Turku PS vs Mariehamn Prediction

Turku PS
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Mariehamn
Veritas Stadium, Turku·Antti Munukka, Finland 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-1.1%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.62
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Turku PS Rest
5 days
Mariehamn Rest
6 days

Turku PS vs Mariehamn: result, form and history

Turku PS beat Mariehamn 3-0 in the Veikkausliiga on 1 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Turku PS had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Mariehamn.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.50
X
22%4.20
2
19%5.50
Double Chance
1X
81%1.12
X2
41%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.70
No
40%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 1.34 = 3.24
Over 1.5
84%1.18
Over 2.5
66%1.62
Over 3.5
46%2.55
Under 1.5
16%4.25
Under 2.5
34%2.20
Under 3.5
54%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'K. VisserAssist: N. Talo
40'S. AniniFoul
42'S. AniniAssist: M. Konkkola
46'S. Anini INE. Vauhkonen out
46'J. Nissinen INL. Richtner out
46'T. Jakobsen INA. Bergvik out
46'T. Koivisto INN. Nurmi out
46'A. Stroud INW. Nunez out
49'A. SoiniemiFoul
55'K. VisserAssist: E. Vauhkonen
64'F. GyamfiFoul
65'L. Ikonen INT. Vakiparta out
65'K. Visser INN. Veinbergs out
73'E. PatutFoul
76'M. Konkkola INM. Kauppila out
81'J. Heyden INV. Widlund out
84'T. Zaal INA. Coulibaly out

Lineups

Turku PS
4-2-3-1Coach: Ivan Pinol
Mariehamn
4-2-3-1Coach: Roberth Bjorknesjo
Avg rating7.33
Avg rating6.08
Elmo Henriksson6.51E. Henriksson
Oscar Haggstrom2O. Haggstrom
Matej Hradecky7.414M. Hradecky
Charlemagne Azongnitode7.615C. Azongnitode
Nikolas Talo7.824N. Talo
Timo Zaal22T. Zaal
Lasse Ikonen7.226L. Ikonen
Albijon Muzaci29A. Muzaci
Marius Könkkölä10M. Könkkölä
Samuel Anini Jr.8.041S. Anini Jr.
Kian Visser8.799K. Visser
Kevin Lund5.71K. Lund
Jiri Nissinen5.428J. Nissinen
Tuomas Koivisto6.05T. Koivisto
Foster Gyamfi19F. Gyamfi
Aaro Soiniemi5.53A. Soiniemi
Emmanuel Patut6.220E. Patut
Jelle van der Heyden7.28J. van der Heyden
Rui Monteiro6.422R. Monteiro
Thomas Klemetsen Jakobsen6.115T. Klemetsen Jakobsen
Adam Stroud5.818A. Stroud
Adam Larsson6.77A. Larsson

Turku PS Substitutes

11Elmer Vauhkonen46'replaced by S. Anini
28Tomi Vakiparta65'for L. Ikonen6.9
44Nils Veinbergs65'for K. Visser6.4
20Miika Kauppila76'for M. Konkkola6.5
8Aly Coulibaly84'for T. Zaal
12Henrik Asula
4Akim Sairinen
17Atte Sihvonen
13Theodoros Tsirigotis

Mariehamn Substitutes

2Noah Nurmi46'for T. Koivisto6.4
26Ludvig Richtnér46'for J. Nissinen5.9
14Arvid Bergvik46'replaced by T. Jakobsen5.8
9Wille Nuñez46'for A. Stroud6.3
11Viktor Widlund81'for J. Heyden
32Matias Riikonen
16Anttoni Huttunen
43Leo Andersson

Match Stats

Turku PSMariehamn
52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
10Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box8
1Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots6
10Fouls14
0Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves1
396Total Passes309
334Passes Accurate251
13Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

Turku PSTurku PS
MariehamnMariehamn
1525Elo Rating 1482
0.27Attack 1.00
0.67Defense 1.83
0%Hit Rate 17%
17.3Shots per Game 14.1
5.0Shots on Target 2.5
5.2Corners per Game 5.0
2.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.24 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Turku PSTurku PS
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
MariehamnMariehamn
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Turku PSTurku PS0Wins · 0%
Draws3100%
MariehamnMariehamn0Wins · 0%
2.7Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga04/04/2026
MariehamnTurku PS
11
League Cup11/02/2026
MariehamnTurku PS
11
Suomen Cup28/05/2025
MariehamnTurku PS
22

Recent Form

MariehamnMariehamn
0W1D9L
25/07/2026
MariehamnAC Oulu
11
D
20/07/2026
MariehamnLahti
02
L
11/07/2026
GnistanMariehamn
42
L
04/07/2026
VPSMariehamn
40
L
27/06/2026
MariehamnInter Turku
02
L
23/06/2026
MariehamnHJK Helsinki
04
L
18/06/2026
AC OuluMariehamn
21
L
13/06/2026
MariehamnGnistan
03
L
30/05/2026
HJK HelsinkiMariehamn
10
L
26/05/2026
MariehamnLahti
01
L

Referee Profile

Antti Munukka132 matches

4.10Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
20.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Antti Munukka4.10
Other referees3.94

4.10 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.94).

Cards come from 42 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LDDWL
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342LWLWD
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WDWWW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736DLLLD
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034WDWWL
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733DLLWL
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Relegration Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LahtiLahti271161035:26+939WLDLW
2IlvesIlves271151145:39+638WDWWW
3Turku PSTurku PS27881129:33-432LLLLD
4SJKSJK27691229:37-827LWWDD
5FF JaroFF Jaro27491422:49-2721DWDDL
6MariehamnMariehamn27471622:49-2719DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LahtiLahti2735:2639
2IlvesIlves2745:3938
3Turku PSTurku PS2729:3332
4SJKSJK2729:3727
5FF JaroFF Jaro2722:4921
6MariehamnMariehamn2722:4919
Relegation

About the Turku PS vs Mariehamn forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Turku PS and Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga table

In the Veikkausliiga table, Turku PS are 8th and Mariehamn 12th, 17 points apart. League goal record so far: Turku PS 28-23, Mariehamn 17-43. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.