Aktobe vs Ordabasy Prediction
Kazakhstan · Regular Season - 23
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Aktobe vs Ordabasy: the result in context
Ordabasy beat Aktobe 3-1 in the Premier League on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Aktobe
16A. Zarutskiy
5B. Kairov
18I. Ordets
13S. Miangue
31A. Tanzharikov
6J. Atanasov
21P. Alvarez
12D. Topalov
7D. Sosah
11A. Shushenachev
9S. Ojo
1B. Shayzada
22S. Astanov
3G. Kilama
25S. Maliy
55A. Amanović
15Z. Amir
9E. Macedo Moraes
77D. Abagna
16M. Căpățînă
19L. Natel
28B. JohnsenAktobe Substitutes
Ordabasy Substitutes
Team Comparison
AktobeOrdabasyAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Aktobe- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ordabasy- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.6 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Aktobe2Wins · 20%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
03/05/2026OrdabasyAktobe26/10/2025AktobeOrdabasy01/03/2025OrdabasyAktobe25/08/2024OrdabasyAktobe18/05/2024AktobeOrdabasy
08/05/2024OrdabasyAktobe16/09/2023AktobeOrdabasy09/04/2023OrdabasyAktobe29/10/2022OrdabasyAktobe21/08/2022AktobeOrdabasyRecent Form
Aktobe
Yelimay SemeyAktobeAktobe
Ulytau
KaspiyAktobeAktobe
Zhenys
IrtyshAktobe
KaisarAktobe
AtyrauAktobe
Kyzyl-ZharAktobeAktobe
Okzhetpes
AltayAktobeOrdabasyKaisarOrdabasyAtyrauOrdabasyOrdabasy
FC AstanaOkzhetpesOrdabasyOrdabasyKyzyl-ZharAltayOrdabasyOrdabasyAltay
ZhetysuOrdabasyOrdabasy
FK Tobol Kostanay
Kairat AlmatyOrdabasyReferee Profile
Strictness
Stricter than 39% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 59:21 | +38 | 68 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | +37 | 64 | DWWLL |
| 3 | FC Astana | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 46:29 | +17 | 53 | DDWLW |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 45:37 | +8 | 51 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Aktobe | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 46 | DLWDW |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 42:40 | +2 | 45 | DWWLW |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40:39 | +1 | 41 | DWWLW |
| 8 | Ulytau | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 35 | LLWDL |
| 9 | Zhenys | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 30:39 | -9 | 33 | DLLLW |
| 10 | Kaspiy | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 31:42 | -11 | 33 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 29:41 | -12 | 30 | WLWDL |
| 12 | Irtysh | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 | WLLLW |
| 13 | Altay | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 30:41 | -11 | 27 | DDLLW |
| 14 | Atyrau | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 27 | LDLWL |
| 15 | Zhetysu | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 | DWLLL |
| 16 | Kaisar | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 24:39 | -15 | 25 | DLLDW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 29 | 59:21 | 68 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 29 | 59:22 | 64 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 29 | 46:29 | 53 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 29 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 29 | 44:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 29 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 7 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 29 | 40:39 | 41 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 29 | 27:35 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenys | 29 | 30:39 | 33 |
| 10 | Kaspiy | 29 | 31:42 | 33 |
| 11 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 29 | 29:41 | 30 |
| 12 | Irtysh | 29 | 29:44 | 29 |
| 13 | Altay | 29 | 30:41 | 27 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 29 | 24:35 | 27 |
| 15 | Zhetysu | 29 | 29:47 | 26 |
| 16 | Kaisar | 29 | 24:39 | 25 |
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About the Aktobe vs Ordabasy forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Aktobe and Ordabasy in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Ordabasy are 1st and Aktobe 5th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: Aktobe 44-37, Ordabasy 59-21. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Aktobe have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.