Tigre vs River Plate Prediction

Liga Profesional ArgentinaArgentina Argentina · Clausura - 4
Tigre
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
River Plate
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna, Buenos Aires·Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina 08/08/2026
TigreTigre
1-0
Finished
River PlateRiver Plate

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+4.6%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.60
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+12.2%
Tigre Rest
2 days
River Plate Rest
5 days

Tigre vs River Plate: the result in context

Tigre beat River Plate 1-0 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 8 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Tigre had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for River Plate.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 5 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4. Referee Carlos Andres Gariano averages 4.21 cards a game, 1.02 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%3.55
X
29%2.94
2
33%2.25
Double Chance
1X
67%1.61
X2
62%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.24
No
48%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.99 = 2.41
Over 1.5
70%1.60
Over 2.5
47%2.82
Over 3.5
25%5.75
Under 1.5
30%2.30
Under 2.5
53%1.40
Under 3.5
75%1.11
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.2 = 9
Over 8.5
53%1.81
Over 9.5
38%2.32
Over 10.5
29%3.14
Under 8.5
47%1.89
Under 9.5
62%1.51
Under 10.5
71%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.8 = 5.4
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
61%1.52
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
39%2.26

Match Events

4'P. Martinez INT. Serrago out
41'J. EliasUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+4'A. MorenoFoul
62'N. BanegasFoul
71'N. Banegas INF. Alvarez out
71'J. Elias INS. Gonzalez out
74'T. AndradaFoul
77'J. Freitas INR. Borre out
78'I. RussoAssist: J. Saralegui
81'L. Martinez QuartaFoul
85'S. Lopez INJ. Villalba out
85'J. Saralegui INN. Dubersarsky out
85'T. Galvan INL. Pereyra out

Lineups

Tigre
4-4-1-1Coach: Diego Dabove
River Plate
4-2-3-1Coach: Eduardo Coudet
Avg rating7.03
Avg rating6.61
F. T. Zenobio7.512F. T. Zenobio
V. Moreno7.24V. Moreno
J. LasoC7.32J. Laso
A. Barrionuevo7.920A. Barrionuevo
N. Banegas7.23N. Banegas
J. Saralegui6.910J. Saralegui
M. Garay7.08M. Garay
J. Elias6.630J. Elias
S. Lopez6.322S. Lopez
P. Martinez28P. Martinez
I. Russo7.929I. Russo
S. Beltran6.341S. Beltran
G. Montiel7.229G. Montiel
N. OtamendiC8.230N. Otamendi
L. Martinez Quarta6.928L. Martinez Quarta
F. Ortega6.53F. Ortega
A. Moreno6.36A. Moreno
T. Andrada6.950T. Andrada
J. Freitas6.335J. Freitas
A. Correa6.210A. Correa
T. Galvan6.526T. Galvan
L. Beltran6.018L. Beltran

Tigre Substitutes

26L. Morales
19A. Oviedo
17G. Soto
32J. Villalba85'for S. Lopez6.7
23G. Requena
24F. Alvarez71'for N. Banegas7.0
21S. Medina
25I. Subiabre
11T. Serrago4'for P. Martinez6.5
16N. Dubersarsky85'for J. Saralegui6.6
27S. Gonzalez71'for J. Elias6.9
50I. Peluffo

River Plate Substitutes

33E. Centurion
20G. Gonzalez
24J. Meza
19R. Borre77'for J. Freitas6.3
15Fausto Vera
43V. Lucero
13L. Rivero
31F. Gonzalez
25L. Pereyra85'for T. Galvan6.3
44L. Silva

Match Stats

TigreRiver Plate
32%Ball Possession68%
2Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
5Total Shots9
2Shots on Goal1
2Shots off Goal3
3Shots Inside Box4
2Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots5
9Fouls17
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
300Total Passes648
204Passes Accurate563
68%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

TigreTigre
River PlateRiver Plate
1616Elo Rating 1769
1.24Attack 1.37
1.77Defense 2.63
27%Hit Rate 63%
15.4Shots per Game 14.9
4.9Shots on Target 5.7
6.1Corners per Game 6.0
2.4Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

TigreTigre
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
River PlateRiver Plate
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

TigreTigre2Wins · 40%
Draws120%
River PlateRiver Plate2Wins · 40%
3.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored4 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina08/02/2026
River PlateTigre
14
Liga Profesional Argentina03/06/2024
River PlateTigre
31
Liga Profesional Argentina18/02/2023
TigreRiver Plate
01
Liga Profesional Argentina28/08/2022
TigreRiver Plate
11
Liga Profesional Argentina12/05/2022
River PlateTigre
12

Recent Form

TigreTigre
4W4D2L
06/08/2026
TigreBelgrano Cordoba
00
D02/08/2026
Racing ClubTigre
13
W29/07/2026
TigreClub Nacional
12
L25/07/2026
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoTigre
10
L22/07/2026
Club NacionalTigre
03
W
29/05/2026
TigreAlianza Atletico
20
W
20/05/2026
America de CaliTigre
11
D
07/05/2026
MacaraTigre
22
D
03/05/2026
Rosario CentralTigre
11
D
01/05/2026
TigreAmerica de Cali
20
W
River PlateRiver Plate
3W2D5L
03/08/2026
River PlateRosario Central
01
L30/07/2026
Gimnasia L.P.River Plate
10
L26/07/2026
River PlateBarracas Central
01
L18/07/2026
River PlateAldosivi
13
L
03/07/2026
FlamengoRiver Plate
22
D
28/05/2026
River PlateBlooming
30
W
24/05/2026
River PlateBelgrano Cordoba
23
L
21/05/2026
River PlateRB Bragantino
11
D
17/05/2026
River PlateRosario Central
10
W
14/05/2026
River PlateGimnasia L.P.
20
W

Referee Profile

Carlos Andres Gariano182 matches

4.21Cards per match
3.98Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
22.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Carlos Andres Gariano4.21
Other referees5.23

4.21 cards a match, 1.02 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).

Cards come from 53 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434DWLDL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WLWWD
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429LWWWD
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428WWWWW
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426LDLLW
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WWWWD
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422WLLLL
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221LWLDL
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WDWDW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320WWLDL
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LLLDD
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218DLDLW
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514DLWLD
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LLWLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central16104226:12+1434WWWWW
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1694320:14+631LWWWD
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1694325:20+531WWWWD
4River PlateRiver Plate1682621:14+726WLWWD
5Barracas CentralBarracas Central1675417:13+426WDWDW
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1665517:15+223LDLLW
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1665521:24-323DWLDL
8HuracanHuracan1664614:16-222WLLLL
9Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1663723:24-121LLLDD
10TigreTigre1654716:16019WWLDL
11Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1646616:17-118DLWLD
12BanfieldBanfield1636718:25-715DLDLW
13Racing ClubRacing Club1643916:24-815LWLDL
14AldosiviAldosivi16321116:26-1011LLWLL
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto16231110:23-139LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1626:1234
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1620:1431
3Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1625:2031
4River PlateRiver Plate1621:1426
5Barracas CentralBarracas Central1617:1326
6Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1523
7Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1621:2423
8HuracanHuracan1614:1622
9Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1623:2421
10TigreTigre1616:1619
11Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1616:1718
12BanfieldBanfield1618:2515
13Racing ClubRacing Club1616:2415
14AldosiviAldosivi1616:2611
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1610:239

Liga Profesional Argentina

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors321712346:23+2363WWWWD
2Rosario CentralRosario Central32188646:28+1862WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS32179637:27+1060LWWWD
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia32169750:39+1157DWLDL
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.32176944:39+557WWWWD
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield321414443:29+1456LDWWL
7River PlateRiver Plate321741143:26+1755WLWWD
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba32167943:32+1155DDWWD
9LanusLanus321311837:27+1050DDDWW
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba321310934:28+649LDLLW
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.321381140:29+1147DDLLD
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central321211932:28+447WDWDW
13IndependienteIndependiente321211939:36+347WDLDD
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia321211939:36+347LDWLW
15HuracanHuracan3211111031:29+244WLLLL
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe321191248:44+442WDWDL
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.321181332:39-741DDLLW
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3210111123:30-741LDDWW
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin321241636:44-840LLLDD
20TigreTigre329121134:31+339WWLDL
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba321091334:36-239DWLLD
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys328141031:40-938DDDWL
23Racing ClubRacing Club32991433:39-636LWLDL
24PlatensePlatense328121228:35-736WWWLD
25BanfieldBanfield32891535:44-933DLDLW
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman327111431:37-632DLWLD
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago32691723:47-2427DLLLD
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra323141516:31-1523LLLDL
29AldosiviAldosivi323101922:45-2319LLWLL
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto32352415:47-3214LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors3246:2363
2Rosario CentralRosario Central3246:2862
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS3237:2760
4Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia3250:3957
5Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.3244:3957
6Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield3243:2956
7River PlateRiver Plate3243:2655
8Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba3243:3255
9LanusLanus3237:2750
10Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba3234:2849
11Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.3240:2947
12Barracas CentralBarracas Central3232:2847
13IndependienteIndependiente3239:3647
14Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia3239:3647
15HuracanHuracan3231:2944
16Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe3248:4442
17Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.3232:3941
18San LorenzoSan Lorenzo3223:3041
19Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin3236:4440
20TigreTigre3234:3139
21Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba3234:3639
22Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys3231:4038
23Racing ClubRacing Club3233:3936
24PlatensePlatense3228:3536
25BanfieldBanfield3235:4433
26Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman3231:3732
27Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago3223:4727
28Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra3216:3123
29AldosiviAldosivi3222:4519
30Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto3215:4714
Relegation

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About the Tigre vs River Plate forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tigre and River Plate in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, River Plate are 2nd and Tigre 10th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Tigre 18-15, River Plate 22-12. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.