Kagoshima United vs Kochi United Prediction

Shiranami Stadium, Kagoshima 21/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.42
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Kagoshima United Rest
4 days
Kochi United Rest
3 days

Kagoshima United vs Kochi United: the result in context

Kagoshima United beat Kochi United 3-1 in the J3 League on 21 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Kagoshima United had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Kochi United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.42
X
21%3.90
2
14%6.40
Double Chance
1X
86%1.09
X2
35%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.92
No
50%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.34 + 0.91 = 3.25
Over 1.5
77%1.21
Over 2.5
55%1.78
Over 3.5
35%2.87
Under 1.5
23%3.58
Under 2.5
45%1.95
Under 3.5
65%1.32
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'A. TakahashiAssist: K. Yoshio
19'Y. Shimoda
25'I. Origbaajo
35'A. Takahashi
45+2'R. Arita
50'A. Kanehara
61'W. Tanaka INM. Endo out
61'A. Takahashi INK. Kawamura out
63'Y. Shimoda ING. Sekino out
63'A. Kanehara INR. Sugiyama out
73'I. Origbaajo INA. Kawata out
73'H. Cho INK. Asano out
75'R. Saga INM. Fukuda out
75'K. Yoshio INS. Inaba out
82'A. Nanamure INY. Mikado out
83'A. Kawata
87'M. FukudaAssist: S. Inaba
88'R. Arita INJuanma Delgado out
90'R. Fujimori
90+3'M. Fukuda

Team Comparison

Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United
Kochi UnitedKochi United
1526Elo Rating 1249
1.74Attack 0.46
1.39Defense 0.25
42%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+277 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.25 goals

Game State Tendencies

Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kochi UnitedKochi United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
Kochi UnitedKochi United0Wins · 0%
4.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

J3 League06/09/2025
Kagoshima UnitedKochi United
41
J3 League15/03/2025
Kochi UnitedKagoshima United
22

Recent Form

Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United
6W1D3L
17/10/2026
Kagoshima UnitedEhime FC
42
W
11/10/2026
Matsumoto YamagaKagoshima United
10
L
07/10/2026
Cerezo OsakaKagoshima United
20
L
04/10/2026
Kagoshima UnitedFukushima United
32
W
26/09/2026
KitakyushuKagoshima United
11
D
19/09/2026
Kagoshima UnitedTochigi SC
31
W
13/09/2026
Biwako ShigaKagoshima United
12
W
05/09/2026
Kagoshima UnitedFC Ryukyu
21
W
02/09/2026
Kagoshima UnitedConsadole Sapporo
01
L
29/08/2026
Kamatamare SanukiKagoshima United
34
W
Kochi UnitedKochi United
1W1D8L
18/10/2026
Renofa YamaguchiKochi United
20
L
10/10/2026
Kochi UnitedParceiro Nagano
13
L
03/10/2026
KitakyushuKochi United
20
L
26/09/2026
Kochi UnitedOsaka
04
L
19/09/2026
Thespakusatsu GunmaKochi United
10
L
13/09/2026
Kochi UnitedKanazawa
11
D
09/09/2026
Kochi UnitedV-varen Nagasaki
01
L
05/09/2026
Tochigi SCKochi United
20
L
30/08/2026
Kochi UnitedRoasso Kumamoto
02
L
23/08/2026
Kochi UnitedKamatamare Sanuki
21
W

League Table

J3 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1392227:16+1129LWWLW
2Ehime FCEhime FC1382330:19+1126LWLWW
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1382319:9+1026WLWWW
4OsakaOsaka1365223:13+1023WWLDL
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1365215:7+823WWWLD
6Nara ClubNara Club1372423:21+223LLWWW
7FC GifuFC Gifu1371524:13+1122LWWWL
8SagamiharaSagamihara1364321:14+722DLWWW
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1362516:15+120WWWLL
10KanazawaKanazawa1352623:19+417WLLDW
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1352617:19-217LLWWL
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1344519:22-316WLWLW
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1343613:23-1015DLDLW
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1342726:29-314WWLDL
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1335512:15-314LWLWL
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1335512:16-414DWLLD
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1342717:24-714LLLDD
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1341812:22-1013WLDWL
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1322915:25-108LWLLD
20Kochi UnitedKochi United131395:28-236DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1327:1629
2Ehime FCEhime FC1330:1926
3Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1319:926
4OsakaOsaka1323:1323
5Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1315:723
6Nara ClubNara Club1323:2123
7FC GifuFC Gifu1324:1322
8SagamiharaSagamihara1321:1422
9FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1316:1520
10KanazawaKanazawa1323:1917
11Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1317:1917
12KitakyushuKitakyushu1319:2216
13Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1313:2315
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1326:2914
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1312:1514
16Tochigi SCTochigi SC1312:1614
17Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1317:2414
18Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1312:2213
19Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1315:258
20Kochi UnitedKochi United135:286
PromotionRelegation

About the Kagoshima United vs Kochi United forecast

The forecasts for this J3 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kagoshima United and Kochi United in the J3 League table

The table shows a wide gap: Kagoshima United are 1st in the J3 League, while Kochi United sit 20th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Kagoshima United 27-16, Kochi United 5-28. The full standings are on the J3 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kagoshima United and Kochi United have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.