Gnistan vs KuPS Prediction

Gnistan
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
KuPS
Markku.fi Areena, Helsinki·Joona Kontinen, Finland 01/08/2026
GnistanGnistan
0-1
Finished
KuPSKuPS

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.34
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-2.4%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
Gnistan Rest
6 days
KuPS Rest
4 days

Gnistan vs KuPS: result, form and history

KuPS beat Gnistan 1-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

KuPS have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game. KuPS tend to win more corners, 6.9 a game to 4.9 for Gnistan.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.08
X
25%3.55
2
47%2.12
Double Chance
1X
52%1.67
X2
72%1.34
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.55
No
40%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.88 = 3.18
Over 1.5
83%1.20
Over 2.5
65%1.65
Over 3.5
38%2.60
Under 1.5
17%4.30
Under 2.5
35%2.15
Under 3.5
62%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'S. SavolainenAssist: S. Heiskanen
5'A. AkinyemiDiving
57'J. Latonen INA. Atarah out
57'O. Hannula INR. Eremenko out
60'B. ArmahFoul
63'Marcelo Costa INB. Dahlstrom out
69'C. Antwi INN. Kujasalo out
69'P. Parzyszek INJ. J. Moreno Ciorciari out
73'J. J. Moreno CiorciariFoul
78'B. Armah INC. Kabuye out
78'S. Heiskanen INT. Hamalainen out
82'A. Jouhi IND. Perez out
84'T. Jyry INA. Heinonen out

Lineups

Gnistan
3-4-3Coach: Jussi Leppalahti
KuPS
4-2-3-1Coach: Miika Nuutinen
Oskar Lyberopoulos13O. Lyberopoulos
Rachide Gnanou24R. Gnanou
Ayo Obileye67A. Obileye
Marcelo Costa4M. Costa
Otto Hannula27O. Hannula
Adam Jouhi31A. Jouhi
Gabriel Europaeus15G. Europaeus
Edmund Arko-Mensah12E. Arko-Mensah
Joakim Latonen10J. Latonen
Adeleke Akinyemi17A. Akinyemi
Saku Ylätupa23S. Ylätupa
Hemmo Riihimäki12H. Riihimäki
Saku Savolainen6S. Savolainen
Arttu Lötjönen23A. Lötjönen
Brahima Magassa28B. Magassa
Clinton Antwi25C. Antwi
Valentín Gasc10V. Gasc
Tommi Jyry16T. Jyry
Saku Heiskanen3S. Heiskanen
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba21J. Luyeye-Lutumba
Bob Nii Armah24B. Nii Armah
Piotr Parzyszek20P. Parzyszek

Gnistan Substitutes

26Roman Eremenko57'for O. Hannula
7Artur Atarah57'for J. Latonen
2Benjamin Dahlström63'for Marcelo Costa
11Danny Pérez82'for A. Jouhi
32Niklas Lindström
95Matej Juricka
40Juhani Ojala
14Sergei Eremenko

KuPS Substitutes

13Niilo Kujasalo69'for C. Antwi
11Jaime Moreno69'for P. Parzyszek73'
33Taneli Hämäläinen78'for S. Heiskanen
19Calvin Kabuye78'for B. Armah
17Arttu Heinonen84'for T. Jyry
37Kasperi Silen
29Akseli Puukko
30Jorginho
22Saikou Touray

Team Comparison

GnistanGnistan
KuPSKuPS
1595Elo Rating 1633
0.96Attack 1.34
0.87Defense 1.32
0%Hit Rate 17%
11.0Shots per Game 15.7
3.8Shots on Target 6.4
4.9Corners per Game 6.9
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.18 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

GnistanGnistan
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
KuPSKuPS
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

GnistanGnistan0Wins · 0%
Draws225%
KuPSKuPS6Wins · 75%
3.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored4 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga11/04/2026
KuPSGnistan
10
Veikkausliiga30/10/2025
KuPSGnistan
11
Veikkausliiga27/09/2025
GnistanKuPS
04
Veikkausliiga01/07/2025
KuPSGnistan
62
Veikkausliiga27/04/2025
GnistanKuPS
12
Veikkausliiga07/07/2024
KuPSGnistan
31
Veikkausliiga19/05/2024
GnistanKuPS
00
Suomen Cup20/03/2021
KuPSGnistan
50

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LDDWL
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342LWLWD
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WDWWW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736DLLLD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034WDWWL
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733DLLWL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki30167759:36+2355WDWWW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku301510537:24+1355LWLWD
3KuPSKuPS311411646:31+1553LDDWL
4AC OuluAC Oulu311451238:37+147WDWWL
5GnistanGnistan301110944:42+243DLLLD
6VPSVPS301171231:34-340DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki3059:3655
2Inter TurkuInter Turku3037:2455
3KuPSKuPS3146:3153
4AC OuluAC Oulu3138:3747
5GnistanGnistan3044:4243
6VPSVPS3031:3440
Relegation

About the Gnistan vs KuPS forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gnistan and KuPS in the Veikkausliiga table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: KuPS are 1st in the Veikkausliiga, 7 points ahead of Gnistan in 4th. League goal record so far: Gnistan 36-29, KuPS 38-23. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.