Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken Prediction

Merkur Spielarena, Dusseldorf·Leonidas Exuzidis 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Fortuna Düsseldorf Rest
2 days
FC Saarbrücken Rest
3 days

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken: the result in context

FC Saarbrücken beat Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-1 in the 3. Liga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.07
X
25%3.56
2
31%2.98
Double Chance
1X
68%1.33
X2
56%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.45
No
37%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.48 = 3.18
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
63%1.50
Over 3.5
42%2.24
Under 1.5
18%4.65
Under 2.5
37%2.40
Under 3.5
58%1.57
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'Jordi PaulinaAssist: Jorrit Hendrix
13'Kai BrünkerAssist: Niko Bretschneider
43'Mladen cvjetinovicFoul
50'Kelsey OwusuAssist: Kai Brünker
58'Gokdeniz Gurpuz INAlexander Staff out
63'Jomaine Consbruch INFabian Schleusener out
73'Jordi Paulina INPhilipp Förster out
73'Jorrit Hendrix INMiguel Fernandes Goncalves out
73'Kelsey Owusu INSeung-joon Lee out
81'Andreas Müller INLukas Bornschein out
81'Erik Wekesser INSascha Risch out
82'Kai Brünker INKaan Caliskaner out
82'Florian Pick INMaurice Multhaup out
88'Lukas BornscheinFoul
90'Alexander StaffAssist: Kaan Caliskaner
90+1'Alexander StaffFoul

Lineups

Fortuna Düsseldorf
4-4-2Coach: A. Ende
FC Saarbrücken
4-4-2Coach: Argirios Giannikis
Avg rating5.97
Avg rating6.45
L. Lord5.722L. Lord
S. van der Sloot5.62S. van der Sloot
T. Oberdorf6.315T. Oberdorf
E .Egouli5.944E. .Egouli
E. Wekesser5.57E. Wekesser
E. Arden5.838E. Arden
A. Müller6.06A. Müller
J. Hendrix6.28J. Hendrix
J. Consbruch5.814J. Consbruch
E. Hottmann6.39E. Hottmann
J. Paulina7.127J. Paulina
M. Bignetti6.11M. Bignetti
P. Fahrner6.342P. Fahrner
M. Cvjetinović6.721M. Cvjetinović
S. Voet6.34S. Voet
N. Bretschneider6.528N. Bretschneider
F. Pick6.320F. Pick
Daniel Gleiber6.45D. Gleiber
Gökdeniz Gürpüz6.38G. Gürpüz
K. Meisel7.431K. Meisel
K. Brünker7.59K. Brünker
C. Kühlwetter6.510C. Kühlwetter

Fortuna Düsseldorf Substitutes

1L. Rieß
25M. Zimmermann
28S. Risch81'for Erik Wekesser5.9
10P. Förster73'for Jordi Paulina6.1
18M. Goncalves73'for Jorrit Hendrix5.4
5Y. Bouchama
4L. Bornschein81'for Andreas Müller88'5.6
16M. Benger
24F. Schleusener63'for Jomaine Consbruch6.3

FC Saarbrücken Substitutes

33K. Broll
3Anton Bäuerle
14Z. Shuaib
15A. Kamara
16Lee Seung-Joon73'for Kelsey Owusu6.0
11M. Multhaup82'for Florian Pick5.9
7C. Rizzuto
29A. Staff58'for Gokdeniz Gurpuz90'90+1'7.0
22K. Caliskaner82'for Kai Brünker5.9

Match Stats

Fortuna DüsseldorfFC Saarbrücken
54%Ball Possession46%
8Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
14Total Shots7
2Shots on Goal6
12Shots off Goal1
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf
FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken
1562Elo Rating 1616
1.22Attack 2.02
1.38Defense 1.23
19%Hit Rate 44%
12.0Shots per Game 13.4
3.0Shots on Target 6.0
4.8Corners per Game 6.2
2.3Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.18 goals

Game State Tendencies

Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf
4W2D4L
14/10/2026
Preußen MünsterFortuna Düsseldorf
12
W
11/10/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfVerl
22
D
19/09/2026
Alemannia AachenFortuna Düsseldorf
10
L
15/09/2026
SSV Jahn RegensburgFortuna Düsseldorf
12
W
12/09/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfMSV Duisburg
21
W
06/09/2026
Fortuna KölnFortuna Düsseldorf
00
D
28/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfStuttgart II
10
W
23/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg
15
L
15/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfHoffenheim II
02
L
07/08/2026
Waldhof MannheimFortuna Düsseldorf
21
L
FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken
4W2D4L
13/10/2026
FC SaarbrückenMSV Duisburg
24
L
10/10/2026
Fortuna KölnFC Saarbrücken
00
D
02/10/2026
FC SaarbrückenNancy
21
W
19/09/2026
FC SaarbrückenSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
21
W
16/09/2026
Preußen MünsterFC Saarbrücken
33
D
12/09/2026
FC SaarbrückenFC Ingolstadt 04
01
L
05/09/2026
SV MeppenFC Saarbrücken
16
W
30/08/2026
FC SaarbrückenHansa Rostock
24
L
22/08/2026
FC SaarbrückenHertha BSC
2141
L
16/08/2026
SSV Jahn RegensburgFC Saarbrücken
01
W

Referee Profile

Leonidas Exuzidis84 matches

5.36Cards per match
5.12Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Leonidas Exuzidis5.36
Other referees4.92

5.36 cards a match, 0.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.92).

Cards come from 25 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

3. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1181228:14+1425LDWWW
2FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1172230:15+1523WDDWW
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1163219:13+621WLWDD
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1152426:20+617LWLDW
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1152417:17017WWLLW
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041152415:16-117WWWLL
7Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1151520:17+316WLLWW
8Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1151521:19+216LWLLW
9Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1144318:20-216DLLWD
10SV WehenSV Wehen1143419:16+315WDWWL
11Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1143419:21-215WLLDL
12Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1143412:14-215DLWDL
13SV MeppenSV Meppen1142516:17-114WDWDL
14Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1142518:20-214LWWDD
15VerlVerl1133516:22-612LLDDW
16SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1133513:25-1212LWDLL
17Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1132615:23-811LWDLL
18SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1124520:20010LDDWD
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln112458:12-410LLLDW
20HavelseHavelse1123616:25-99WDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1128:1425
2FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1130:1523
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1119:1321
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1126:2017
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1117:1717
6FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041115:1617
7Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1120:1716
8Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1121:1916
9Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1118:2016
10SV WehenSV Wehen1119:1615
11Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1119:2115
12Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1112:1415
13SV MeppenSV Meppen1116:1714
14Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1118:2014
15VerlVerl1116:2212
16SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1113:2512
17Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1115:2311
18SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1120:2010
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln118:1210
20HavelseHavelse1116:259
PromotionRelegation

About the Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken forecast

The forecasts for this 3. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fortuna Düsseldorf and FC Saarbrücken in the 3. Liga table

In the 3. Liga table, FC Saarbrücken are 4th and Fortuna Düsseldorf 12th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Fortuna Düsseldorf 12-14, FC Saarbrücken 26-20. The full standings are on the 3. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Fortuna Düsseldorf and FC Saarbrücken have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.