Gimnasia M. vs Platense Prediction

Gimnasia M.
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Platense
Víctor Legrotaglie, Mendoza·Hernan Mastrangelo 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseMediumGap-5.6%
Gimnasia M. Rest
5 days
Platense Rest
6 days

Gimnasia M. vs Platense: result, form and history

Platense beat Gimnasia M. 2-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Platense tend to win more corners, 8.0 a game to 3.2 for Gimnasia M..

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.46
X
31%2.96
2
31%3.02
Double Chance
1X
69%1.35
X2
62%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.92
No
53%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 0.95 = 2.13
Over 1.5
64%1.41
Over 2.5
37%2.32
Over 3.5
18%4.33
Under 1.5
36%2.75
Under 2.5
63%1.57
Under 3.5
82%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.77
Over 9.5
43%2.22
Over 10.5
32%3.00
Under 8.5
44%1.94
Under 9.5
57%1.57
Under 10.5
68%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%1.35
Over 4.5
51%1.73
Under 3.5
31%3.05
Under 4.5
49%2.00

Match Events

10'Agustín Módica
31'Ivan GómezFoul
37'Goal cancelledGonzalo Lencina
58'Ivan Gómez INMaximiliano Amarfil out
58'Bautista Merlini INFranco Zapiola Yamartino out
64'Luciano César Cingolani INMatías Vargas out
67'Diego MondinoFoul
72'Kevin Retamar INGuido Mainero out
72'Agustín Módica INBlas Armoa Nunez out
72'Juan Ignacio Saborido INAgustin Lagos out
79'Juan Carlos GautoAssist: Guido Mainero
80'Gonzalo Lencina INBruno Christian Sepulveda out
85'Facundo Lencioni INValentino Simoni out
85'Esteban Fernández INMartín Úbeda out
90+3'Bruno Christian SepulvedaAssist: Franco Zapiola Yamartino

Lineups

Gimnasia M.
4-1-4-1Coach: D. Franco
Platense
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Palermo
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.75
C. Rigamonti7.823C. Rigamonti
L. Paredes6.132L. Paredes
D. Mondino5.72D. Mondino
L. Carrera6.742L. Carrera
M. Recalde7.23M. Recalde
N. Barboza6.55N. Barboza
I. Sabatini6.317I. Sabatini
F. Lencioni6.626F. Lencioni
E. Fernández6.930E. Fernández
L. Cingolani6.07L. Cingolani
A. Módica7.79A. Módica
J. Cozzani6.230J. Cozzani
J. Saborido6.125J. Saborido
M. Mendia7.234M. Mendia
V. Cuesta6.831V. Cuesta
T. Silva6.33T. Silva
I. Gómez6.15I. Gómez
M. Barrios6.624M. Barrios
N. Retamar6.043N. Retamar
B. Merlini7.218B. Merlini
J. Gauto8.233J. Gauto
G. Lencina6.599G. Lencina

Gimnasia M. Substitutes

33B. Andrada
19J. Ceballos
36I. Cortez
22J. Franco
41G. Patritti
31L. Petruchi
11S. Rodríguez
35V. Simoni85'for Facundo Lencioni6.5
15U. Sánchez
8M. Vargas64'for Luciano César Cingolani6.2
25M. Ubeda85'for Esteban Fernández6.4
27B. Armoa72'for Agustín Módica6.4

Platense Substitutes

1B. Bustos
4A. Lagos72'for Juan Ignacio Saborido6.5
21A. Lotti
7G. Mainero72'for Kevin Retamar7.1
6E. Raggio
79B. Sepúlveda80'for Gonzalo Lencina90+3'8.1
16G. Togni
13I. Vázquez
10F. Zapiola58'for Bautista Merlini6.8
17Felipe Bussio
15M. Amarfil58'for Ivan Gómez6.3
38Celías Adán Ingenthron

Match Stats

Gimnasia M.Platense
49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks9
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots22
2Shots on Goal8
9Shots off Goal8
6Shots Inside Box14
8Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots6
12Fouls10
1Offsides4
6Goalkeeper Saves1
348Total Passes353
278Passes Accurate273
9Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
PlatensePlatense
1637Elo Rating 1587
0.23Attack 0.78
1.86Defense 1.97
23%Hit Rate 17%
11.9Shots per Game 13.6
2.0Shots on Target 3.3
3.2Corners per Game 8.0
2.9Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PlatensePlatense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
PlatensePlatense1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina12/04/2026
PlatenseGimnasia M.
11
Primera Nacional24/02/2019
Gimnasia M.Platense
03

Referee Profile

Hernan Mastrangelo165 matches

5.04Cards per match
4.79Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Hernan Mastrangelo5.04
Other referees5.24

5.04 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).

Cards come from 136 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1694319:7+1231WLWWL
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1686222:9+1330DWWDD
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1677218:12+628WLLWD
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1675417:13+426WLWDW
5IndependienteIndependiente1666424:20+424DWLLD
6LanusLanus1666418:15+324WDLWW
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1657414:14022DWDLD
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1656524:20+421LWLDD
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1663717:17021WWLWL
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1647518:21-319LLWWD
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1654714:22-819WDWLL
12PlatensePlatense1637610:15-516LDDLL
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1644811:21-1016LLLWD
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1636715:27-1215DWWLD
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra161875:12-711LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1619:731
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1622:930
3Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1618:1228
4Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1617:1326
5IndependienteIndependiente1624:2024
6LanusLanus1618:1524
7San LorenzoSan Lorenzo1614:1422
8Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1624:2021
9Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1617:1721
10Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1618:2119
11Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1614:2219
12PlatensePlatense1610:1516
13Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1611:2116
14Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1615:2715
15Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra165:1211

Clausura - Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1392220:10+1029WWLWL
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1366121:14+724DWWDD
3Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1373318:12+624LLWWD
4Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1366118:13+524WLLWD
5LanusLanus1372416:9+723WDLWW
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1355313:10+320DWWLD
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1462616:15+120WDWLL
8IndependienteIndependiente1354412:13-119DWLLD
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo135267:12-517DWDLD
10Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1342716:15+114WLWWL
11Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1342718:22-414LWLDD
12PlatensePlatense1435614:20-614LDDLL
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1326510:13-312LLDLD
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1324711:18-710LLLWD
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1323812:20-89WLWDW
#TeamMPGPts
1Instituto CordobaInstituto Cordoba1320:1029
2Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors1321:1424
3Defensa Y JusticiaDefensa Y Justicia1318:1224
4Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield1318:1324
5LanusLanus1316:923
6Newells Old BoysNewells Old Boys1313:1020
7Gimnasia M.Gimnasia M.1416:1520
8IndependienteIndependiente1312:1319
9San LorenzoSan Lorenzo137:1217
10Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.1316:1514
11Union Santa FeUnion Santa Fe1318:2214
12PlatensePlatense1414:2014
13Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra1310:1312
14Central Cordoba de SantiagoCentral Cordoba de Santiago1311:1810
15Talleres CordobaTalleres Cordoba1312:209

About the Gimnasia M. vs Platense forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gimnasia M. and Platense in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

Gimnasia M. and Platense are close in the Liga Profesional Argentina table, 11th and 12th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Gimnasia M. 14-22, Platense 10-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Gimnasia M. and Platense have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.