FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys Prediction

FK Tobol Kostanay
4-2
Finished
HT 3-2
Zhenys
Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay·D. Sakhi 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
FK Tobol Kostanay Rest
7 days
Zhenys Rest
6 days

FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys: result, form and history

FK Tobol Kostanay beat Zhenys 4-2 in the Premier League on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: FK Tobol Kostanay had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Zhenys.

Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.95
X
26%3.25
2
24%3.56
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
50%1.73
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'P. Kpozo
12'A. Talal
18'V. Lisakovich
33'A. Tagybergen
38'A. FilipovicAssist: S. Zharynbetov
58'S. Tursynbay
59'Z. Zhumashev
68'S. Tursynbay INA. Saulet out
68'R. Isaev INElder Santana out
69'Z. Tevzadze
70'Z. Zhumashev INU. Milovanovic out
72'S. Zharynbetov
75'B. Madelkhan INM. Bystrov out
75'Adilio INY. Besengaliyev out
77'N. Zhagorov
79'V. Lisakovich IND. Zhumat out
90+2'L. Imnadze

Lineups

FK Tobol Kostanay
4-2-3-1
Zhenys
4-4-2
Danil Ustimenko44D. Ustimenko
Nauryzbek Zhagorov21N. Zhagorov
Aleksandr Marochkin22A. Marochkin
Pape Alioune Ndiaye5P. Alioune Ndiaye
Antonio Boršić25A. Boršić
Askhat Tagybergen8A. Tagybergen
Maksim Myakish6M. Myakish
Zhaslan Zhumashev7Z. Zhumashev
Amine Talal14A. Talal
Luis Guerra30L. Guerra
Vitaliy Lisakovich99V. Lisakovich
Maksim Plotnikov41M. Plotnikov
Zurab Tevzadze5Z. Tevzadze
Ivan Šaravanja63I. Šaravanja
Sagadat Tursynbay13S. Tursynbay
Patrick Kpozo3P. Kpozo
Adílio19Adílio
Bayzhan Madelkhan18B. Madelkhan
Samat Zharynbetov29S. Zharynbetov
Luka Imnadze10L. Imnadze
Andrija Filipović11A. Filipović
Rasil Isaev90R. Isaev

FK Tobol Kostanay Substitutes

1Sultan Busurmanov
35Yuriy Melikhov
3Roman Asrankulov
4Nemanja Cavnić
72Rayan Senhadji
13Abdoulaye Cisse
17Aleksander Zuev
19Dauren Zhumat79'for V. Lisakovich
34Sultan Bakhytkiriev
18Uroš Milovanović70'for Z. Zhumashev

Zhenys Substitutes

14Ardak Saulet68'for S. Tursynbay
93Elder Santana Conceição68'for R. Isaev
1Ilya Sotnik
16Tamerlan Abuov
4Marat Bystrov75'for B. Madelkhan
17Aldair Adilov
51Daulet Khudaibergenov
72Mikael Askarov
69Farkhat Zhaguparov
9Vladyslav Naumets
97Ermuhammed Besengaliyev75'for Adilio

Team Comparison

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
ZhenysZhenys
1578Elo Rating 1492
2.14Attack 1.51
1.61Defense 0.79
56%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ZhenysZhenys
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay1Wins · 14%
Draws457%
ZhenysZhenys2Wins · 29%
2.1Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7

Previous meetings

Premier League03/05/2026
ZhenysFK Tobol Kostanay
10
Cup29/08/2025
ZhenysFK Tobol Kostanay
11
Premier League29/06/2025
FK Tobol KostanayZhenys
22
Cup25/06/2025
FK Tobol KostanayZhenys
21
Premier League08/03/2025
ZhenysFK Tobol Kostanay
00
Premier League04/10/2024
ZhenysFK Tobol Kostanay
21
Premier League27/04/2024
FK Tobol KostanayZhenys
11

Recent Form

FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay
5W0D5L
10/10/2026
FK Tobol KostanayFC Astana
21
W
17/09/2026
FK Tobol KostanayYelimay Semey
02
L
13/09/2026
Kairat AlmatyFK Tobol Kostanay
14
W
06/09/2026
FK Tobol KostanayUlytau
31
W
30/08/2026
KaspiyFK Tobol Kostanay
10
L
25/08/2026
FK Tobol KostanayKaisar
32
W
16/08/2026
IrtyshFK Tobol Kostanay
02
W
13/08/2026
FK Tobol KostanayFK Partizan
12
L
06/08/2026
FK PartizanFK Tobol Kostanay
30
L
02/08/2026
OrdabasyFK Tobol Kostanay
20
L
ZhenysZhenys
4W1D5L
10/10/2026
ZhenysAtyrau
12
L
18/09/2026
OkzhetpesZhenys
31
L
12/09/2026
ZhenysKyzyl-Zhar
31
W
09/09/2026
Kairat AlmatyZhenys
30
L
05/09/2026
AktobeZhenys
10
L
29/08/2026
ZhenysAltay
10
W
19/08/2026
ZhenysKaisar
32
W
15/08/2026
ZhenysZhetysu
41
W
02/08/2026
ZhenysYelimay Semey
00
D
29/07/2026
KaisarZhenys
31
L

Referee Profile

D. Sakhi3 matches analysed

3.71Cards per match
3.55Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 7% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy29215359:21+3868DWWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty29197359:22+3764DWWLL
3FC AstanaFC Astana29158646:29+1753DDWLW
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes29156845:37+851WWLWL
5AktobeAktobe29137944:37+746DLWDW
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey29129842:40+245DWWLW
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay291251240:39+141DWWLW
8UlytauUlytau29981227:35-835LLWDL
9ZhenysZhenys29891230:39-933DLLLW
10KaspiyKaspiy29961431:42-1133LDWWL
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar29861529:41-1230WLWDL
12IrtyshIrtysh29781429:44-1529WLLLW
13AltayAltay29691430:41-1127DDLLW
14AtyrauAtyrau295121224:35-1127LDLWL
15ZhetysuZhetysu29681529:47-1826DWLLL
16KaisarKaisar294131224:39-1525DLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy2959:2168
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2959:2264
3FC AstanaFC Astana2946:2953
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2945:3751
5AktobeAktobe2944:3746
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2942:4045
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2940:3941
8UlytauUlytau2927:3535
9ZhenysZhenys2930:3933
10KaspiyKaspiy2931:4233
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2929:4130
12IrtyshIrtysh2929:4429
13AltayAltay2930:4127
14AtyrauAtyrau2924:3527
15ZhetysuZhetysu2929:4726
16KaisarKaisar2924:3925
Relegation

About the FK Tobol Kostanay vs Zhenys forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FK Tobol Kostanay and Zhenys in the Premier League table

FK Tobol Kostanay and Zhenys are close in the Premier League table, 7th and 9th, with 8 points between them. League goal record so far: FK Tobol Kostanay 40-39, Zhenys 30-39. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

FK Tobol Kostanay have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.