Tromso vs Valerenga Prediction

Tromso
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Valerenga
Alfheim, Tromso· Svein Tore Sinnes, Norway 11/07/2026
TromsoTromso
4-0
Finished
ValerengaValerenga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel51%RiskMediumGap+0.6%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.78
SignalGOODModel49%RiskMediumGap+8.5%
Tromso Rest
42 days
Valerenga Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.73
X
24%3.73
2
25%4.47
Double Chance
1X
75%1.20
X2
49%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 1.08 = 3.08
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.73
Over 3.5
41%2.77
Under 1.5
17%3.95
Under 2.5
41%2.07
Under 3.5
59%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.1 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.36
Over 9.5
52%1.57
Over 10.5
40%1.93
Under 8.5
37%2.97
Under 9.5
48%2.23
Under 10.5
60%1.78
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 2.4 = 3.6
Over 3.5
38%-
Over 4.5
25%-
Under 3.5
62%-
Under 4.5
75%-

Match Events

12'H. LarsenAssist: R. Jenssen
22'J. Hjerto-DahlAssist: V. Skjaervik
45+2'H. LarsenAssist: L. Cornic
60'M. Westergaard INM. Ofkir out
67'H. Larsen IND. Braut out
67'R. Jenssen INT. Nyhammer out
72'P. Strand INL. Haren out
73'I. Nasberg INK. Tshiembe out
74'D. Edvardsson
75'S. Innvaer INM. Tonnessen out
75'J. Hjerto-Dahl INS. Prestmo out
80'T. NyhammerAssist: D. Edvardsson
81'L. O. Larsen INJ. Grundt out
82'M. Grundetjern ING. Rajkovic out
82'H. Sjatil INS. Jarl out
86'S. Jarl

Lineups

Tromso
5-3-2Coach: Jorgen Vik
Valerenga
4-4-2Coach: Johannes Moesgaard
Jakob Haugaard1J. HaugaardJakob Haugaard
Leo Cornic2L. CornicLeo Cornic
Vetle Skjaervik4V. SkjaervikVetle Skjaervik
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal21T. Kvalvagnes GuddalTobias Kvalvagnes Guddal
Isak Vadebu30I. VadebuIsak Vadebu
Sander Innvær37S. InnværSander Innvær
David Edvardsson5D. EdvardssonDavid Edvardsson
Ruben Jenssen11R. JenssenRuben Jenssen
Jens Hjertø-Dahl6J. Hjertø-DahlJens Hjertø-Dahl
Lars Olden Larsen7L. Olden LarsenLars Olden Larsen
Heine Asen Larsen22H. Asen LarsenHeine Asen Larsen
Oscar Hedvall1O. HedvallOscar Hedvall
Hakon Sjatil3H. SjatilHakon Sjatil
Aaron Kiil Olsen4A. Kiil OlsenAaron Kiil Olsen
Ivan Näsberg37I. NäsbergIvan Näsberg
Kolbeinn Finnsson2K. FinnssonKolbeinn Finnsson
Magnus Westergaard28M. WestergaardMagnus Westergaard
Ambina Fidèle Brice29A. Fidèle BriceAmbina Fidèle Brice
Carl Lange10C. LangeCarl Lange
Petter Strand24P. StrandPetter Strand
Henrik Bjørdal8H. BjørdalHenrik Bjørdal
Mathias Grundetjern17M. GrundetjernMathias Grundetjern

Tromso Substitutes

10Troy NyhammerM
9Daniel BrautF
3Mathias TonnessenD
14Sigurd PrestmoF
8Jesper Andreas GrundtM
12Ole LauvliG
27Mads MikkelsenM
19Aleksander Lilletun ElvebuM

Valerenga Substitutes

7Mohamed OfkirM
77Lucas HarenM
5Kevin TshiembeD
55Sebastian JarlD
9Gabriel RajkovicF
30Alexander Svensen OrdalG
6Vegar Eggen HedenstadD
22Stian Sjøvold ThorstensenM
90Ole Christian SaeterF

Match Stats

TromsoValerenga
38%Ball Possession62%
4Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots18
8Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box12
6Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots9
10Fouls10
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
407Total Passes639
328Passes Accurate556
81%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

TromsoTromso
ValerengaValerenga
1636Elo Rating 1550
1.51Attack 2.91
0.53Defense 0.19
14%Hit Rate 17%
10.6Shots per Game 16.0
5.2Shots on Target 5.0
3.8Corners per Game 6.3
2.4Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.09 goals
📈BTTS Trend39% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

TromsoTromso
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ValerengaValerenga
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Tromso 23%Draw 50%27% Valerenga
1.29Avg Goals
39%BTTS Rate
23%Over 2.5

Recent Form

TromsoTromso
1W3D1L
29/05/2026
KFUM OsloTromso
00
D
25/05/2026
TromsoAalesund
11
D
16/05/2026
Bodo/GlimtTromso
50
L
10/05/2026
TromsoMolde
20
W
03/05/2026
StartTromso
11
D
ValerengaValerenga
2W1D2L
04/07/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
31
W
27/06/2026
ValerengaGais
12
L
18/06/2026
IFK GoteborgValerenga
11
D
29/05/2026
ValerengaKristiansund BK
31
W
25/05/2026
StartValerenga
20
L

Referee Profile

Svein Tore Sinnes, Norway · 17 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 14% of referees analysed

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt20162252:17+3550WWWWW
2VikingViking20152351:20+3147WDWLW
3MoldeMolde20113643:30+1336WWWWL
4TromsoTromso20105537:27+1035LLDLW
5LillestromLillestrom20102828:26+232WWLDL
6RosenborgRosenborg2093836:29+730WWLWW
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2083924:31-727DLWWW
8BrannBrann20821037:31+626LLDWW
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2067723:26-325DDDLL
10Ham-KamHam-Kam2065927:41-1423LLDLD
11ValerengaValerenga20641033:42-922LDLDL
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo20641022:34-1222WLLDW
13SandefjordSandefjord20551018:27-920LDDWL
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK20541120:37-1719LWDLW
15AalesundAalesund2039831:45-1418LWLDD
16StartStart20441222:41-1916WLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2052:1750
2VikingViking2051:2047
3MoldeMolde2043:3036
4TromsoTromso2037:2735
5LillestromLillestrom2028:2632
6RosenborgRosenborg2036:2930
7FredrikstadFredrikstad2024:3127
8BrannBrann2037:3126
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2023:2625
10Ham-KamHam-Kam2027:4123
11ValerengaValerenga2033:4222
12KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2022:3422
13SandefjordSandefjord2018:2720
14Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2020:3719
15AalesundAalesund2031:4518
16StartStart2022:4116
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

Tromso vs Valerenga Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Eliteserien fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Eliteserien

ScorePredicts covers Norway football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Tromso and Valerenga have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.29 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.