Velez Sarsfield vs Platense Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
Velez Sarsfield Rest
14 days
Platense Rest
3 days
Velez Sarsfield vs Platense: the result in context
Velez Sarsfield and Platense drew 2-2 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 5 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Platense tend to win more corners, 8.6 a game to 6.0 for Velez Sarsfield.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
152%1.89
X28%3.10
220%4.75
Double Chance
1X80%1.18
X248%1.88
Both Teams to Score
Yes42%2.38
No58%1.52
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 0.65 = 2.23
Over 1.562%1.59
Over 2.536%2.70
Over 3.517%5.50
Under 1.538%2.35
Under 2.564%1.44
Under 3.583%1.13
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.7 = 9.1
Over 8.555%1.85
Over 9.539%2.36
Over 10.532%3.20
Under 8.545%1.90
Under 9.561%1.50
Under 10.568%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.7 = 4.7
Over 3.569%1.23
Over 4.550%1.57
Under 3.531%3.90
Under 4.550%2.33
Match Events
5'Ronaldo Martinez
7'Bautista Merlini
9'Manuel Lanzini INDiego Valdés out
14'Juan Cruz Policella INSimón Escobar out
43'Penalty confirmedKevin Retamar
45+1'Agustin Lagos(Penalty missed)
54'Ronaldo MartinezAssist: Simón Escobar
65'Maximiliano Amarfil INIvan Gómez out
65'Bautista Merlini INFranco Zapiola Yamartino out
65'Guido Mainero INGastón Togni out
70'Thiago Aguirre INLuca Feler out
71'Bruno Christian Sepulveda INGonzalo Lencina out
79'Tomás SilvaArgument
84'Ivan GómezFoul
88'Franco Zapiola YamartinoAssist: Agustin Lagos
89'Kevin Retamar INJuan Carlos Gauto out
Lineups
Velez SarsfieldPlatense
4-2-3-1Coach: M. PalermoAvg ratingAvg rating
1T. Marchiori
4J. García
32T. Silveor
16L. Magallán
3E. Gómez
29R. Aliendro
8L. Robertone
39T. Aguirre
22M. Lanzini
37J. Policella
77R. Martínez
30J. Cozzani
4A. Lagos
34M. Mendia
31V. Cuesta
3T. Silva
15M. Amarfil
24M. Barrios
7G. Mainero
18B. Merlini
43N. Retamar
79B. SepúlvedaVelez Sarsfield Substitutes
35M. Arias
5C. Baeza
19L. Cristaldo
18S. Escobar14'for Juan Cruz Policella
48Luca Feler70'for Thiago Aguirre
15D. Godoy
21Jano Gordon
47A. Pereyra
30L. Piola
27S. Prima
23F. Sanguinetti
10D. Valdés9'for Manuel Lanzini
Platense Substitutes
5I. Gómez65'for Maximiliano Amarfil84'
16G. Togni65'for Guido Mainero
10F. Zapiola65'for Bautista Merlini88'
22N. Sumavil
17Felipe Bussio
23L. Heredia
33J. Gauto89'for Kevin Retamar
99G. Lencina71'for Bruno Christian Sepulveda
11N. López
8F. López
29F. Minerva
6E. Raggio
Match Stats
Velez SarsfieldPlatense 47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal10
7Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box3
0Blocked Shots1
8Fouls5
2Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
419Total Passes455
318Passes Accurate365
5Free Kicks7
Team Comparison
Velez SarsfieldPlatense1720Elo Rating 1608
1.30Attack 1.21
1.68Defense 1.98
44%Hit Rate 41%
14.4Shots per Game 17.5
4.9Shots on Target 5.0
6.0Corners per Game 8.6
1.9Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+112 Elo
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Velez Sarsfield- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Platense- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Velez Sarsfield2Wins · 29%Draws228%
Platense3Wins · 43%
3Wins · 43%1.9Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7
Previous meetings
14/03/2026PlatenseVelez Sarsfield02
19/07/2025PlatenseVelez Sarsfield00
29/01/2025Velez SarsfieldPlatense01
25/07/2024PlatenseVelez Sarsfield02
14/03/2023Velez SarsfieldPlatense11
12/06/2022Velez SarsfieldPlatense01
10/12/2021PlatenseVelez Sarsfield32
Recent Form
Velez Sarsfield4W5D1L
21/09/2026Velez Sarsfield
Tigre
Newells Old BoysVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
Deportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield
River PlateVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
Defensa Y Justicia
Boca JuniorsVelez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield
Independiente
Talleres CordobaVelez Sarsfield
Velez SarsfieldTigre32
W11/09/2026Newells Old BoysVelez Sarsfield11
D06/09/2026Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.10
W03/09/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
29/08/2026Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors3040
LDeportivo RiestraVelez Sarsfield11
D24/08/2026River PlateVelez Sarsfield22
D18/08/2026Velez SarsfieldDefensa Y Justicia11
D09/08/2026Boca JuniorsVelez Sarsfield11
D04/08/2026Velez SarsfieldIndependiente10
W31/07/2026Talleres CordobaVelez Sarsfield13
WPlatense5W1D4L
02/10/2026PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.PlatenseNewells Old BoysPlatense
FluminenseEstudiantes L.P.PlatenseFluminensePlatensePlatenseDeportivo RiestraDefensa Y JusticiaPlatense
Barracas CentralPlatense
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.10
W20/09/2026PlatenseNewells Old Boys01
L16/09/2026PlatenseFluminense21
W12/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.Platense21
L09/09/2026FluminensePlatense20
L05/09/2026PlatenseDeportivo Riestra11
D01/09/2026Defensa Y JusticiaPlatense10
L28/08/2026Platense
Instituto Cordoba
23/08/2026PlatenseInstituto Cordoba3111
WBarracas CentralPlatense12
W20/08/2026
Coquimbo UnidoPlatense
Coquimbo UnidoPlatense6070
WReferee Profile
4.86Cards per match
4.55Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.86 cards a match, 0.38 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.24).
Cards come from 97 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | WLWWL |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | DWWDD |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WWLWD |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | DWLLD |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | DDWDL |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | LWLDD |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLWW |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | WDWLL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LDDLL |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | LLLWD |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | WDWWL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 29 | WWLWL |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 27 | LLLWW |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21:14 | +7 | 24 | DWWDD |
| 4 | Lanus | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 17:10 | +7 | 24 | LWDLW |
| 5 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:13 | +5 | 24 | WLLWD |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 21 | WDWWL |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:15 | +1 | 20 | WDWLL |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 19 | DWLLD |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7:12 | -5 | 18 | DDWDL |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 | LWLDD |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 12 | LLDLD |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 | LLLWD |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13:22 | -9 | 9 | WWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | 20:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Defensa Y Justicia | 14 | 20:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 21:14 | 24 |
| 4 | Lanus | 14 | 17:10 | 24 |
| 5 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 14 | 13:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 14 | 16:15 | 20 |
| 8 | Independiente | 13 | 12:13 | 19 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 7:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Union Santa Fe | 13 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 12 | Platense | 14 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 13 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 13 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 14 | 13:22 | 9 |
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This match
About the Velez Sarsfield vs Platense forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Velez Sarsfield and Platense in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
The table shows a wide gap: Velez Sarsfield are 3rd in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Platense sit 12th, 12 points behind. League goal record so far: Velez Sarsfield 18-12, Platense 10-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.