LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito· B. L. Salazar 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel50%RiskMediumGap+2.0%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.36
SignalGOODModel41%RiskMediumGap+8.0%
LDU de Quito Rest
4 days
Independiente del Valle Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%2.86
X
28%3.14
2
47%2.35
Double Chance
1X
53%1.51
X2
76%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.73
No
44%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.15 + 1.38 = 2.53
Over 1.5
70%1.30
Over 2.5
47%1.98
Over 3.5
27%3.30
Under 1.5
30%3.20
Under 2.5
53%1.76
Under 3.5
73%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'J. Angulo
37'M. Estrada
42'Goal Disallowed - video reviewM. Estrada
46'R. Redes INJ. Rodriguez out
46'J. Corozo INDeyverson out
46'J. Angulo INA. Rodriguez out
46'R. Schunke INM. Carabajal out
61'C. Gonzalez IND. Reasco out
71'M. Perello INA. Velasco out
71'D. Guagua INJ. Alcivar out
74'F. Cornejo INR. Mina out
90'R. Briones

Lineups

LDU de Quito
3-5-2Coach: Gustavo Alvarez
Independiente del Valle
4-1-4-1Coach: Joaquin Papa
G. Valle1G. ValleG. Valle
L. Segovia44L. SegoviaL. Segovia
R. Ade4R. AdeR. Ade
J. Carabali67J. CarabaliJ. Carabali
R. Redes7R. RedesR. Redes
F. Cornejo20F. CornejoF. Cornejo
J. Pretell8J. PretellJ. Pretell
S. Gonzalez Baquero5S. Gonzalez BaqueroS. Gonzalez Baquero
Y. Quinonez23Y. QuinonezY. Quinonez
J. Corozo13J. CorozoJ. Corozo
M. Estrada11M. EstradaM. Estrada
A. Quintana1A. QuintanaA. Quintana
J. Espinoza4J. EspinozaJ. Espinoza
R. Schunke5R. SchunkeR. Schunke
J. Viacava23J. ViacavaJ. Viacava
G. Cortez15G. CortezG. Cortez
J. Mendez32J. MendezJ. Mendez
M. Perello11M. PerelloM. Perello
D. Guagua55D. GuaguaD. Guagua
R. Briones16R. BrionesR. Briones
C. Gonzalez9C. GonzalezC. Gonzalez
J. Angulo50J. AnguloJ. Angulo

LDU de Quito Substitutes

22A. DominguezG
30G. F. Allala MenendezD
26I. ZambranoM
28J. W. Cuero MercadoD
31J. RodriguezM
21E. CastilloM
27R. Mina
16DeyversonF
99C. Luna TobarM
3R. MinaD
25P. Ortiz
32A. Gomez

Independiente del Valle Substitutes

70M. PeraltaG
99D. ReascoF
17A. RodriguezF
33A. VelascoD
13D. A. Romero PadillaD
8Y. OchoaM
28H. QuintanaM
14M. CarabajalD
6J. AlcivarM
31E. PataF
52Y. VasquezF
56E. QuinteroM

Match Stats

LDU de QuitoIndependiente del Valle
0Total Shots1
0Shots on Goal1
0Shots off Goal0
0Shots Inside Box1
0Shots Outside Box0
0Blocked Shots0
0Fouls0

Team Comparison

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
1640Elo Rating 1798
0.99Attack 1.84
2.02Defense 1.19
19%Hit Rate 46%
13.0Shots per Game 15.1
2.6Shots on Target 4.8
3.7Corners per Game 5.9
2.2Cards per Game 1.2

Game State Tendencies

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.1 in first half)
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

LDU de Quito 46%Draw 54%0% Independiente del Valle
1.74Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
19%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito
3W1D1L
04/08/2026
LDU de QuitoDelfin SC
21
W
30/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
60
W
27/07/2026
Barcelona SCLDU de Quito
01
W
23/07/2026
Manta FCLDU de Quito
11
D
18/07/2026
LDU de QuitoLeones del Norte
01
L
Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle
5W0D0L

Referee Profile

B. L. Salazar · 4 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
21.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 60% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga Pro 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074WWLDW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451WWDDW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WLWWL
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550DDDWW
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746DWDLW
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744DDWLW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWDLW
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139LDWLL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLLWW
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338LDDWD
11EmelecEmelec301091125:34-936LWDWL
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236DLWLD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133LWLLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432WLLWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228DLWLL
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521DLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
11EmelecEmelec3025:3436
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221
Relegation

LDU de Quito vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga Pro

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Key Factors for This Match

Independiente del Valle have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. LDU de Quito and Independiente del Valle have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.74 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.