Inverness CT vs Arbroath Prediction

Inverness CT
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Arbroath
Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness·S. Murdoch 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
62%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-5.9%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Inverness CT Rest
3 days
Arbroath Rest
7 days

Inverness CT vs Arbroath: the result in context

Inverness CT beat Arbroath 2-0 in the Championship on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Inverness CT had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Arbroath.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.47
X
22%3.90
2
17%6.00
Double Chance
1X
83%1.11
X2
39%2.45
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

39'C. MacLeod
42'A. BavidgeAssist: P. Allan
45+1'T. Beadling INC. Dewar out
60'P. Allan(Penalty missed)
67'M. McKenna
68'J. MacIntyre INS. Stewart out
72'L. Stewart IND. E. Osong out
72'L. Sole INR. Duncan out
76'A. Mackinnon INR. MacGregor out
77'G. Reilly INA. Winter out
77'R. Dow INC. Daly out
85'A. Bavidge INN. Boutin out

Team Comparison

Inverness CTInverness CT
ArbroathArbroath
1575Elo Rating 1384
1.81Attack 0.48
2.61Defense 1.24
81%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+191 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Inverness CTInverness CT
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ArbroathArbroath
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Inverness CTInverness CT3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
ArbroathArbroath4Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship08/08/2026
ArbroathInverness CT
00
League One26/04/2025
Inverness CTArbroath
30
League One08/02/2025
ArbroathInverness CT
30
League One14/12/2024
Inverness CTArbroath
02
League One05/10/2024
ArbroathInverness CT
10
League Cup23/07/2024
Inverness CTArbroath
3050
Championship06/04/2024
Inverness CTArbroath
21
Championship24/02/2024
ArbroathInverness CT
11
Championship16/12/2023
Inverness CTArbroath
12
Championship30/09/2023
ArbroathInverness CT
23

Recent Form

Inverness CTInverness CT
3W3D4L
13/10/2026
Queen's ParkInverness CT
21
L
10/10/2026
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
20
W
25/09/2026
Inverness CTMorton
20
W
19/09/2026
LivingstonInverness CT
22
D
12/09/2026
Ayr UtdInverness CT
13
W
05/09/2026
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
02
L
29/08/2026
StenhousemuirInverness CT
31
L
21/08/2026
Inverness CTPartick
11
D
16/08/2026
Heart Of MidlothianInverness CT
62
L
08/08/2026
ArbroathInverness CT
00
D
ArbroathArbroath
3W2D5L
10/10/2026
ArbroathMorton
12
L
03/10/2026
PartickArbroath
30
L
25/09/2026
ArbroathQueen's Park
21
W
19/09/2026
StenhousemuirArbroath
10
L
12/09/2026
Raith RoversArbroath
40
L
05/09/2026
ArbroathDunfermline
11
D
29/08/2026
ArbroathLivingston
10
W
22/08/2026
MortonArbroath
12
W
08/08/2026
ArbroathInverness CT
00
D
01/08/2026
Ayr UtdArbroath
20
L

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PartickPartick1274115:4+1125WDWWW
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1172213:8+523LDLWW
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1263316:9+721LDWWL
4Inverness CTInverness CT1254316:11+519WWLWW
5DunfermlineDunfermline114619:6+318WDDDW
6LivingstonLivingston1252515:11+417WDLLW
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1133510:12-212LDWLW
8ArbroathArbroath123277:18-1111LLLLW
9MortonMorton112189:18-97WWLLL
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park122196:19-137LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PartickPartick1215:425
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1113:823
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1216:921
4Inverness CTInverness CT1216:1119
5DunfermlineDunfermline119:618
6LivingstonLivingston1215:1117
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1110:1212
8ArbroathArbroath127:1811
9MortonMorton119:187
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park126:197
PromotionRelegation

About the Inverness CT vs Arbroath forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Inverness CT and Arbroath in the Championship table

The table shows a wide gap: Inverness CT are 4th in the Championship, while Arbroath sit 8th, 8 points behind. League goal record so far: Inverness CT 16-11, Arbroath 7-18. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Inverness CT have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.