Hibernian vs Motherwell Prediction

Hibernian
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Motherwell
Easter Road, Edinburgh 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.47
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap+7.4%
Hibernian Rest
2 days
Motherwell Rest
2 days

Hibernian vs Motherwell: the result in context

Motherwell beat Hibernian 2-1 in the Premiership on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.30
X
28%3.30
2
26%3.06
Double Chance
1X
74%1.35
X2
54%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.07 = 2.65
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
46%1.92
Over 3.5
23%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.50
Under 2.5
54%1.88
Under 3.5
77%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.2 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.40
Over 9.5
50%1.73
Over 10.5
39%2.13
Under 8.5
38%2.63
Under 9.5
50%2.00
Under 10.5
61%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.7
Over 3.5
62%1.42
Over 4.5
44%1.91
Under 3.5
38%2.47
Under 4.5
56%1.80

Match Events

40'L. Fadinger(Penalty)
48'J. MulliganFoul
55'O. PriestmanFoul
56'M. Boyle(Penalty)
60'A. Mayor INR. Molotnikov out
66'J. Girdwood-Reich INJ. Knight-Lebel out
66'W. Vogt INT. Maswanhise out
68'L. FadingerFoul
73'M. Boyle INA. Suto out
73'M. Chaiwa INA. Abdulai out
75'R. Charles-Cook INA. Lowry out
76'T. SparrowFoul
82'E. Longelo INE. Wilson out
82'O. Priestman INO. Whyte out
85'I. SaidAssist: D. Williams

Lineups

Hibernian
3-4-3Coach: David Gray
Motherwell
4-4-2Coach: Alfred Johansson
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.89
Raphael Sallinger7.01R. Sallinger
Warren O'Hora6.35W. O'Hora
Jason Kerr6.66J. Kerr
Jordan Obita6.521J. Obita
Felix Passlack7.325F. Passlack
Josh Mulligan6.28J. Mulligan
Miguel Changa Chaiwa6.314M. Changa Chaiwa
Adam Mayor6.53A. Mayor
Owen Elding6.67O. Elding
Nathan Lowe6.39N. Lowe
Martin BoyleC7.210M. Boyle
Alex Paulsen7.91A. Paulsen
Tom SparrowC6.27T. Sparrow
Jake Girdwood-Reich6.93J. Girdwood-Reich
Martin Moormann8.25M. Moormann
Dylan Williams6.520D. Williams
Willy Vogt6.677W. Vogt
Oscar Priestman6.212O. Priestman
Lukas Fadinger6.98L. Fadinger
Emmanuel Longelo6.945E. Longelo
Ibrahim Said7.919I. Said
Regan Charles-Cook7.017R. Charles-Cook

Hibernian Substitutes

13Jordan Smith
4Grant Hanley
20Rudi Allan Molotnikov6.7
47Azeem Abdulai73'for M. Chaiwa6.7
32Josh Campbell
27Kanayochukwu Megwa
30Jacob MacIntyre
18Thibault Klidjé
22Ante Šuto73'for M. Boyle6.9

Motherwell Substitutes

21Matty Connelly
23Ewan Wilson82'for E. Longelo6.3
4Jamie Knight-Lebel66'for J. Girdwood-Reich6.9
25Olly Whyte82'for O. Priestman6.6
29Zander McAllister
27Mikey Booth
11Alex Lowry75'for R. Charles-Cook6.3
18Tawanda Maswanhise66'for W. Vogt6.9
24Luca Ross

Match Stats

HibernianMotherwell
48%Ball Possession52%
9Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots2
14Fouls13
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
444Total Passes505
383Passes Accurate451
86%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

HibernianHibernian
MotherwellMotherwell
1563Elo Rating 1552
1.13Attack 1.06
1.64Defense 1.37
27%Hit Rate 27%
12.7Shots per Game 13.9
2.3Shots on Target 5.0
4.0Corners per Game 5.4
2.0Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HibernianHibernian
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
MotherwellMotherwell
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

HibernianHibernian3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
MotherwellMotherwell3Wins · 30%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership16/05/2026
HibernianMotherwell
01
Premiership21/03/2026
MotherwellHibernian
00
Premiership10/01/2026
HibernianMotherwell
11
Premiership25/11/2025
MotherwellHibernian
20
Premiership11/01/2025
HibernianMotherwell
31
Premiership30/11/2024
MotherwellHibernian
03
Premiership05/10/2024
HibernianMotherwell
12
Premiership15/05/2024
HibernianMotherwell
30
Premiership13/04/2024
MotherwellHibernian
11
Premiership02/01/2024
HibernianMotherwell
22

Recent Form

HibernianHibernian
5W0D5L
30/07/2026
HibernianMalisheva
41
W
23/07/2026
MalishevaHibernian
20
L
18/07/2026
HibernianBrondby
21
W
04/07/2026
Cliftonville FCHibernian
15
W
30/06/2026
Shamrock RoversHibernian
10
L
16/05/2026
HibernianMotherwell
01
L
13/05/2026
RangersHibernian
12
W
09/05/2026
FalkirkHibernian
13
W
03/05/2026
HibernianCeltic
12
L
26/04/2026
HibernianHeart Of Midlothian
12
L
MotherwellMotherwell
4W1D5L
30/07/2026
HB TorshavnMotherwell
03
W
23/07/2026
MotherwellHB Torshavn
20
W
17/07/2026
MotherwellGenk
34
L
05/07/2026
AarhusMotherwell
40
L
16/05/2026
HibernianMotherwell
01
W
13/05/2026
MotherwellCeltic
23
L
09/05/2026
MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian
11
D
02/05/2026
FalkirkMotherwell
10
L
26/04/2026
RangersMotherwell
23
W
11/04/2026
Heart Of MidlothianMotherwell
31
L

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic13101228:10+1831WLDWW
2RangersRangers1283121:9+1227WDWDW
3FalkirkFalkirk1363420:14+621WWWWW
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1262426:22+420LDWLW
5DundeeDundee1252518:15+317LWLDW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1245317:17017DDWDW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1345417:20-317WDDLD
8ST MirrenST Mirren1342712:22-1014LLDWL
9MotherwellMotherwell1334615:21-613DWDLL
10HibernianHibernian1232715:17-211WDLLL
11AberdeenAberdeen1232712:18-611LLLWL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1323813:29-169LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1328:1031
2RangersRangers1221:927
3FalkirkFalkirk1320:1421
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1226:2220
5DundeeDundee1218:1517
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1217:1717
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1317:2017
8ST MirrenST Mirren1312:2214
9MotherwellMotherwell1315:2113
10HibernianHibernian1215:1711
11AberdeenAberdeen1212:1811
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1313:299
PromotionRelegation

About the Hibernian vs Motherwell forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Hibernian and Motherwell in the Premiership table

Motherwell and Hibernian are close in the Premiership table, 9th and 10th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Hibernian 15-17, Motherwell 15-21. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.