Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden Prediction

2. BundesligaGermany Germany · Regular Season - 9
Holstein Kiel
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Dynamo Dresden
Holstein-Stadion, Kiel·Timo Gerach 25/10/2026
Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
3-0
Finished
Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.15
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-8.6%
Holstein Kiel Rest
8 days
Dynamo Dresden Rest
7 days

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: result, form and history

Holstein Kiel beat Dynamo Dresden 3-0 in the 2. Bundesliga on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.25
X
26%3.70
2
33%2.80
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
59%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.48
No
38%2.47
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.3 = 2.76
Over 1.5
80%1.15
Over 2.5
57%1.57
Over 3.5
37%2.40
Under 1.5
20%4.65
Under 2.5
43%2.33
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.29
Over 9.5
56%1.53
Over 10.5
44%1.87
Under 8.5
33%3.28
Under 9.5
44%2.28
Under 10.5
56%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
53%-
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
47%-

Match Events

2'Simon StraudiFoul
9'Giorgi KvilitaiaAssist: Phil Harres
37'Kasper DavidsenFoul
45'Kasper Davidsen INIkem Ugoh out
57'Giorgi Kvilitaia INFaride·Alidou out
61'David ZecFoul
62'Leon ParduziDissent
63'Niklas Hauptmann(Penalty missed)
64'Jonas MeffertPersistent infringement
66'Adrian KapralikFoul
72'Patrice Čović INKaan Inanoglu out
73'Adrian Kapralik INJonas Torrissen Therkelsen out
73'Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen
84'Niklas Hauptmann INJakob Lemmer out
84'Vincent Vermeij INNils Fröling out
85'Phil HarresAssist: Jonas Torrissen Therkelsen
88'Gyan de Regt INTill Wiese out
88'Phil Harres INMark Richter Montserrat out
90+3'Ben Bobzien INChristoph Daferner out

Lineups

Holstein Kiel
4-4-2Coach: T. Walter
Dynamo Dresden
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Stamm
Avg rating7.15
Avg rating6.23
T. Weiner8.11T. Weiner
H. Sekine7.232H. Sekine
N. Madsen7.25N. Madsen
D. Zec7.126D. Zec
Leon Parduzi6.640L. Parduzi
A. Kaprálik6.420A. Kaprálik
J. Meffert6.828J. Meffert
K. Davidsen6.815K. Davidsen
G. de Regt7.611G. de Regt
P. Harres8.219P. Harres
G. Kvilitaia7.39G. Kvilitaia
L. Grill5.622L. Grill
J. Sterner6.932J. Sterner
N. Rapp6.66N. Rapp
F. Muller6.142F. Muller
S. Straudi6.744S. Straudi
R. Wagner6.518R. Wagner
T. Raschl6.321T. Raschl
P. Čović5.924P. Čović
N. Hauptmann6.227N. Hauptmann
B. Bobzien5.420B. Bobzien
V. Vermeij6.59V. Vermeij

Holstein Kiel Substitutes

30T. Tasdelen
10J. Therkelsen73'for Adrian Kapralik73'8.3
47J. Tolkin
27I. Ugoh45'for Kasper Davidsen6.9
43T. Wiese88'for Gyan de Regt7.0
41Lio Rothenhagen
44Mark Richter Monserrat88'for Phil Harres6.5
13I. Nekić
17F. Alidou57'for Giorgi Kvilitaia6.5

Dynamo Dresden Substitutes

16N. Fröling84'for Vincent Vermeij6.3
8L. Herrmann
11K. Inanoglu72'for Patrice Čović6.4
10J. Lemmer84'for Niklas Hauptmann5.8
17A. Muhamedbegović
34T. Neininger
19A. Rossipal
1T. Schreiber
33C. Daferner90+3'for Ben Bobzien

Match Stats

Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
37%Ball Possession63%
5Corner Kicks10
5Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots5
11Fouls5
0Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves1
337Total Passes588
252Passes Accurate486
75%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden
1602Elo Rating 1635
0.48Attack 1.44
2.13Defense 1.77
0%Hit Rate 27%
11.8Shots per Game 11.4
2.3Shots on Target 4.0
5.6Corners per Game 6.2
3.1Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden1Wins · 25%
2.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

2. Bundesliga17/05/2026
Dynamo DresdenHolstein Kiel
21
2. Bundesliga20/12/2025
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
21
2. Bundesliga16/04/2022
Dynamo DresdenHolstein Kiel
00
2. Bundesliga05/11/2021
Holstein KielDynamo Dresden
21

Recent Form

Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
2W5D3L
16/10/2026
Holstein KielHertha BSC
00
D
09/10/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigHolstein Kiel
10
L
03/10/2026
Holstein KielViborg
31
W
19/09/2026
Holstein KielVfL Osnabrück
11
D13/09/2026
1. FC HeidenheimHolstein Kiel
10
L
05/09/2026
Holstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
22
D
30/08/2026
1. FC MagdeburgHolstein Kiel
20
L
22/08/2026
TSV 1860 MünchenHolstein Kiel
02
W
14/08/2026
Holstein KielFC St. Pauli
22
D
08/08/2026
SV Darmstadt 98Holstein Kiel
22
D
Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden
3W2D5L
18/10/2026
Dynamo Dresden1. FC Magdeburg
20
W
10/10/2026
VfL OsnabrückDynamo Dresden
11
D
02/10/2026
TepliceDynamo Dresden
20
L
19/09/2026
Dynamo DresdenHertha BSC
12
L12/09/2026
Eintracht BraunschweigDynamo Dresden
22
D
05/09/2026
Dynamo DresdenVfL Bochum
12
L
29/08/2026
1. FC HeidenheimDynamo Dresden
53
L
23/08/2026
Westfalia RhynernDynamo Dresden
06
W
16/08/2026
Dynamo DresdenSV Darmstadt 98
10
W
09/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergDynamo Dresden
30
L

Referee Profile

Timo Gerach111 matches

4.34Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Timo Gerach4.34
Other referees4.44

4.34 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.44).

Cards come from 105 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

2. Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC981020:8+1225WDWWW
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg953121:12+918LDDWW
31. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern95319:4+518WWDWL
4VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg944123:14+916DWDWL
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg951320:12+816WLWDW
61. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim943216:16015DLDDW
7FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli926111:9+212DDWDW
8VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück932414:15-111WLDDL
9Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld932413:14-111LWWDL
10Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig931515:15010WLWLD
11Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus924317:18-110DDLDW
12SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth923412:16-49LWLDD
13Holstein KielHolstein Kiel915310:11-18WDLDL
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum92256:10-48DLLLD
15Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden922511:18-78LWDLD
16Hannover 96Hannover 9692258:15-78LDLWL
17Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC922511:20-98LWLLL
18SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 9892258:18-108DLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Hertha BSCHertha BSC920:825
21. FC Nürnberg1. FC Nürnberg921:1218
31. FC Kaiserslautern1. FC Kaiserslautern99:418
4VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg923:1416
51. FC Magdeburg1. FC Magdeburg920:1216
61. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim916:1615
7FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli911:912
8VfL OsnabrückVfL Osnabrück914:1511
9Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld913:1411
10Eintracht BraunschweigEintracht Braunschweig915:1510
11Energie CottbusEnergie Cottbus917:1810
12SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth912:169
13Holstein KielHolstein Kiel910:118
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum96:108
15Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden911:188
16Hannover 96Hannover 9698:158
17Karlsruher SCKarlsruher SC911:208
18SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 9898:188
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About the Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden in the 2. Bundesliga table

In the 2. Bundesliga table, Holstein Kiel (13th) and Dynamo Dresden (15th) are level on 8 points. League goal record so far: Holstein Kiel 10-11, Dynamo Dresden 11-18. The full standings are on the 2. Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.