Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica Prediction

Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito· Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero, Ecuador 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.62
SignalHIGHModel68%RiskMediumGap+9.8%
Independiente del Valle Rest
3 days
Universidad Catolica Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.62
X
19%3.95
2
7%4.85
Double Chance
1X
93%1.16
X2
26%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.69
No
49%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.1 + 0.86 = 2.96
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.67
Over 3.5
36%2.62
Under 1.5
23%4.17
Under 2.5
43%2.12
Under 3.5
64%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'Richard Schunke INMateo Carabajal out
51'Ronald BrionesAssist: Juan Riquelme Angulo Caiced
56'Juan Riquelme Angulo CaicedAssist: Djorkaeff Reascos
61'Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso PeredaAssist: Mauro Díaz
62'Azarias LondonoAssist: Mauro Díaz
62'Daniel Clavijo INLuis Johan Moreno out
66'Facundo MartinezFoul
67'Djorkaeff Reascos INCarlos González out
67'Matias Mijail Perello INAron Rodríguez out
67'Youri ochoa INJunior Sornoza out
76'Ronald Briones INHugo Quintana out
78'Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda INEric David Valencia Reasco out
83'Eddy·Mejia INJimmy Evans out
90'Jhegson Mendez CarabaliFoul

Lineups

Independiente del Valle
4-1-3-2Coach: Joaquín Papa
Universidad Catolica
4-2-3-1Coach: Diego Martínez
A. Quintana1A. QuintanaA. Quintana
J. Espinoza4J. EspinozaJ. Espinoza
R. Schunke5R. SchunkeR. Schunke
J. Viacava23J. ViacavaJ. Viacava
J. Méndez32J. MéndezJ. Méndez
J. Angulo50J. AnguloJ. Angulo
Y. Ochoa8Y. OchoaY. Ochoa
M. Perelló11M. PerellóM. Perelló
D. Reasco99D. ReascoD. Reasco
R. Briones16R. BrionesR. Briones
J. Lara12J. LaraJ. Lara
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo24D. Carlos Nazareno ArroyoDarwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
L. Cangá33L. CangáL. Cangá
J. Chancellor4J. ChancellorJ. Chancellor
E. Mejía30E. MejíaE. Mejía
D. Clavijo8D. ClavijoD. Clavijo
F. Martínez10F. MartínezF. Martínez
A. Londoño9A. LondoñoA. Londoño
M. Díaz28M. DíazM. Díaz
M. Alonso32M. AlonsoM. Alonso
J. Fajardo7J. FajardoJ. Fajardo

Independiente del Valle Substitutes

10J. SornozaM
31Emerson Ivan Pata RodríguezF
19L. LoorD
9C. GonzálezF
70M. PeraltaG
28H. QuintanaM
57H. QuinteroM
17A. RodríguezF
13Daykol Alejandro Romero PadillaD

Universidad Catolica Substitutes

5J. CacciabueM
29G. AnangonóD
1Lucas Cueva GordilloG
11J. EvansF
37C. MedinaD
14J. MinaD
15L. MorenoD
18B. PalaciosF
19M. SevillanoM
44E. ValenciaD
26Foad EidF

Match Stats

Independiente del ValleUniversidad Catolica
49%Ball Possession51%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots18
3Shots on Goal7
11Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots6
8Fouls12
0Offsides3
5Goalkeeper Saves1
384Total Passes404
326Passes Accurate358
12Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
1798Elo Rating 1625
1.84Attack 2.00
1.19Defense 2.06
46%Hit Rate 64%
15.1Shots per Game 14.1
4.8Shots on Target 4.9
5.9Corners per Game 3.4
1.2Cards per Game 0.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+173 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend37% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.8 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Independiente del Valle 69%Draw 0%31% Universidad Catolica
2.9Avg Goals
37%BTTS Rate
64%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero, Ecuador · 30 matches analysed

4.2Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
23.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 45% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Pro 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451WWDDW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WLWWL
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550DDDWW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DWDLW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWDLW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDDWD
11EmelecEmelec301091125:34-936LWDWL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DLWLD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DLWLL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
11EmelecEmelec3025:3436
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
Relegation

Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro

ScorePredicts covers Ecuador football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Independiente del Valle have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Universidad Catolica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Independiente del Valle and Universidad Catolica have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.9 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.