Ilves vs Lahti Prediction

Ilves
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Lahti
Tammela Stadium, Tampere·Antti Munukka, Finland 26/07/2026
IlvesIlves
1-0
Finished
LahtiLahti

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+1.2%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalHIGHModel37%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
Ilves Rest
2 days
Lahti Rest
5 days

Ilves vs Lahti: the result in context

Ilves beat Lahti 1-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.9 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Lahti tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 2.0 for Ilves.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.24
X
30%3.60
2
26%2.87
Double Chance
1X
74%1.38
X2
56%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.53
No
47%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 1 = 2.78
Over 1.5
77%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
34%2.55
Under 1.5
23%4.30
Under 2.5
44%2.19
Under 3.5
66%1.46
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

37'J. Kanga
45+1'Y. RaapUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'Y. Raap INJ. Kilo out
46'M. Sarr INA. Belabid out
59'R. Yapi INE. Andersson out
59'C. Montiel IND. Heikkinen out
74'M. Rale INO. Pettersson out
74'T. Hytonen INT. Miettunen out
74'O. Multala ING. Bamba out
77'Martim Augusto INJ. Ojanen out
80'N. Gianini DantasFoul
80'A. BelabidFoul
83'Neemias INA. Lindholm out
85'J. Kanga INL. Ala-Myllymaki out

Lineups

Ilves
4-3-3Coach: Joni Lehtonen
Lahti
4-3-3Coach: Goncalo Pereira
Faris Krkalić12F. Krkalić
Kalle Wallius13K. Wallius
Ville Kumpu24V. Kumpu
Sauli Väisänen5S. Väisänen
Matias Rale3M. Rale
Oskari Multala22O. Multala
Yiandro Raap6Y. Raap
Anton Popovitch14A. Popovitch
Jardell Kanga30J. Kanga
Teemu Hytönen9T. Hytönen
Stanislav Baranov17S. Baranov
Osku Maukonen31O. Maukonen
Romaric Yapi27R. Yapi
José Müller4J. Müller
Nicolas Gianini Dantas5N. Gianini Dantas
Romain Sans3R. Sans
Tòfol Montiel8T. Montiel
Yohan Cassubie18Y. Cassubie
Otso Koskinen10O. Koskinen
Momodou Sarr77M. Sarr
Neemias Barbosa19N. Barbosa
Martim Ferreira11M. Ferreira

Ilves Substitutes

28Jesse Kilo46'for Y. Raap
4Oliver Pettersson
16Tatu Miettunen74'for T. Hytonen
15Lauri Ala-Myllymäki85'for J. Kanga
1Otso Virtanen
25Sebastian Suvanne
19Bamba Abdoul Goudouss74'for O. Multala
20Otto Tiitinen
10Roope Riski

Lahti Substitutes

17Amir Belabid46'for M. Sarr80'
7Daniel Heikkinen59'for C. Montiel
14Erik Andersson59'for R. Yapi
20Justus Ojanen77'for Martim Augusto
9Aaron Lindholm83'for Neemias
12Aatu Hakala
25Topias Inkinen
6Väinö Vehkonen
28Armend Kabashi

Team Comparison

IlvesIlves
LahtiLahti
1657Elo Rating 1624
2.13Attack 1.99
2.61Defense 1.67
77%Hit Rate 41%
12.1Shots per Game 19.8
4.6Shots on Target 6.8
2.0Corners per Game 7.1
1.6Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

IlvesIlves
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LahtiLahti
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

IlvesIlves4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
LahtiLahti2Wins · 20%
3.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Suomen Cup10/06/2026
IlvesLahti
52
Veikkausliiga30/05/2026
LahtiIlves
50
Veikkausliiga29/06/2024
LahtiIlves
22
Veikkausliiga06/04/2024
IlvesLahti
00
Veikkausliiga21/10/2023
LahtiIlves
15
Veikkausliiga03/09/2023
LahtiIlves
32
Veikkausliiga03/06/2023
IlvesLahti
22
Veikkausliiga09/10/2022
IlvesLahti
10
Veikkausliiga29/07/2022
LahtiIlves
11
Veikkausliiga18/06/2022
IlvesLahti
32

Referee Profile

Antti Munukka132 matches

4.10Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
20.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Antti Munukka4.10
Other referees3.93

4.10 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.93).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LDDWL
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342LWLWD
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WDWWW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736DLLLD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034WDWWL
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733DLLWL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Relegration Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LahtiLahti271161035:26+939WLDLW
2IlvesIlves271151145:39+638WDWWW
3Turku PSTurku PS27881129:33-432LLLLD
4SJKSJK27691229:37-827LWWDD
5FF JaroFF Jaro27491422:49-2721DWDDL
6MariehamnMariehamn27471622:49-2719DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LahtiLahti2735:2639
2IlvesIlves2745:3938
3Turku PSTurku PS2729:3332
4SJKSJK2729:3727
5FF JaroFF Jaro2722:4921
6MariehamnMariehamn2722:4919
Relegation

About the Ilves vs Lahti forecast

The forecasts for this Veikkausliiga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ilves and Lahti in the Veikkausliiga table

Lahti and Ilves are close in the Veikkausliiga table, 7th and 9th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: Ilves 34-37, Lahti 26-19. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ilves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Lahti have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.