Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-9.3%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.45
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.4%
Bayer Leverkusen Rest
3 days
RB Leipzig Rest
7 days
Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig: result, form and history
Bayer Leverkusen beat RB Leipzig 2-0 in the Bundesliga on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Bayer Leverkusen have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.7 goals a game. Bayer Leverkusen tend to win more corners, 8.8 a game to 5.1 for RB Leipzig.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
147%1.85
X24%4.30
229%3.55
Double Chance
1X71%1.30
X253%1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes69%1.30
No31%3.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.25 + 1.18 = 3.43
Over 1.584%1.05
Over 2.568%1.29
Over 3.551%1.77
Under 1.516%7.65
Under 2.532%3.50
Under 3.549%2.08
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.7 = 9.5
Over 8.562%1.40
Over 9.551%1.68
Over 10.534%2.07
Under 8.538%2.70
Under 9.549%2.11
Under 10.566%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.548%1.79
Over 4.529%2.65
Under 3.552%2.02
Under 4.571%1.45
Match Events
11'Antonio Nusa
26'Brajan Gruda INTidiam Gomis out
34'Goal cancelledChristopher Nkunku
44'Patrik SchickAssist: Miguel Gutiérrez
57'Miguel Gutiérrez
67'Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz INAndrija Maksimović out
67'Ezechiel Banzuzi INNicolas Seiwald out
72'Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo INRobert Andrich out
74'Neil El AynaouiFoul
77'Patrik Schick INChristian Kofane out
82'Edmond TapsobaFoul
84'Christopher Nkunku INSamba Konaté out
84'Ridle Baku INBenjamin Henrichs out
89'Moussa Diaby INLucas Vázquez out
90+1'Benjamin HenrichsArgument
90+1'Afonso MoreiraArgument
Lineups
Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig
4-2-3-1Coach: M. DemichelisAvg ratingAvg rating
1M. Flekken
4J. Quansah
12E. Tapsoba
2F. Medina
3M. Gutiérrez
24A. García
6E. Fernández
19M. Diaby
30I. Maza
9A. Moreira
14P. Schick
26M. Vandevoordt
17R. Baku
4W. Orbán
3M. Estève
22D. Raum
6E. Banzuzi
21N. El Aynaoui
10B. Gruda
28C. Nkunku
7A. Nusa
40RômuloBayer Leverkusen Substitutes
8R. Andrich72'for Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo
5L. Badé
28J. Blaswich
22V. Boniface
7J. Hofmann
35Christian Kofane77'for Patrik Schick
17Lucas Vázquez89'for Moussa Diaby
11M. Terrier
10M. Tillman
RB Leipzig Substitutes
35Max Finkgräfe
27T. Gomis26'for Brajan Gruda
39B. Henrichs84'for Ridle Baku90+1'
16L. Klostermann
45S. Konate84'for Christopher Nkunku
2A. Koné
30A. MaksimoviÄ67'for Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
1Ø. Nyland
13N. Seiwald67'for Ezechiel Banzuzi
Match Stats
Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig 51%Ball Possession49%
9Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots12
6Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
14Fouls8
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
484Total Passes473
413Passes Accurate411
7Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig1854Elo Rating 1852
1.71Attack 2.19
0.93Defense 1.43
34%Hit Rate 59%
19.2Shots per Game 13.7
6.9Shots on Target 6.1
8.8Corners per Game 5.1
2.7Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.43 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Bayer Leverkusen- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
RB Leipzig- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Bayer Leverkusen6Wins · 60%Draws110%
RB Leipzig3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%3.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
02/05/2026Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig41
20/12/2025RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen13
25/01/2025RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen22
31/08/2024Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig23
20/01/2024RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen23
19/08/2023Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig32
23/04/2023Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig20
29/10/2022RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen20
17/04/2022Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig01
28/11/2021RB LeipzigBayer Leverkusen13
Recent Form
Bayer Leverkusen7W1D2L
16/09/2026Bayer Leverkusen
Celje
12/09/2026Bayer LeverkusenCelje20
W
FC AugsburgBayer Leverkusen22
D05/09/2026Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin40
W29/08/2026
SV ElversbergBayer Leverkusen32
L22/08/2026
SV WehenBayer Leverkusen
SV WehenBayer Leverkusen04
W15/08/2026
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen12
W12/08/2026
Nottingham ForestBayer Leverkusen
Nottingham ForestBayer Leverkusen21
L08/08/2026Bayer Leverkusen
Sevilla
Bayer LeverkusenSevilla21
W01/08/2026Bayer Leverkusen
Rot-Weiß Essen
Bayer LeverkusenRot-Weiß Essen30
W29/07/2026Bayer Leverkusen
Genk
Bayer LeverkusenGenk40
WRB Leipzig6W0D4L
13/09/2026RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
ComoRB Leipzig
Werder BremenRB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB LeipzigHamburger SV50
W10/09/2026ComoRB Leipzig41
L05/09/2026Werder BremenRB Leipzig31
L29/08/2026RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach30
W22/08/2026
Eintracht TrierRB Leipzig
Eintracht TrierRB Leipzig06
W15/08/2026
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig31
L08/08/2026
LeedsRB Leipzig
LeedsRB Leipzig20
L01/08/2026RB Leipzig
Verl
RB LeipzigVerl40
W25/07/2026RB Leipzig
FC Ingolstadt 04
RB LeipzigFC Ingolstadt 0410
W18/07/2026
AltglienickeRB Leipzig
AltglienickeRB Leipzig12
WReferee Profile
4.33Cards per match
4.15Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.32 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).
Cards come from 135 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | 21 | WDWWD |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 | WWLLW |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 | WLLWW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | LWWDD |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 13 | LWLWL |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 9 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | DWLWL |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 | WLLWW |
| 12 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 10 | LLLWL |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 | DDWDL |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 15 |  1. FC Köln | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 | LDDLW |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:21 | -14 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 4 | LDWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 29:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 27:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | 17:18 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 20:20 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 10:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 7:21 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 12:25 | 4 |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Bundesliga matches
- Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln 19/09/26
- Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg 19/09/26
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 19/09/26
- VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund 19/09/26
- FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg 20/09/26
- SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim 20/09/26
- Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen 09/10/26
- 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV 10/10/26
About the Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga table
RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen are close in the Bundesliga table, 4th and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Bayer Leverkusen 20-17, RB Leipzig 27-13. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.