Rochdale vs Gillingham Prediction

League TwoEngland England · Regular Season - 5
Rochdale
1-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Gillingham
Spotland Stadium, Rochdale 05/09/2026
RochdaleRochdale
1-4
Finished
GillinghamGillingham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalHIGHModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+0.2%
Rochdale Rest
3 days
Gillingham Rest
3 days

Rochdale vs Gillingham: result, form and history

Gillingham beat Rochdale 4-1 in the League Two on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Gillingham have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%2.10
X
23%3.30
2
20%3.40
Double Chance
1X
80%1.29
X2
43%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.82
No
49%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.06 = 2.52
Over 1.5
75%1.32
Over 2.5
52%2.00
Over 3.5
25%3.58
Under 1.5
25%3.19
Under 2.5
48%1.73
Under 3.5
75%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 4 = 10.7
Over 8.5
65%1.51
Over 9.5
56%1.86
Over 10.5
48%2.29
Under 8.5
35%2.40
Under 9.5
44%1.83
Under 10.5
52%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

9'Conor McManusFoul
18'Z. Obiero INE. King out
18'W. Goodwin INL. Sillah out
33'J. BrophyAssist: N. Freeman
46'C. McManus INR. McKenzie out
51'Edward FrancisFoul
53'O. Beckles
56'L. SillahAssist: A. Smith
60'Edward FrancisFoul
60'Edward FrancisFoul
64'L. Dobbs INJ. Daley out
66'Z. Silcott-Duberry INH. Gilmour out
68'J. BrophyAssist: E. King
73'H. Waldock INS. Kendall out
81'L. Hannant INJ. Smith out
81'D. Brown ING. Middleton out
87'C. TaskerAssist: G. Middleton
88'E. Dieseruvwe INI. Henderson out

Lineups

Rochdale
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian Watson
Gillingham
3-1-4-2Coach: Gareth Ainsworth
Avg rating6.21
Avg rating7.06
N. Ramming5.91N. Ramming
C. Tasker7.32C. Tasker
D. Moss5.922D. Moss
K. Wilson4.93K. Wilson
K. Taylor5.321K. Taylor
E. Francis5.514E. Francis
B. Adeeko5.917B. Adeeko
L. Hannant7.219L. Hannant
D. Brown6.639D. Brown
Z. Silcott-Duberry6.511Z. Silcott-Duberry
E. DieseruvweC6.39E. Dieseruvwe
O. Wright1O. Wright
A. Smith7.05A. Smith
O. BecklesC7.919O. Beckles
L. Dobbs6.926L. Dobbs
Z. Obiero6.635Z. Obiero
N. Freeman7.022N. Freeman
J. Brophy9.216J. Brophy
H. Waldock7.024H. Waldock
C. McManus6.23C. McManus
W. Goodwin6.59W. Goodwin
R. Hale6.710R. Hale

Rochdale Substitutes

20S. Waller
13T. Adebayo-Rowling
26S. Sherring
8H. Gilmour66'for Z. Silcott-Duberry6.7
40I. Henderson88'for E. Dieseruvwe
18J. Smith81'for L. Hannant6.3
45G. Middleton81'for D. Brown6.6

Gillingham Substitutes

13T. Holtam
20J. Daley64'for L. Dobbs6.3
14R. McKenzie46'for C. McManus6.9
34E. King18'for Z. Obiero7.9
12G. McCleary
11L. Sillah18'for W. Goodwin56'6.6
18S. Kendall73'for H. Waldock6.3

Match Stats

RochdaleGillingham
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
7Total Shots16
4Shots on Goal6
2Shots off Goal7
5Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box9
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls12
2Offsides6
2Goalkeeper Saves3
425Total Passes354
346Passes Accurate263
81%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

RochdaleRochdale
GillinghamGillingham
1517Elo Rating 1485
1.40Attack 1.69
0.00Defense 0.98
0%Hit Rate 41%
10.7Shots per Game 9.1
3.2Shots on Target 3.2
4.7Corners per Game 3.7
1.8Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RochdaleRochdale
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
GillinghamGillingham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

RochdaleRochdale0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
GillinghamGillingham3Wins · 75%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

League Two18/02/2023
RochdaleGillingham
02
League Two06/08/2022
GillinghamRochdale
10
League One23/01/2021
GillinghamRochdale
22
League One19/12/2020
RochdaleGillingham
14

Recent Form

RochdaleRochdale
2W2D6L
01/09/2026
RochdaleShrewsbury
30
W
29/08/2026
ColchesterRochdale
10
L
22/08/2026
RochdaleCrawley Town
12
L
15/08/2026
Newport CountyRochdale
30
L
08/08/2026
BradfordRochdale
20
L01/08/2026
TranmereRochdale
1222
W
28/07/2026
RochdaleFC Halifax Town
23
L
25/07/2026
RochdaleFarnham Town
22
D
19/07/2026
RochdaleAl-Rayyan SC
33
D
14/07/2026
United of ManchesterRochdale
20
L
GillinghamGillingham
4W3D3L
01/09/2026
ChesterfieldGillingham
11
D
29/08/2026
GillinghamNorthampton
11
D
22/08/2026
Fleetwood TownGillingham
00
D
15/08/2026
GillinghamWalsall
03
L
08/08/2026
GillinghamLuton
03
L
31/07/2026
Ebbsfleet UnitedGillingham
12
W
21/07/2026
GillinghamMillwall
10
W
18/07/2026
GillinghamCharlton
01
L
14/07/2026
DoverGillingham
03
W
02/05/2026
GillinghamShrewsbury
10
W

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City14101325:15+1031WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1375128:18+1026DWDLW
3WalsallWalsall1357121:12+922WLWDD
4CreweCrewe1457217:17022DLLWW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1463523:25-221LWWLL
6GrimsbyGrimsby1455424:18+620WWDLL
7YorkYork1455424:21+320LLWDD
8GillinghamGillingham1455420:19+120WLDLW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1447323:17+619DWDWD
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1454524:21+319LWDLD
11TranmereTranmere1447319:17+219WDWLD
12Exeter CityExeter City1454511:9+219LWWDW
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1454515:17-219WDWDL
14Newport CountyNewport County1446420:17+318WLDDW
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1453617:22-518LDWWL
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1445518:18017WLLWD
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1451817:23-616LDLLL
18OldhamOldham1443715:19-415WLDLW
19Port ValePort Vale1243510:14-415WLDWW
20RochdaleRochdale1443717:26-915LLDLD
21NorthamptonNorthampton133559:10-114LDWLW
22RotherhamRotherham1426618:25-712LDDLL
23ColchesterColchester1326512:19-712LLDDL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1223713:21-89WDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1425:1531
2BarnetBarnet1328:1826
3WalsallWalsall1321:1222
4CreweCrewe1417:1722
5CheltenhamCheltenham1423:2521
6GrimsbyGrimsby1424:1820
7YorkYork1424:2120
8GillinghamGillingham1420:1920
9Accrington STAccrington ST1423:1719
10ChesterfieldChesterfield1424:2119
11TranmereTranmere1419:1719
12Exeter CityExeter City1411:919
13Swindon TownSwindon Town1415:1719
14Newport CountyNewport County1420:1718
15ShrewsburyShrewsbury1417:2218
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1418:1817
17Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1417:2316
18OldhamOldham1415:1915
19Port ValePort Vale1210:1415
20RochdaleRochdale1417:2615
21NorthamptonNorthampton139:1014
22RotherhamRotherham1418:2512
23ColchesterColchester1312:1912
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1213:219
PromotionRelegation

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About the Rochdale vs Gillingham forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rochdale and Gillingham in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Gillingham are 8th and Rochdale 20th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Rochdale 17-26, Gillingham 20-19. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.