Leicester vs Oxford United Prediction
England · Regular Season - 5
King Power Stadium, Leicester 05/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-0.7%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Leicester Rest
3 days
Oxford United Rest
3 days
Leicester vs Oxford United: result, form and history
Oxford United beat Leicester 4-0 in the League One on 5 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
161%1.67
X26%3.90
213%4.60
Double Chance
1X87%1.17
X239%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.72
No49%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 0.99 = 2.55
Over 1.575%1.24
Over 2.553%1.75
Over 3.527%2.79
Under 1.525%3.80
Under 2.547%2.04
Under 3.573%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4 = 10.3
Over 8.564%1.25
Over 9.554%1.40
Over 10.548%1.67
Under 8.536%3.60
Under 9.546%2.74
Under 10.552%2.08
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.559%-
Over 4.539%-
Under 3.541%-
Under 4.561%-
Match Events
8'M. HarrisAssist: M. Missanga
34'Kai AndrewsFoul
46'B. De Cordova-Reid INK. Doyle out
49'Emil Riis JacobsenFoul
56'W. Burns INH. Howell out
56'W. Alves INT. Watson out
57'M. MissangaAssist: K. Andrews
59'C. McFarlane INO. Aluko out
60'M. HarrisAssist: K. Andrews
61'M. Missanga INL. Lynch out
69'E. Riis INA. Bristric out
70'S. Dembele INT. Goodrham out
70'M. Harris ING. O'Donkor out
77'J. McDonnellAssist: L. Lynch
81'C. Brannagan INJ. Currie out
81'P. Kioso INL. Sibley out
Lineups
LeicesterOxford United
Leicester Starting XI
29A. McCarthy
2J. Joseph
15H. SouttarC
33L. Thomas
18C. McFarlane59'replaced by O. Aluko
25L. Page
7W. Burns56'replaced by H. Howell
14B. De Cordova-Reid46'replaced by K. Doyle
36S. Braybrooke
37W. Alves56'replaced by T. Watson
17E. Riis49'69'replaced by A. Bristric
Avg rating
Oxford United Starting XI
13S. Eastwood
30P. Kioso81'replaced by L. Sibley
6M. Helik
3C. Brown
15B. Spencer
8C. BrannaganC81'replaced by J. Currie
18J. McDonnell77'
57M. Missanga57'61'replaced by L. Lynch
4K. Andrews34'
23S. Dembele70'replaced by T. Goodrham
9M. Harris8'60'70'replaced by G. O'Donkor
Avg rating
Leicester Substitutes
21F. Ravizzoli
16W. O'Hora
32O. Aluko59'for C. McFarlane
27K. Doyle46'for B. De Cordova-Reid
20H. Howell56'for W. Burns
9A. Bristric69'for E. Riis
23T. Watson56'for W. Alves
Oxford United Substitutes
1J. Cumming
2S. Long
26J. Currie81'for C. Brannagan
32L. Sibley81'for P. Kioso
20L. Lynch61'for M. Missanga
11T. Goodrham70'for S. Dembele
19G. O'Donkor70'for M. Harris
Match Stats
LeicesterOxford United 63%Ball Possession37%
10Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
11Fouls16
2Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves4
521Total Passes307
458Passes Accurate250
88%Pass Accuracy81%
Team Comparison
LeicesterOxford United1613Elo Rating 1624
2.29Attack 1.11
1.95Defense 2.50
63%Hit Rate 61%
14.3Shots per Game 13.9
6.0Shots on Target 4.2
6.6Corners per Game 5.0
2.1Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Leicester- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Oxford United- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Leicester0Wins · 0%Draws150%
Oxford United1Wins · 50%
1Wins · 50%3.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2
Previous meetings
24/01/2026LeicesterOxford United12
13/09/2025Oxford UnitedLeicester22
Recent Form
Leicester4W3D3L
01/09/2026Leicester
Plymouth
LeicesterPlymouth20
W29/08/2026
Milton Keynes DonsLeicester
25/08/2026Milton Keynes DonsLeicester00
D
IpswichLeicester31
L22/08/2026Leicester
Burton Albion12
L15/08/2026
Notts CountyLeicester
08/08/2026Notts CountyLeicester11
DLeicester
Northampton10
W01/08/2026Leicester
Genoa
LeicesterGenoa01
L25/07/2026
MalagaLeicester
MalagaLeicester33
D22/07/2026
CadizLeicester
CadizLeicester01
W18/07/2026Burton AlbionLeicester
Burton AlbionLeicester03
WOxford United6W1D3L
01/09/2026
HuddersfieldOxford United
HuddersfieldOxford United31
L22/08/2026
StevenageOxford United
StevenageOxford United12
W15/08/2026Oxford UnitedMilton Keynes Dons
08/08/2026Oxford UnitedMilton Keynes Dons22
D
Leyton OrientOxford United20
L01/08/2026Oxford UnitedIpswich
Oxford UnitedIpswich20
W28/07/2026Oxford United
Crawley Town
Oxford UnitedCrawley Town31
W25/07/2026
BarnetOxford United
BarnetOxford United12
W21/07/2026
Aldershot TownOxford United
Aldershot TownOxford United13
W02/05/2026
MillwallOxford United
MillwallOxford United20
L25/04/2026Oxford United
Sheffield Wednesday
Oxford UnitedSheffield Wednesday41
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 27:11 | +16 | 28 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | +12 | 26 | WLDWW |
| 3 | Oxford United | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | +9 | 23 | DWDWD |
| 4 |  Luton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | +2 | 23 | DWLLW |
| 6 |  Reading | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:13 | +12 | 22 | DWWLW |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | +2 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 0 | 21 | LDLDW |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | +8 | 20 | DDLLW |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:19 | +3 | 19 | DWLWW |
| 11 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:20 | +2 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 12 |  Mansfield Town | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:18 | +2 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | +5 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 17 | LWDDL |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 16 | DLWLW |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 | WDWLL |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 13 | LDLLL |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 12 | DLWLL |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 | LLWLL |
| 21 |  Wigan | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 11:22 | -11 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 | LDLDW |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 9 | DLLLL |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:33 | -20 | 9 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 13 | 27:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 12 | 20:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Luton | 13 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading | 13 | 25:13 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford | 13 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge United | 14 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Mansfield Town | 12 | 20:18 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 13 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 13:33 | 9 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More League One matches
About the Leicester vs Oxford United forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Leicester and Oxford United in the League One table
In the League One table, Oxford United are 3rd and Leicester 10th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Leicester 22-19, Oxford United 20-11. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Leicester have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Oxford United have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Leicester and Oxford United have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.