Rochdale vs Oldham Prediction

Rochdale
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Oldham
Spotland, Rochdale 19/09/2026
RochdaleRochdale
2-0
Finished
OldhamOldham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+6.5%
Rochdale Rest
6 days
Oldham Rest
6 days

Rochdale vs Oldham: the result in context

Rochdale beat Oldham 2-0 in the League Two on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Rochdale tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.8 for Oldham.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.66
X
28%3.54
2
40%1.91
Double Chance
1X
60%1.80
X2
68%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.64
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.22 = 2.61
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
53%1.75
Over 3.5
30%2.75
Under 1.5
25%3.80
Under 2.5
47%2.00
Under 3.5
70%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.54
Over 9.5
54%1.93
Over 10.5
41%2.42
Under 8.5
37%2.30
Under 9.5
46%1.80
Under 10.5
59%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%-
Over 4.5
34%-
Under 3.5
47%-
Under 4.5
66%-

Match Events

7'Daniel MossAssist: K. Taylor
45'Kai Payne INCalum Kavanagh out
57'Jonny Smith INLuke Hannant out
63'Dajaune BrownAssist: Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko
66'Favour fawunmi INJosh Hawkes out
66'Donervorn Daniels INLewis Temple out
67'Kaiden Wilson INLaurence Maguire out
67'Daniel Moss INOlutobi Adebayo-Rowling out
77'Dajaune Brown INEmmanuel Dieseruvwe out
77'K. Taylor INEdward Francis out

Lineups

Rochdale
4-2-3-1Coach: Ian Watson
Oldham
4-2-3-1Coach: Micky Mellon
Avg rating7.01
Avg rating6.28
Nils Ramming6.51N. Ramming
C. Tasker7.12C. Tasker
A. Flint6.644A. Flint
Kaiden Wilson7.13K. Wilson
D. Moss8.322D. Moss
H. Gilmour6.88H. Gilmour
B. Adeeko7.317B. Adeeko
J. Smith7.118J. Smith
Kane Taylor7.521K. Taylor
G. Middleton6.345G. Middleton
D. Brown7.739D. Brown
M. Hudson5.71M. Hudson
G. Scott-Morriss5.82G. Scott-Morriss
D. Daniels5.55D. Daniels
E. Monthe6.56E. Monthe
J. Robson6.93J. Robson
O. Norburn6.88O. Norburn
K. Appiah-Forson6.47K. Appiah-Forson
F. Fawunmi6.717F. Fawunmi
Kai Payne6.326K. Payne
K. Drummond6.415K. Drummond
M. Fondop-Talum6.09M. Fondop-Talum

Rochdale Substitutes

9E. Dieseruvwe77'for Dajaune Brown6.4
14E. Francis77'for K. Taylor6.8
19L. Hannant57'for Jonny Smith6.9
7C. Hayes
5L. Maguire67'for Kaiden Wilson6.7
20Sam William John Waller
13O. Adebayo-Rowling67'for Daniel Moss7.3

Oldham Substitutes

14N. Chilvers
27O. Hammond
21J. Hawkes66'for Favour fawunmi6.1
10C. Kavanagh45'for Kai Payne6.5
4T. Pett
24L. Temple66'for Donervorn Daniels6.3
22Wilson Wilson

Match Stats

RochdaleOldham
49%Ball Possession51%
0Corner Kicks6
7Total Shots18
2Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal15
6Shots Inside Box11
1Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots2
16Fouls11
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves0
356Total Passes372
259Passes Accurate273
11Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

RochdaleRochdale
OldhamOldham
1551Elo Rating 1522
1.33Attack 1.84
0.75Defense 1.01
14%Hit Rate 42%
11.7Shots per Game 15.1
3.4Shots on Target 4.1
6.3Corners per Game 3.8
1.2Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RochdaleRochdale
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
OldhamOldham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

RochdaleRochdale0Wins · 0%
Draws350%
OldhamOldham3Wins · 50%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

National League15/03/2025
OldhamRochdale
11
National League04/02/2025
RochdaleOldham
01
National League06/04/2024
OldhamRochdale
11
National League21/10/2023
RochdaleOldham
34
League Two29/01/2022
OldhamRochdale
00
League Two25/09/2021
RochdaleOldham
01

Recent Form

RochdaleRochdale
2W2D6L
12/09/2026
WalsallRochdale
00
D
05/09/2026
RochdaleGillingham
14
L
01/09/2026
RochdaleShrewsbury
30
W
29/08/2026
ColchesterRochdale
10
L
22/08/2026
RochdaleCrawley Town
12
L
15/08/2026
Newport CountyRochdale
30
L
08/08/2026
BradfordRochdale
20
L
01/08/2026
TranmereRochdale
1222
W
28/07/2026
RochdaleFC Halifax Town
23
L
25/07/2026
RochdaleFarnham Town
22
D
OldhamOldham
3W1D6L
12/09/2026
OldhamChesterfield
12
L
05/09/2026
TranmereOldham
20
L
01/09/2026
Fleetwood TownOldham
11
D
29/08/2026
OldhamSwindon Town
30
W
22/08/2026
ColchesterOldham
21
L
15/08/2026
OldhamPort Vale
20
W
08/08/2026
Stoke CityOldham
20
L
01/08/2026
OldhamSheffield Wednesday
40
W
28/07/2026
OldhamStockport County
01
L
21/07/2026
OldhamBolton
13
L

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1281319:12+725WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1063123:15+821LWWWW
3CreweCrewe1256115:11+421LWWWD
4WalsallWalsall1147016:7+919WDDDW
5CheltenhamCheltenham1253421:22-118WLLLW
6YorkYork1145219:13+617DDDWL
7GillinghamGillingham1245317:14+317DLWDL
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1252513:17-417WWLWD
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1244418:16+216DLDWL
10Exeter CityExeter City124448:6+216WDWWL
11Accrington STAccrington ST1236317:16+115DWDWD
12Newport CountyNewport County1236316:15+115DDWDW
13TranmereTranmere1236315:15015WLDLD
14RochdaleRochdale1243515:17-215DLDWW
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1243513:16-315WDLLD
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1250716:20-415LLLLW
17GrimsbyGrimsby1235415:15014DLLLL
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1235414:15-114LWDLL
19ColchesterColchester1126311:14-312DDLDD
20Port ValePort Vale103346:10-412DWWLW
21OldhamOldham1132613:17-411LWDLL
22RotherhamRotherham1225514:20-611DLLLD
23NorthamptonNorthampton102446:8-210LWDLL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1012711:20-95LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1219:1225
2BarnetBarnet1023:1521
3CreweCrewe1215:1121
4WalsallWalsall1116:719
5CheltenhamCheltenham1221:2218
6YorkYork1119:1317
7GillinghamGillingham1217:1417
8ShrewsburyShrewsbury1213:1717
9ChesterfieldChesterfield1218:1616
10Exeter CityExeter City128:616
11Accrington STAccrington ST1217:1615
12Newport CountyNewport County1216:1515
13TranmereTranmere1215:1515
14RochdaleRochdale1215:1715
15Swindon TownSwindon Town1213:1615
16Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1216:2015
17GrimsbyGrimsby1215:1514
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1214:1514
19ColchesterColchester1111:1412
20Port ValePort Vale106:1012
21OldhamOldham1113:1711
22RotherhamRotherham1214:2011
23NorthamptonNorthampton106:810
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1011:205
PromotionRelegation

About the Rochdale vs Oldham forecast

The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rochdale and Oldham in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Rochdale are 14th and Oldham 21st, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Rochdale 15-17, Oldham 13-17. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.