Irtysh vs Ordabasy Prediction

Irtysh
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Ordabasy
Centralnyj Stadion, Pavlodar·S. Karabaev 31/10/2026
IrtyshIrtysh
2-0
Finished
OrdabasyOrdabasy

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.21
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
Irtysh Rest
5 days
Ordabasy Rest
6 days

Irtysh vs Ordabasy: the result in context

Irtysh beat Ordabasy 2-0 in the Premier League on 31 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Ordabasy had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Irtysh.

Ordabasy have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%3.85
X
22%3.60
2
59%1.80
Double Chance
1X
41%1.87
X2
81%1.21
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'R. Yudenkov(Penalty missed)
11'R. Yudenkov
22'D. Slambekov
24'Y. Vakulko
40'R. Karimov IND. Esimbekov out
40'D. Slambekov IND. Nyrkov out
46'R. Serdaly INN. Serik out
55'T. Keita
57'D. Esimbekov
62'Everton INN. Maratuly out
62'E. Astanov INB. Aben out
69'Leonardo Kalil INA. Nurlan out
69'S. Malikaydar
72'N. Maratuly
81'R. Yudenkov
84'Y. Shimamura INV. Raskatov out
85'T. Mukhametzhanov INJ. Poe out
87'S. Opeh
87'M. Toktybay
87'M. Mbodj

Lineups

Irtysh
3-4-1-2
Ordabasy
3-4-1-2
Miras Rikhard1M. Rikhard
Bakhtiyar Toleuov5B. Toleuov
Mamadou Mbodj26M. Mbodj
Demiyat Slambekov4D. Slambekov
Sagi Malikaydar66S. Malikaydar
Samuel Opeh17S. Opeh
Ruslan Yudenkov56R. Yudenkov
Ramazan Karimov12R. Karimov
Yushi Shimamura6Y. Shimamura
Kalil9Kalil
Timur Mukhametzhanov7T. Mukhametzhanov
Kazhimukan Tolepbergen13K. Tolepbergen
Ali Turganov14A. Turganov
Yurii Vakulko11Y. Vakulko
Ramazan Serdaly78R. Serdaly
Birzhan Toktybay21B. Toktybay
Tidiane Keita44T. Keita
Abinur Nurymbet23A. Nurymbet
Sergey Keiler4S. Keiler
Elkhan Astanov10E. Astanov
Everton Macedo Moraes9E. Macedo Moraes
Magzhan Toktybay20M. Toktybay

Irtysh Substitutes

15Daniil Nyrkov40'for D. Slambekov
8David Esimbekov40'for R. Karimov57'
29Bogdan Sarnavskyi
31Erkebulan Rakhmetulla
19Artem Popov
25Marko Jevtić
13Nurdaulet Baybosynov
14Vyacheslav Raskatov84'for Y. Shimamura
21Darkhan Berdibek
35Lucas Ramos
97Jean Poé85'for T. Mukhametzhanov
77Alham Nurlan69'for Leonardo Kalil

Ordabasy Substitutes

27Nurdaulet Serik46'for R. Serdaly
24Ayan Abdukhalyk
72Nurdaulet Beissenbay
81Yesbolov Aidyn
6Maratuly Nurbi62'for Everton72'
93Damir Myngzhassar
80Bakdiar Aben62'for E. Astanov

Team Comparison

IrtyshIrtysh
OrdabasyOrdabasy
1495Elo Rating 1698
1.23Attack 1.90
1.12Defense 1.87
50%Hit Rate 50%

Game State Tendencies

IrtyshIrtysh
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
OrdabasyOrdabasy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

IrtyshIrtysh0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
OrdabasyOrdabasy3Wins · 75%
2.3Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Premier League07/03/2026
OrdabasyIrtysh
22
Premier League26/10/2019
OrdabasyIrtysh
20
Premier League28/07/2019
OrdabasyIrtysh
10
Premier League11/05/2019
IrtyshOrdabasy
02

Recent Form

IrtyshIrtysh
4W0D6L
25/10/2026
AtyrauIrtysh
23
W
18/10/2026
Kairat AlmatyIrtysh
50
L
14/10/2026
IrtyshFC Astana
01
L
10/10/2026
IrtyshKyzyl-Zhar
02
L
18/09/2026
AltayIrtysh
12
W
13/09/2026
IrtyshOkzhetpes
21
W
05/09/2026
ZhetysuIrtysh
10
L
30/08/2026
IrtyshAktobe
21
W
16/08/2026
IrtyshFK Tobol Kostanay
02
L
09/08/2026
Yelimay SemeyIrtysh
31
L
OrdabasyOrdabasy
8W1D1L
24/10/2026
OrdabasyZhenys
11
D
17/10/2026
AktobeOrdabasy
13
W
11/10/2026
KaisarOrdabasy
14
W
17/09/2026
AtyrauOrdabasy
03
W
12/09/2026
OrdabasyFC Astana
10
W
05/09/2026
OkzhetpesOrdabasy
21
L
29/08/2026
OrdabasyKyzyl-Zhar
30
W
19/08/2026
AltayOrdabasy
12
W
15/08/2026
OrdabasyAltay
31
W
08/08/2026
ZhetysuOrdabasy
04
W

Referee Profile

S. Karabaev3 matches analysed

4.37Cards per match
4.17Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 43% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy30215459:23+3668LDWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty30198360:23+3765DDWWL
3FC AstanaFC Astana30159648:31+1754DDDWL
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes30166849:38+1154WWWLW
5AktobeAktobe30147947:39+849WDLWD
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey30129943:44-145LDWWL
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay301251342:42041LDWWL
8ZhenysZhenys30991232:40-836WDLLL
9UlytauUlytau30981327:38-1135LLLWD
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar30961531:42-1133WWLWD
11KaspiyKaspiy30961532:44-1233LLDWW
12IrtyshIrtysh30881431:44-1332WWLLL
13AtyrauAtyrau306121227:35-830WLDLW
14AltayAltay306101431:42-1128DDDLL
15ZhetysuZhetysu30691531:49-1827DDWLL
16KaisarKaisar304131325:41-1625LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy3059:2368
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty3060:2365
3FC AstanaFC Astana3048:3154
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes3049:3854
5AktobeAktobe3047:3949
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey3043:4445
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay3042:4241
8ZhenysZhenys3032:4036
9UlytauUlytau3027:3835
10Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar3031:4233
11KaspiyKaspiy3032:4433
12IrtyshIrtysh3031:4432
13AtyrauAtyrau3027:3530
14AltayAltay3031:4228
15ZhetysuZhetysu3031:4927
16KaisarKaisar3025:4125
Relegation

About the Irtysh vs Ordabasy forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Irtysh and Ordabasy in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Ordabasy are 1st and Irtysh 12th, 36 points apart. League goal record so far: Irtysh 31-44, Ordabasy 59-23. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.