JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene Prediction

1. LigaLatvia Latvia · Regular Season - 15
JFK Ventspils
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Smiltene
02/08/2026
JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils
1-2
Finished
SmilteneSmiltene

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
JFK Ventspils Rest
7 days
Smiltene Rest
8 days

JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene: result, form and history

Smiltene beat JFK Ventspils 2-1 in the 1. Liga on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.71
X
19%3.84
2
19%3.80
Double Chance
1X
80%1.19
X2
38%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.48
No
56%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.11
Over 2.5
39%1.46
Over 3.5
18%2.17
Under 1.5
37%5.50
Under 2.5
61%2.42
Under 3.5
82%1.58
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'V. Gaismins
14'V. Liepajnieks
41'V. Liepajnieks(Penalty missed)
50'R. Rams
69'B. Cakurs

Team Comparison

JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils
SmilteneSmiltene
1384Elo Rating 1428
0.14Attack 2.75
1.25Defense 1.74
14%Hit Rate 77%

Game State Tendencies

JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SmilteneSmiltene
  • Leads at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils3Wins · 43%
Draws343%
SmilteneSmiltene1Wins · 14%
2.9Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

1. Liga28/03/2026
SmilteneJFK Ventspils
33
1. Liga20/09/2025
SmilteneJFK Ventspils
22
1. Liga11/05/2025
JFK VentspilsSmiltene
21
1. Liga31/08/2024
SmilteneJFK Ventspils
02
1. Liga05/05/2024
JFK VentspilsSmiltene
20
1. Liga27/08/2023
SmilteneJFK Ventspils
11
1. Liga29/04/2023
JFK VentspilsSmiltene
01

Recent Form

JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils
3W2D5L
25/07/2026
Riga MarinersJFK Ventspils
11
D
18/07/2026
JFK VentspilsJDFS Alberts
13
L11/07/2026
SkansteJFK Ventspils
03
W04/07/2026
Rēzekne FAJFK Ventspils
11
D28/06/2026
JFK VentspilsValmiera / BSS
02
L
20/06/2026
JFK VentspilsLeevon / PPK
13
L
14/06/2026
MārupeJFK Ventspils
12
W
01/06/2026
Upesciema WarriorsJFK Ventspils
03
W
23/05/2026
Leevon / PPKJFK Ventspils
21
L
09/05/2026
JFK VentspilsMetta / LU
01
L
SmilteneSmiltene
2W1D7L
25/07/2026
SmilteneRīgas FS II
35
L
19/07/2026
SmilteneRēzekne FA
10
W
04/07/2026
MārupeSmiltene
21
L
28/06/2026
SmilteneSkanste
24
L
22/06/2026
SmilteneValmiera / BSS
14
L
14/06/2026
Riga FC IISmiltene
20
L
30/05/2026
ParksSmiltene
15
W
24/05/2026
Tukums IISmiltene
11
D
13/05/2026
SmilteneSuper Nova 2
02
L
09/05/2026
Riga MarinersSmiltene
10
L

League Table

1. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metta / LUMetta / LU24203198:18+8063WWWWW
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS24175266:26+4056WDDLW
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners24165360:31+2953WWLWL
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK24165349:29+2053LDWWD
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts24135651:33+1844WDWLL
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2496939:39033WDWDD
7MārupeMārupe241031138:40-233LDWDW
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22478933:36-329WLDLD
9SkansteSkanste24821447:51-426LLLLW
10SmilteneSmiltene24651337:62-2523WDWWW
11Tukums IITukums II24541531:68-3719LDLWW
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II24531637:68-3118LWLLL
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils24371421:48-2716LDLLW
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA24132017:75-586LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Metta / LUMetta / LU2498:1863
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS2466:2656
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2460:3153
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2449:2953
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2451:3344
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2439:3933
7MārupeMārupe2438:4033
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22433:3629
9SkansteSkanste2447:5126
10SmilteneSmiltene2437:6223
11Tukums IITukums II2431:6819
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2437:6818
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2421:4816
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2417:756

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About the JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

JFK Ventspils and Smiltene in the 1. Liga table

In the 1. Liga table, Smiltene are 10th and JFK Ventspils 13th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: JFK Ventspils 21-48, Smiltene 37-62. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Smiltene have led at half-time in 100% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.