Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 8
06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-3.1%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.81
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+7.7%
Velez Sarsfield Rest
3 days
Estudiantes L.P. Rest
5 days
Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P.: result, form and history
Velez Sarsfield beat Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 6 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Estudiantes L.P. had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Velez Sarsfield.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.37
X33%2.90
226%3.40
Double Chance
1X74%1.29
X259%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%2.20
No48%1.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 1 = 2.13
Over 1.564%1.58
Over 2.540%2.70
Over 3.521%5.40
Under 1.536%2.38
Under 2.560%1.44
Under 3.579%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.4 = 9.6
Over 8.559%1.81
Over 9.551%2.38
Over 10.535%3.05
Under 8.541%1.92
Under 9.549%1.52
Under 10.565%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.564%1.39
Over 4.545%1.68
Under 3.536%2.57
Under 4.555%2.05
Match Events
25'Thiago SilveroFoul
33'Alexis CastroDissent
34'Penalty cancelledSimón Escobar
40'Ronaldo MartinezAssist: Thiago Silvero
45'Brian Aguirre INJoaquín Correa out
45'Gabriel Neves INLucas Piovi out
45+1'Tiago Tomas PalaciosFoul
47'Edwuin CetreFoul
56'Lucas PioviFoul
65'Adolfo Gaich INGuido Carrillo out
65'Edwuin Cetre INJoaquín Tobio Burgos out
65'Juan Cruz Policella INManuel Lanzini out
72'Lucas Robertone INLuca Feler out
73'Ronaldo Martinez INThiago Aguirre out
73'Matías PellegriniFoul
77'Leandro Gonzalez Pirez INSantiago Núñez out
90'Matías Pellegrini INMatias Arias out
90+5'Joaquín CorreaDissent
Lineups
Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.
4-2-3-1Coach: Alexander MedinaAvg ratingAvg rating
1T. Marchiori
4J. García
32T. Silveor
2E. Mammana
3E. Gómez
29R. Aliendro
8L. Robertone
11M. Pellegrini
37J. Policella
18S. Escobar
77R. Martínez
16F. Muslera
20E. Meza
14L. González
24T. Palacios
13G. Benedetti
8G. Neves
22A. Castro
18E. Cetré
31B. Gallego
28B. Aguirre
19A. GaichVelez Sarsfield Substitutes
35M. Arias90'for Matías Pellegrini
39T. Aguirre73'for Ronaldo Martinez
5C. Baeza
19L. Cristaldo
48Luca Feler72'for Lucas Robertone
15D. Godoy
22M. Lanzini65'for Juan Cruz Policella
16L. Magallán
47A. Pereyra
30L. Piola
23F. Sanguinetti
17A. Verón
Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes
21Lucas Ezequiel Piovi45'for Gabriel Neves56'
27L. Alario
9G. Carrillo65'for Adolfo Gaich
32J. Correa45'for Brian Aguirre90+5'
39J. Elías
1F. Iacovich
40E. Mancuso
34M. Monsalve
4S. Núñez77'for Leandro Gonzalez Pirez
29F. Pérez Escudero
7J. Sosa
17J. Burgos65'for Edwuin Cetre
Match Stats
Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P. 45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards5
11Total Shots6
3Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box5
2Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots2
16Fouls19
1Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves2
381Total Passes472
251Passes Accurate343
19Free Kicks15
Team Comparison
Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.1732Elo Rating 1665
2.16Attack 1.20
1.85Defense 1.17
42%Hit Rate 0%
16.6Shots per Game 13.6
6.2Shots on Target 4.8
6.5Corners per Game 5.6
2.3Cards per Game 3.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Velez Sarsfield- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Estudiantes L.P.- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Velez Sarsfield4Wins · 50%Draws113%
Estudiantes L.P.3Wins · 37%
3Wins · 37%2.6Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8
Previous meetings
02/03/2026Estudiantes L.P.Velez Sarsfield01
24/09/2024Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.20
08/05/2023Estudiantes L.P.Velez Sarsfield20
17/10/2022Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.40
25/05/2022Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.40
08/04/2022Estudiantes L.P.Velez Sarsfield41
07/03/2022Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.11
28/11/2021Estudiantes L.P.Velez Sarsfield10
Recent Form
Velez Sarsfield3W5D2L
03/09/2026Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
29/08/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors3040
L
Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield11
D24/08/2026
River PlateVelez Sarsfield22
D18/08/2026Velez Sarsfield
Defensa Y Justicia11
D09/08/2026Boca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield11
D04/08/2026Velez Sarsfield
Independiente10
W31/07/2026
Talleres CordobaVelez Sarsfield13
W25/07/2026Velez Sarsfield
Instituto Cordoba10
W11/05/2026Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia L.P.
Velez SarsfieldGimnasia L.P.01
L05/05/2026Velez Sarsfield
Newells Old Boys
Velez SarsfieldNewells Old Boys11
DEstudiantes L.P.4W2D4L
01/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.Newells Old Boys
Sarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.
U. CatolicaEstudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.Gimnasia L.P.Estudiantes L.P.U. CatolicaDeportivo RiestraEstudiantes L.P.Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y JusticiaEstudiantes L.P.Independiente
Estudiantes L.P.Newells Old Boys00
D28/08/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Barracas Central
23/08/2026Estudiantes L.P.Barracas Central31
WSarmiento JuninEstudiantes L.P.20
L19/08/2026U. CatolicaEstudiantes L.P.03
W15/08/2026Estudiantes L.P.Gimnasia L.P.40
W12/08/2026Estudiantes L.P.U. Catolica11
D08/08/2026Deportivo RiestraEstudiantes L.P.20
L06/08/2026Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.10
L01/08/2026Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia30
W26/07/2026Estudiantes L.P.Independiente02
LLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | DDLLD |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWLLD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | WDLDD |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | DDDWW |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | LDDWW |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | DDWWD |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LDWLW |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | WWWLD |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | DLLLD |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | DDDWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 34 | DDWWD |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24:14 | +10 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:17 | +8 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21:15 | +6 | 28 | LDWLW |
| 5 | Lanus | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:12 | +7 | 26 | DDDWW |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | DDDWL |
| 7 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18:17 | +1 | 22 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 10 | Platense | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 20 | WWWLD |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 19 | LDDWW |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21:22 | -1 | 16 | DDLLD |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 11 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 26:15 | 34 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 24:14 | 33 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 25:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Lanus | 16 | 19:12 | 26 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 16:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Independiente | 16 | 15:16 | 23 |
| 8 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 18:17 | 22 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:24 | 21 |
| 10 | Platense | 16 | 18:20 | 20 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 9:16 | 19 |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 21:22 | 16 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 12:26 | 11 |
Liga Profesional Argentina
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 32 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 46:23 | +23 | 63 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Rosario Central | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | +18 | 62 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 37:27 | +10 | 60 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50:39 | +11 | 57 | DWLDL |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 44:39 | +5 | 57 | WWWWD |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | 43:29 | +14 | 56 | LDWWL |
| 7 | River Plate | 32 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 43:26 | +17 | 55 | WLWWD |
| 8 | Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 43:32 | +11 | 55 | DDWWD |
| 9 | Lanus | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 37:27 | +10 | 50 | DDDWW |
| 10 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 34:28 | +6 | 49 | LDLLW |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 40:29 | +11 | 47 | DDLLD |
| 12 | Barracas Central | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 32:28 | +4 | 47 | WDWDW |
| 13 | Independiente | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 47 | LDWLW |
| 15 |  Huracan | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 31:29 | +2 | 44 | WLLLL |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 48:44 | +4 | 42 | WDWDL |
| 17 | Gimnasia M. | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 32:39 | -7 | 41 | DDLLW |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 23:30 | -7 | 41 | LDDWW |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 36:44 | -8 | 40 | LLLDD |
| 20 |  Tigre | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 34:31 | +3 | 39 | WWLDL |
| 21 | Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 34:36 | -2 | 39 | DWLLD |
| 22 | Newells Old Boys | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 31:40 | -9 | 38 | DDDWL |
| 23 |  Racing Club | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 33:39 | -6 | 36 | LWLDL |
| 24 | Platense | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 36 | WWWLD |
| 25 |  Banfield | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 | DLDLW |
| 26 |  Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 | DLWLD |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 23:47 | -24 | 27 | DLLLD |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 16:31 | -15 | 23 | LLLDL |
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 32 | 3 | 10 | 19 | 22:45 | -23 | 19 | LLWLL |
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 15:47 | -32 | 14 | LLLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 32 | 46:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 32 | 46:28 | 62 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 32 | 37:27 | 60 |
| 4 | Independ. Rivadavia | 32 | 50:39 | 57 |
| 5 | Gimnasia L.P. | 32 | 44:39 | 57 |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 32 | 43:29 | 56 |
| 7 | River Plate | 32 | 43:26 | 55 |
| 8 | Instituto Cordoba | 32 | 43:32 | 55 |
| 9 | Lanus | 32 | 37:27 | 50 |
| 10 | Belgrano Cordoba | 32 | 34:28 | 49 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 32 | 40:29 | 47 |
| 12 | Barracas Central | 32 | 32:28 | 47 |
| 13 | Independiente | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 14 | Defensa Y Justicia | 32 | 39:36 | 47 |
| 15 | Huracan | 32 | 31:29 | 44 |
| 16 | Union Santa Fe | 32 | 48:44 | 42 |
| 17 | Gimnasia M. | 32 | 32:39 | 41 |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 32 | 23:30 | 41 |
| 19 | Sarmiento Junin | 32 | 36:44 | 40 |
| 20 | Tigre | 32 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 21 | Talleres Cordoba | 32 | 34:36 | 39 |
| 22 | Newells Old Boys | 32 | 31:40 | 38 |
| 23 | Racing Club | 32 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 24 | Platense | 32 | 28:35 | 36 |
| 25 | Banfield | 32 | 35:44 | 33 |
| 26 | Atletico Tucuman | 32 | 31:37 | 32 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 32 | 23:47 | 27 |
| 28 | Deportivo Riestra | 32 | 16:31 | 23 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 32 | 22:45 | 19 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 32 | 15:47 | 14 |
Relegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Aldosivi vs Banfield 05/09/26
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Tigre 05/09/26
- Gimnasia M. vs Boca Juniors 05/09/26
- San Lorenzo vs Talleres Cordoba 06/09/26
- Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Independiente 06/09/26
- River Plate vs Independ. Rivadavia 07/09/26
- Barracas Central vs Argentinos JRS 08/09/26
- Union Santa Fe vs Instituto Cordoba 08/09/26
About the Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P. forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Velez Sarsfield and Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Estudiantes L.P. are 1st in the Liga Profesional Argentina, 3 points ahead of Velez Sarsfield in 3rd. League goal record so far: Velez Sarsfield 18-12, Estudiantes L.P. 19-7. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.