:15-114LWDLL
19ColchesterColchester1126311:14-312DDLDD
20Port ValePort Vale103346:10-412DWWLW
21OldhamOldham1132613:17-411LWDLL
22RotherhamRotherham1225514:20-611DLLLD
23NorthamptonNorthampton102446:8-210LWDLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1012711:20-95LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1219:1225
2BarnetBarnet1023:1521
3CreweCrewe1215:1121
4WalsallWalsall1116:719
5CheltenhamCheltenham1221:2218
6YorkYork1119:1317
7GillinghamGillingham1217:1417
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1213:1717
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1218:1616
10Exeter CityExeter City128:616
11Accrington STAccrington ST1217:1615
12Newport CountyNewport County1216:1515
13TranmereTranmere1215:1515
14RochdaleRochdale1215:1715
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1213:1615
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1216:2015
17GrimsbyGrimsby1215:1514
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1214:1514
19ColchesterColchester1111:1412
20Port ValePort Vale106:1012
21OldhamOldham1113:1711
22RotherhamRotherham1214:2011
23NorthamptonNorthampton106:810
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1011:205
PromotionRelegation

About the Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fleetwood Town and Rochdale in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Rochdale are 14th and Fleetwood Town 18th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Fleetwood Town 14-15, Rochdale 15-17. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fleetwood Town and Rochdale have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.