Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers Prediction

Stenhousemuir
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Raith Rovers
Ochilview Park, Stenhousemuir·L. Hogarth 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap-9.4%
Stenhousemuir Rest
7 days
Raith Rovers Rest
7 days

Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers: the result in context

Stenhousemuir and Raith Rovers drew 1-1 in the Championship on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
33%3.14
X
29%3.10
2
38%2.25
Double Chance
1X
62%1.53
X2
67%1.30
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'M. AndersonAssist: S. Young
46'K. Montagu INP. McMullan out
46'J. RoweAssist: A. Lyall
56'L. Grant
56'K. Turner
67'F. Robson INM. Gillies out
67'O. MacIntyre INK. Bilham out
69'Z. Delaney INL. Stevenson out
72'G. Stevenson INL. O'Donnell out
72'E. O'Reilly INL. Hodgkiss out
83'S. Young
86'A. Shinnie IND. Carrick out

Team Comparison

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
Raith RoversRaith Rovers
1548Elo Rating 1513
0.54Attack 0.95
1.57Defense 1.78
31%Hit Rate 36%

Game State Tendencies

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Raith RoversRaith Rovers
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Raith RoversRaith Rovers0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

StenhousemuirStenhousemuir
8W0D2L
10/10/2026
Inverness CTStenhousemuir
20
L
25/09/2026
Ayr UtdStenhousemuir
01
W
19/09/2026
StenhousemuirArbroath
10
W
15/09/2026
StenhousemuirPartick
10
W
11/09/2026
StenhousemuirHeart Of Midlothian
03
L
04/09/2026
LivingstonStenhousemuir
01
W
29/08/2026
StenhousemuirInverness CT
31
W
22/08/2026
Queen's ParkStenhousemuir
02
W
16/08/2026
StenhousemuirMotherwell
1000
W
08/08/2026
StenhousemuirMorton
20
W
Raith RoversRaith Rovers
6W2D2L
10/10/2026
Raith RoversQueen's Park
20
W
03/10/2026
MortonRaith Rovers
12
W
25/09/2026
Raith RoversLivingston
02
L
19/09/2026
PartickRaith Rovers
00
D
12/09/2026
Raith RoversArbroath
40
W
05/09/2026
Inverness CTRaith Rovers
02
W
28/08/2026
DunfermlineRaith Rovers
10
L
22/08/2026
Raith RoversAyr Utd
20
W
08/08/2026
Queen's ParkRaith Rovers
12
W
01/08/2026
Raith RoversStenhousemuir
11
D

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PartickPartick1274115:4+1125WDWWW
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1172213:8+523LDLWW
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1263316:9+721LDWWL
4Inverness CTInverness CT1254316:11+519WWLWW
5DunfermlineDunfermline114619:6+318WDDDW
6LivingstonLivingston1252515:11+417WDLLW
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1133510:12-212LDWLW
8ArbroathArbroath123277:18-1111LLLLW
9MortonMorton112189:18-97WWLLL
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park122196:19-137LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PartickPartick1215:425
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir1113:823
3Raith RoversRaith Rovers1216:921
4Inverness CTInverness CT1216:1119
5DunfermlineDunfermline119:618
6LivingstonLivingston1215:1117
7Ayr UtdAyr Utd1110:1212
8ArbroathArbroath127:1811
9MortonMorton119:187
10Queen's ParkQueen's Park126:197
PromotionRelegation

About the Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stenhousemuir and Raith Rovers in the Championship table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Stenhousemuir are 2nd in the Championship, 2 points ahead of Raith Rovers in 3rd. League goal record so far: Stenhousemuir 13-8, Raith Rovers 16-9. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stenhousemuir have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Stenhousemuir and Raith Rovers have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.