Skanste vs Mārupe Prediction

Skanste
4-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Mārupe
01/08/2026
SkansteSkanste
4-2
Finished
MārupeMārupe

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Skanste Rest
6 days
Mārupe Rest
6 days

Skanste vs Mārupe: the result in context

Skanste beat Mārupe 4-2 in the 1. Liga on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.44
X
25%3.46
2
40%2.42
Double Chance
1X
60%1.46
X2
66%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.40
No
56%2.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.11
Over 2.5
39%1.45
Over 3.5
19%2.14
Under 1.5
37%5.25
Under 2.5
61%2.46
Under 3.5
81%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'D. BaltrusaitisAssist: A. Scerbinskis
29'R. PenkaAssist: K. Korsaks
35'A. Scerbinskis
52'A. ScerbinskisAssist: L. Livcans
59'T. Abdulraheem
67'A. Minasyan

Team Comparison

SkansteSkanste
MārupeMārupe
1416Elo Rating 1440
1.52Attack 1.56
0.30Defense 0.99
14%Hit Rate 34%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend17% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SkansteSkanste
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MārupeMārupe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

SkansteSkanste2Wins · 34%
Draws233%
MārupeMārupe2Wins · 33%
1.7Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

1. Liga04/04/2026
MārupeSkanste
40
1. Liga28/09/2025
MārupeSkanste
01
1. Liga17/05/2025
SkansteMārupe
10
1. Liga03/08/2024
MārupeSkanste
00
1. Liga06/04/2024
SkansteMārupe
11
Cup10/06/2023
MārupeSkanste
20

Recent Form

SkansteSkanste
3W0D7L
25/07/2026
Leevon / PPKSkanste
21
L
18/07/2026
SkansteValmiera / BSS
03
L
11/07/2026
SkansteJFK Ventspils
03
L
04/07/2026
Metta / LUSkanste
31
L
28/06/2026
SmilteneSkanste
24
W
14/06/2026
SkansteRiga Mariners
02
L
30/05/2026
Valmiera / BSSSkanste
20
L
24/05/2026
JDFS AlbertsSkanste
41
L
10/05/2026
SkansteRīgas FS II
40
W
04/05/2026
SkansteRiga FC II
20
W
MārupeMārupe
5W0D5L
25/07/2026
Rēzekne FAMārupe
12
W
18/07/2026
MārupeMetta / LU
04
L
12/07/2026
MārupeGrobiņa
01
L
04/07/2026
MārupeSmiltene
21
W
27/06/2026
Riga MarinersMārupe
20
L
19/06/2026
MārupeAliance
4222
W
14/06/2026
MārupeJFK Ventspils
12
L
30/05/2026
JFC JelgavaMārupe
12
W
23/05/2026
MārupeRīgas FS II
14
L
17/05/2026
Riga FC IIMārupe
04
W

League Table

1. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metta / LUMetta / LU24203198:18+8063WWWWW
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS24175266:26+4056WDDLW
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners24165360:31+2953WWLWL
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK24165349:29+2053LDWWD
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts24135651:33+1844WDWLL
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2496939:39033WDWDD
7MārupeMārupe241031138:40-233LDWDW
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22478933:36-329WLDLD
9SkansteSkanste24821447:51-426LLLLW
10SmilteneSmiltene24651337:62-2523WDWWW
11Tukums IITukums II24541531:68-3719LDLWW
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II24531637:68-3118LWLLL
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils24371421:48-2716LDLLW
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA24132017:75-586LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Metta / LUMetta / LU2498:1863
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS2466:2656
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2460:3153
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2449:2953
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2451:3344
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2439:3933
7MārupeMārupe2438:4033
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22433:3629
9SkansteSkanste2447:5126
10SmilteneSmiltene2437:6223
11Tukums IITukums II2431:6819
12Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2437:6818
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2421:4816
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2417:756

About the Skanste vs Mārupe forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Skanste and Mārupe in the 1. Liga table

Mārupe and Skanste are close in the 1. Liga table, 7th and 9th, with 7 points between them. League goal record so far: Skanste 47-51, Mārupe 38-40. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.