Iceland vs Estonia Prediction
World · League C - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Iceland vs Estonia: the result in context
Iceland and Estonia drew 1-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 26 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Referee Milos Milanovic averages 5.18 cards a game, 0.72 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Iceland
Avg ratingAvg rating
12H. Valdimarsson
4V. Pálsson
16S. Þórðarson
3D. Grétarsson
19M. Ellertsson
20J. Þorsteinsson
7H. Haraldsson
8Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
11A. Guðmundsson
22A. Guðjohnsen
9O. Óskarsson
1K. Hein
6R. Peetson
3M. Paskotši
2M. Kuusk
18K. Mets
19M. Schjønning-Larsen
10K. Palumets
20M. Poom
4M. Käit
11M. Ainsalu
9K. MustmaaIceland Substitutes
Estonia Substitutes
Match Stats
IcelandEstonia Team Comparison
IcelandEstoniaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Iceland- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Estonia- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Recent Form
Iceland
ArgentinaIceland
JapanIceland
UkraineIceland
AzerbaijanIcelandIceland
FranceIcelandUkraineFranceIcelandIcelandAzerbaijanIceland
KosovoKosovoIcelandEstoniaEstonia
LithuaniaEstonia
Faroe Islands
NorwayEstoniaEstonia
MoldovaEstonia
ItalyItalyEstoniaEstoniaNorwayEstonia
IsraelMoldovaEstoniaIsraelEstoniaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.18 cards a match, 0.72 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.46).
Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 8 | DWWD |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 6 | DWDD |
| 3 |  Bulgaria | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 | WLDL |
| 4 |  Luxembourg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 | LLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iceland | 4 | 7:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Estonia | 4 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Bulgaria | 4 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Iceland vs Estonia forecast
This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Iceland and Estonia in the UEFA Nations League table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Iceland are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 2 points ahead of Estonia in 2nd. League goal record so far: Iceland 7-1, Estonia 2-1. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Iceland have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Iceland and Estonia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.