Okzhetpes vs Kyzyl-Zhar Prediction

Okzhetpes
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Kyzyl-Zhar
Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau·G. Moskovchenko 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.27
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.0%
Okzhetpes Rest
6 days
Kyzyl-Zhar Rest
7 days

Okzhetpes vs Kyzyl-Zhar: the result in context

Okzhetpes beat Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 in the Premier League on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Okzhetpes had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Kyzyl-Zhar.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 7 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.09
X
28%3.35
2
27%3.22
Double Chance
1X
73%1.27
X2
55%1.63
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'T. Zhangylyshbay INS. Umarov out
61'V. VasiljevAssist: Z. Mukhametkhanov
62'S. Mukanov INV. Sovpel out
62'Z. Mukhametkhanov INN. Buribaev out
63'A. Abiken INE. Beugre out
72'S. Urosevic
76'S. Bahoken INT. Zhienaliev out
76'N. Gubarev INA. Cheredinov out
76'B. Abdumannonov INE. Nurgaliyev out
77'E. Nurgaliyev
80'S. Umarov
81'E. Makarenko INY. Pertsukh out
86'A. Sokolenko
90+2'D. Borodin INU. out

Lineups

Okzhetpes
3-4-3
Kyzyl-Zhar
5-4-1
Miroslav Lobantsev22M. Lobantsev
Ivan Kuzmichev63I. Kuzmichev
Leonardo De Assunpcao5L. De Assunpcao
Borys Lototskyi3B. Lototskyi
Sayan Mukanov14S. Mukanov
Dmitri Borodin9D. Borodin
Marcio Rodriguez Velasco25M. Rodriguez Velasco
Vladislav Vassiljev47V. Vassiljev
Zhansultan Mukhametkhanov6Z. Mukhametkhanov
Toktar Zhangylyshbay11T. Zhangylyshbay
Bektemir Abdumannonov91B. Abdumannonov
Dumitru Celeadnic1D. Celeadnic
Aleksandr Sokolenko71A. Sokolenko
Oleksandr Noyok55O. Noyok
Nedeljko Piščević23N. Piščević
Slobodan Urošević28S. Urošević
Nikita Gubarev27N. Gubarev
Jóannes Bjartalíð10J. Bjartalíð
Yevhen Makarenko8Y. Makarenko
Aibol Abiken96A. Abiken
Liridon Latifi77L. Latifi
Stéphane Bahoken13S. Bahoken

Okzhetpes Substitutes

17Shakhboz Umarov46'for T. Zhangylyshbay80'
12Aleksandr Dovgal
2Zhalgas Zhaksylykov
4Viktor Zyabko
7Vladimir Vomenko
8Nurgaini Buribayev62'for Z. Mukhametkhanov
16Beksultan Shamshi
20Mokhammed Ensebaev
67Ravil Atykhanov
77Vasili Sovpel62'for S. Mukanov
10Erkebulan Nurgaliyev
90Usevalad Sadovski90+2'for D. Borodin

Kyzyl-Zhar Substitutes

32Vadim Petrov
53Dulat Talyspayev
11Artem Cheredinov76'for N. Gubarev
17Miras Eleukin
7Timur Muldinov
19Dimash Serikuly
79Gleb Valgushev
88Yuriy Pertsukh81'for E. Makarenko
29Gleb Loginovskiy
47Temirlan Zhienaliev76'for S. Bahoken
78Sulemen Zhetpisbay
99Etienne Beugre63'for A. Abiken

Team Comparison

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar
1565Elo Rating 1461
1.68Attack 0.97
2.16Defense 2.18
66%Hit Rate 46%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+104 Elo
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes4Wins · 57%
Draws00%
Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar3Wins · 43%
3.0Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7

Previous meetings

Premier League02/05/2026
Kyzyl-ZharOkzhetpes
01
Premier League13/09/2025
Kyzyl-ZharOkzhetpes
31
Premier League31/05/2025
OkzhetpesKyzyl-Zhar
32
Premier League01/10/2023
Kyzyl-ZharOkzhetpes
12
Premier League15/03/2023
OkzhetpesKyzyl-Zhar
01
Premier League17/10/2020
OkzhetpesKyzyl-Zhar
21
Premier League01/07/2020
Kyzyl-ZharOkzhetpes
31

Recent Form

OkzhetpesOkzhetpes
6W0D4L
11/10/2026
UlytauOkzhetpes
20
L
18/09/2026
OkzhetpesZhenys
31
W
13/09/2026
IrtyshOkzhetpes
21
L
05/09/2026
OkzhetpesOrdabasy
21
W
29/08/2026
KaisarOkzhetpes
23
W
16/08/2026
AtyrauOkzhetpes
02
W
09/08/2026
FC AstanaOkzhetpes
21
L
02/08/2026
OkzhetpesAltay
41
W
25/07/2026
AktobeOkzhetpes
21
L
18/07/2026
OkzhetpesZhetysu
20
W
Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar
3W4D3L
10/10/2026
IrtyshKyzyl-Zhar
02
W
18/09/2026
Kyzyl-ZharKaisar
11
D
12/09/2026
ZhenysKyzyl-Zhar
31
L
05/09/2026
Kyzyl-ZharAtyrau
01
L
29/08/2026
OrdabasyKyzyl-Zhar
30
L
16/08/2026
Kyzyl-ZharFC Astana
11
D
08/08/2026
AltayKyzyl-Zhar
22
D
01/08/2026
Kyzyl-ZharAktobe
31
W
25/07/2026
ZhetysuKyzyl-Zhar
12
W
18/07/2026
Kyzyl-ZharFK Tobol Kostanay
11
D

Referee Profile

G. Moskovchenko5 matches analysed

3.13Cards per match
3.00Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 0% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrdabasyOrdabasy29215359:21+3868DWWWW
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty29197359:22+3764DWWLL
3FC AstanaFC Astana29158646:29+1753DDWLW
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes29156845:37+851WWLWL
5AktobeAktobe29137944:37+746DLWDW
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey29129842:40+245DWWLW
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay291251240:39+141DWWLW
8UlytauUlytau29981227:35-835LLWDL
9ZhenysZhenys29891230:39-933DLLLW
10KaspiyKaspiy29961431:42-1133LDWWL
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar29861529:41-1230WLWDL
12IrtyshIrtysh29781429:44-1529WLLLW
13AltayAltay29691430:41-1127DDLLW
14AtyrauAtyrau295121224:35-1127LDLWL
15ZhetysuZhetysu29681529:47-1826DWLLL
16KaisarKaisar294131224:39-1525DLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1OrdabasyOrdabasy2959:2168
2Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2959:2264
3FC AstanaFC Astana2946:2953
4OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2945:3751
5AktobeAktobe2944:3746
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2942:4045
7FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2940:3941
8UlytauUlytau2927:3535
9ZhenysZhenys2930:3933
10KaspiyKaspiy2931:4233
11Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2929:4130
12IrtyshIrtysh2929:4429
13AltayAltay2930:4127
14AtyrauAtyrau2924:3527
15ZhetysuZhetysu2929:4726
16KaisarKaisar2924:3925
Relegation

About the Okzhetpes vs Kyzyl-Zhar forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Okzhetpes and Kyzyl-Zhar in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, Okzhetpes are 4th and Kyzyl-Zhar 11th, 21 points apart. League goal record so far: Okzhetpes 45-37, Kyzyl-Zhar 29-41. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kyzyl-Zhar have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.