Mārupe vs Leevon / PPK Prediction

1. LigaLatvia Latvia · Regular Season - 16
Mārupe
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Leevon / PPK
08/08/2026
MārupeMārupe
0-1
Finished
Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalHIGHModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Mārupe Rest
6 days
Leevon / PPK Rest
6 days

Mārupe vs Leevon / PPK: result, form and history

Leevon / PPK beat Mārupe 1-0 in the 1. Liga on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 5 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.60
X
21%4.00
2
55%1.72
Double Chance
1X
44%1.95
X2
76%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.50
No
56%2.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.11
Over 2.5
39%1.47
Over 3.5
18%2.20
Under 1.5
37%5.50
Under 2.5
61%2.50
Under 3.5
82%1.58
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

44'R. Baumanis(Penalty missed)
69'A. BaturinskisAssist: L. Liepins

Team Comparison

MārupeMārupe
Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK
1440Elo Rating 1605
1.56Attack 2.37
0.99Defense 1.36
34%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

MārupeMārupe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

MārupeMārupe2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK1Wins · 20%
1.6Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
20%3+ goals1 of 5

Previous meetings

1. Liga12/04/2026
Leevon / PPKMārupe
00
1. Liga19/10/2025
Leevon / PPKMārupe
00
1. Liga14/06/2025
MārupeLeevon / PPK
10
1. Liga07/09/2024
MārupeLeevon / PPK
10
1. Liga20/04/2024
Leevon / PPKMārupe
42

Recent Form

MārupeMārupe
4W0D6L
01/08/2026
SkansteMārupe
42
L
25/07/2026
Rēzekne FAMārupe
12
W
18/07/2026
MārupeMetta / LU
04
L
12/07/2026
MārupeGrobiņa
01
L
04/07/2026
MārupeSmiltene
21
W
27/06/2026
Riga MarinersMārupe
20
L
19/06/2026
MārupeAliance
4222
W
14/06/2026
MārupeJFK Ventspils
12
L
30/05/2026
JFC JelgavaMārupe
12
W
23/05/2026
MārupeRīgas FS II
14
L
Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK
6W1D3L
01/08/2026
Leevon / PPKRēzekne FA
21
W
25/07/2026
Leevon / PPKSkanste
21
W
18/07/2026
Leevon / PPKRiga Mariners
21
W
10/07/2026
Leevon / PPKRiga
23
L
05/07/2026
Valmiera / BSSLeevon / PPK
41
L
28/06/2026
Leevon / PPKMetta / LU
13
L
20/06/2026
JFK VentspilsLeevon / PPK
13
W
13/06/2026
JDFS AlbertsLeevon / PPK
00
D
29/05/2026
DSVK TraktorsLeevon / PPK
35
W
23/05/2026
Leevon / PPKJFK Ventspils
21
W

League Table

1. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metta / LUMetta / LU24203198:18+8063WWWWW
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS24175266:26+4056WDDLW
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners24165360:31+2953WWLWL
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK24165349:29+2053LDWWD
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts24135651:33+1844WDWLL
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2496939:39033WDWDD
7MārupeMārupe241031138:40-233LDWDW
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22478933:36-329WLDLD
9SkansteSkanste24821447:51-426LLLLW
10SmilteneSmiltene24651337:62-2523WDWWW
11Tukums IITukums II24541531:68-3719LDLWW
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II24531637:68-3118LWLLL
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils24371421:48-2716LDLLW
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA24132017:75-586LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Metta / LUMetta / LU2498:1863
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS2466:2656
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2460:3153
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2449:2953
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2451:3344
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2439:3933
7MārupeMārupe2438:4033
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22433:3629
9SkansteSkanste2447:5126
10SmilteneSmiltene2437:6223
11Tukums IITukums II2431:6819
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2437:6818
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2421:4816
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2417:756

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About the Mārupe vs Leevon / PPK forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Mārupe and Leevon / PPK in the 1. Liga table

In the 1. Liga table, Leevon / PPK are 4th and Mārupe 7th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Mārupe 38-40, Leevon / PPK 49-29. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Leevon / PPK have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.