Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction

Holstein-Stadion, Kiel·Wolfgang Haslberger 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.28
SignalHIGHModel38%SurpriseMediumGap+0.2%
Holstein Kiel Rest
5 days
Arminia Bielefeld Rest
7 days

Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld: the result in context

Arminia Bielefeld beat Holstein Kiel 2-1 in the 2. Bundesliga on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Arminia Bielefeld have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 4.3 goals a game. Referee Wolfgang Haslberger averages 5.37 cards a game, 0.73 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.43
X
28%3.31
2
33%2.77
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
62%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.67
No
43%2.11
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.29 = 2.65
Over 1.5
76%1.28
Over 2.5
52%1.86
Over 3.5
31%3.18
Under 1.5
24%3.50
Under 2.5
48%1.91
Under 3.5
69%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.6 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.34
Over 9.5
53%1.67
Over 10.5
41%2.04
Under 8.5
36%2.90
Under 9.5
47%2.13
Under 10.5
59%1.71
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
53%-
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
47%-

Match Events

14'Hiroki SekineOG
29'Jannik RocheltFoul
41'Arne SickerFoul
43'Joel GrodowskiFoul
45'Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen INGiorgi Kvilitaia out
45'Kasper Davidsen INAdrian Kapralik out
51'Arne Sicker INTim Handwerker out
57'Penalty confirmedLeon Jensen
57'Leon JensenFoul
58'Leon ParduziFoul
59'Joel Grodowski(Penalty missed)
64'Jannik Rochelt INIsaiah Young out
64'Monju Thaddäus Momuluh INB.Boakye out
64'Leon Jensen INLeon Schneider out
65'Jonas MeffertFoul
67'Sebastian Schonlau INIvan Nekić out
68'Leon Parduzi INSteven Skrzybski out
76'Hiroki SekineAssist: Guillermo Balzi
77'Guillermo Balzi INAndu Yobel Kelati out
80'Isaiah YoungAssist: Joel Grodowski
84'Joel Grodowski INFelix Hagmann out
87'Jonas Thomas KerskenTime wasting
88'Leon SchneiderFoul

Lineups

Holstein Kiel
4-3-3Coach: T. Walter
Arminia Bielefeld
3-4-2-1Coach: Oliver Kirch
Avg rating6.59
Avg rating6.55
T. Weiner6.81T. Weiner
H. Sekine6.532H. Sekine
N. Madsen7.15N. Madsen
S. Schonlau7.24S. Schonlau
Leon Parduzi6.240L. Parduzi
G. Balzi7.78G. Balzi
J. Meffert6.528J. Meffert
K. Davidsen6.615K. Davidsen
G. de Regt6.411G. de Regt
P. Harres6.719P. Harres
J. Therkelsen6.410J. Therkelsen
J. Kersken6.41J. Kersken
M. Bauer7.05M. Bauer
S. Russo6.121S. Russo
M. Großer7.219M. Großer
H. Koudossou6.37H. Koudossou
L. Jensen6.031L. Jensen
M. Wörl6.438M. Wörl
A. Sicker6.517A. Sicker
M. Momuluh6.514M. Momuluh
J. Rochelt6.010J. Rochelt
J. Grodowski7.211J. Grodowski

Holstein Kiel Substitutes

17F. Alidou
20A. Kaprálik45'for Kasper Davidsen6.9
16A. Kelati77'for Guillermo Balzi6.1
9G. Kvilitaia45'for Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen6.3
13I. Nekić67'for Sebastian Schonlau6.3
41Lio Rothenhagen
7S. Skrzybski68'for Leon Parduzi6.0
3Niko Takahashi Cendagorta
27I. Ugoh

Arminia Bielefeld Substitutes

30I. Young64'for Jannik Rochelt80'7.6
42T. Wegener
8S. Schreck
23L. Schneider64'for Leon Jensen88'5.7
18L. Oppermann
6M. Mehlem
29T. Handwerker51'for Arne Sicker6.6
2F. Hagmann84'for Joel Grodowski6.6
27Benjamin Bediako Boakye64'for Monju Thaddäus Momuluh6.7

Match Stats

Holstein KielArminia Bielefeld
75%Ball Possession25%
6Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards6
15Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal0
8Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots1
14Fouls9
0Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves3
645Total Passes214
551Passes Accurate118
9Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
1614Elo Rating 1644
0.81Attack 1.65
2.36Defense 2.02
19%Hit Rate 63%
12.0Shots per Game 11.2
3.0Shots on Target 3.0
4.1Corners per Game 3.8
2.5Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld3Wins · 75%
4.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

2. Bundesliga23/01/2026
Arminia BielefeldHolstein Kiel
22
2. Bundesliga10/08/2025
Holstein KielArminia Bielefeld
02
2. Bundesliga02/04/2023
Holstein KielArminia Bielefeld
23
2. Bundesliga17/09/2022
Arminia BielefeldHolstein Kiel
42

Recent Form

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
3W3D4L
01/11/2026
SpVgg Greuther FürthHolstein Kiel
10
L
28/10/2026
Holstein Kiel1899 Hoffenheim
4131
W
25/10/2026
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
30
W
16/10/2026
Holstein KielHertha BSC
00
D
09/10/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigHolstein Kiel
10
L
03/10/2026
Holstein KielViborg
31
W
19/09/2026
Holstein KielVfL Osnabrück
11
D
13/09/2026
1. FC HeidenheimHolstein Kiel
10
L
05/09/2026
Holstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
22
D
30/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
20
L
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld
3W3D4L

Referee Profile

Wolfgang Haslberger124 matches

5.37Cards per match
5.19Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Wolfgang Haslberger5.37
Other referees4.64

5.37 cards a match, 0.73 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.64).

Cards come from 93 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC11101025:9+1631WWWDW
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg1173126:13+1324WWLDD
31. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern1163210:7+321WLWWD
41. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1162325:14+1120WDWLW
5VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg1154226:16+1019LWDWD
6Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1152418:16+217WWLWW
71. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim1144319:20-116DLDLD
8VfL BochumVfL Bochum1142511:13-214WWDLL
9FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1126313:16-312LLDDW
10SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1133513:19-612LWLWL
11Hannover 96Hannover 961133512:18-612DWLDL
12Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus1125418:20-211DLDDL
13Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig1132616:18-211DLWLW
14VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück1132614:18-411LLWLD
15Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1132615:20-511WLLWD
16Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC1132615:24-911LWLWL
17SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98112369:21-129LDDLW
18Holstein KielHolstein Kiel1115511:14-38LLWDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC1125:931
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg1126:1324
31. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern1110:721
41. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg1125:1420
5VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg1126:1619
6Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld1118:1617
71. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim1119:2016
8VfL BochumVfL Bochum1111:1314
9FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli1113:1612
10SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1113:1912
11Hannover 96Hannover 961112:1812
12Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus1118:2011
13Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig1116:1811
14VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück1114:1811
15Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1115:2011
16Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC1115:2411
17SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98119:219
18Holstein KielHolstein Kiel1111:148
PromotionRelegation

About the Holstein Kiel vs Arminia Bielefeld forecast

The forecasts for this 2. Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Holstein Kiel and Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga table

In the 2. Bundesliga table, Arminia Bielefeld are 6th and Holstein Kiel 18th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Holstein Kiel 11-14, Arminia Bielefeld 18-16. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.