IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken Prediction

IFK Varnamo
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Sandviken
Finnvedsvallen, Venamu·Karlsson Niclas 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.6%
IFK Varnamo Rest
5 days
Sandviken Rest
6 days

IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken: the result in context

Sandviken beat IFK Varnamo 1-0 in the Superettan on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.95
X
25%3.69
2
31%3.33
Double Chance
1X
69%1.28
X2
56%1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.52
No
40%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.4 = 2.85
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.58
Over 3.5
37%2.37
Under 1.5
21%4.50
Under 2.5
43%2.30
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Axel BjornströmViolent conduct
12'Marcus Antonsson INSamuel Ohlsson out
30'Wilhelm NilssonFoul
45'alan carleton INChristian Wagner out
45'Musa Oluwaseyi Akinfenwa INDouglas Bergqvist out
58'Wilhelm Nilsson INVictor Backman out
60'Zakarias·RavikFoul
69'calle johansson INSimon Thern out
69'Kai Meriluoto INLogi Hrafn Robertsson out
71'Karl Bohm INNino Geiger out
71'christopher rogers INYabets Yaliso Yaya out
77'August Ljungberg INCarl Johansson out
85'D. Bergman INIsac lindholm out
90+2'Isac lindholmAssist: Linus Tagesson

Lineups

IFK Varnamo
4-4-2Coach: K. Bergstrand
Sandviken
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas Lagerlöf
H. Keto1H. Keto
1919E. Jacob Freij
J. Rapp2J. Rapp
Z. Råvik16Z. Råvik
A. Björnström3A. Björnström
3333M. Oluwaseyi Akinfenwa
C. Johansson26C. Johansson
V. Claesson10V. Claesson
A. Ljungberg11A. Ljungberg
M. Antonsson14M. Antonsson
K. Meriluoto9K. Meriluoto
H. Sveijer1H. Sveijer
K. Harletun23K. Harletun
22G. Johan Wilhelm Thörn
W. Nilsson17W. Nilsson
C. Rogers18C. Rogers
2222D. Bergman
M. Abubakari16M. Abubakari
L. Tagesson26L. Tagesson
J. Arvidsson7J. Arvidsson
A. Carleton12A. Carleton
K. Bohm8K. Bohm

IFK Varnamo Substitutes

39L. Selin
23L. Róbertsson69'for Kai Meriluoto
4S. Ohlsson12'for Marcus Antonsson
24Mohamed Kamara
8H. Andersson Mella
5D. Bergqvist45'replaced by Musa Oluwaseyi Akinfenwa
7C. Johansson69'replaced by Simon Thern77'for August Ljungberg
22S. Thern69'for calle johansson
13S. Jansson

Sandviken Substitutes

24Y. Yaya71'for christopher rogers
11V. Backman58'for Wilhelm Nilsson
3N. Geiger71'for Karl Bohm
13I. Lindholm85'replaced by D. Bergman90+2'
27A. Persson
25Ilias Barou Sangare
6L Vabö
20Nicholas Vainio
9Christian Wagner45'for alan carleton

Match Stats

IFK VarnamoSandviken
44%Ball Possession56%
1Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
4Total Shots17
0Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal14
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo
SandvikenSandviken
1477Elo Rating 1557
0.90Attack 1.46
1.75Defense 1.94
39%Hit Rate 44%
10.5Shots per Game 9.2
4.3Shots on Target 3.7
4.4Corners per Game 5.1
0.9Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SandvikenSandviken
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
SandvikenSandviken0Wins · 0%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Superettan18/04/2026
SandvikenIFK Varnamo
01

Recent Form

IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo
5W3D2L
18/10/2026
GIF SundsvallIFK Varnamo
01
W
11/10/2026
IFK VarnamoFalkenbergs FF
12
L
19/09/2026
OddevoldIFK Varnamo
12
W
15/09/2026
IFK VarnamoOsters IF
13
L
09/09/2026
United NordicIFK Varnamo
24
W
05/09/2026
IFK VarnamoVarbergs BoIS FC
11
D
29/08/2026
Ljungskile SKIFK Varnamo
01
W
24/08/2026
IFK VarnamoLandskrona BoIS
11
D
19/08/2026
Växjö NorraIFK Varnamo
13
W
16/08/2026
IFK VarnamoOstersunds FK
11
D
SandvikenSandviken
4W4D2L
17/10/2026
SandvikenOstersunds FK
00
D
10/10/2026
Landskrona BoISSandviken
32
L
03/10/2026
SandvikenGIF Sundsvall
10
W
19/09/2026
SandvikenOrebro SK
42
W
15/09/2026
IK brageSandviken
11
D
09/09/2026
SandvikenOddevold
01
L
05/09/2026
HelsingborgSandviken
02
W
30/08/2026
SandvikenOsters IF
11
D
23/08/2026
Norrby IFSandviken
11
D
18/08/2026
IF KarlstadSandviken
02
W

Referee Profile

Karlsson Niclas3 matches analysed

3.90Cards per match
3.67Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 10% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Superettan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping28195458:18+4062WDWWD
2Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF27156652:37+1551WWDWW
3Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK281212438:26+1248WDDDW
4Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC27137745:34+1146DDWWL
5Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS27127845:32+1343LWWWL
6OddevoldOddevold28119848:37+1142WLWLD
7Osters IFOsters IF281331246:45+142WWLLW
8United NordicUnited Nordic28109941:47-639LWLLD
9SandvikenSandviken281081044:38+638WDLWD
10Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK28891137:38-133DWDLL
11HelsingborgHelsingborg28881237:48-1132DDLDL
12IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo28951435:48-1332LWLWL
13Norrby IFNorrby IF285121131:41-1027LLWDL
14IK brageIK brage28681445:55-1026LLWLD
15Orebro SKOrebro SK275111130:42-1226DDLDW
16GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall28612119:65-4619LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1IFK NorrkopingIFK Norrkoping2858:1862
2Falkenbergs FFFalkenbergs FF2752:3751
3Ostersunds FKOstersunds FK2838:2648
4Varbergs BoIS FCVarbergs BoIS FC2745:3446
5Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS2745:3243
6OddevoldOddevold2848:3742
7Osters IFOsters IF2846:4542
8United NordicUnited Nordic2841:4739
9SandvikenSandviken2844:3838
10Ljungskile SKLjungskile SK2837:3833
11HelsingborgHelsingborg2837:4832
12IFK VarnamoIFK Varnamo2835:4832
13Norrby IFNorrby IF2831:4127
14IK brageIK brage2845:5526
15Orebro SKOrebro SK2730:4226
16GIF SundsvallGIF Sundsvall2819:6519
PromotionRelegation

About the IFK Varnamo vs Sandviken forecast

The forecasts for this Superettan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

IFK Varnamo and Sandviken in the Superettan table

In the Superettan table, Sandviken are 9th and IFK Varnamo 12th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: IFK Varnamo 35-48, Sandviken 44-38. The full standings are on the Superettan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

IFK Varnamo and Sandviken have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.