Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas Prediction
Mexico · Semi-finals
Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas: what the numbers say
This is a meeting of two teams in form, with 3 wins from five for Leones Negros UDG and 3 for Monarcas. It is a knockout tie in the Liga de Expansión MX, played on 15 Nov 2026.
Leones Negros UDG have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Monarcas tend to win more corners, 8.0 a game to 4.0 for Leones Negros UDG.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Team Comparison
Leones Negros UDG
MonarcasAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Leones Negros UDG- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Monarcas- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Leones Negros UDG7Wins · 70%3Wins · 30%Previous meetings
20/09/2026MonarcasLeones Negros UDG05/04/2026Leones Negros UDGMonarcas27/10/2025MonarcasLeones Negros UDG11/05/2025Leones Negros UDGMonarcas04/05/2025MonarcasLeones Negros UDG21/03/2025Leones Negros UDGMonarcas06/10/2024MonarcasLeones Negros UDG05/04/2024MonarcasLeones Negros UDG19/11/2023Leones Negros UDGMonarcas16/11/2023MonarcasLeones Negros UDGRecent Form
Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
DurangoDurangoLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
Tepatitlán
Mineros de ZacatecasLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Venados FCLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
Dorados
Cruz Azul HidalgoLeones Negros UDGMonarcasLeones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG
CA La PazMonarcasMonarcasVenados FCVenados FCMonarcasDurangoMonarcas
TapatíoMonarcasMonarcas
CDS Tampico MaderoTepatitlánMonarcasMonarcas
TlaxcalaVenados FCMonarcasMonarcasLeones Negros UDGMineros de ZacatecasMonarcasBracket
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | +18 | 30 | WWDWL |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | +14 | 30 | WWLDW |
| 3 | Monarcas | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | +7 | 26 | LWLDD |
| 4 |  Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | +12 | 25 | DWWLW |
| 5 |  Cancún | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | +10 | 25 | WWDDW |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | +6 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 7 | Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | +6 | 24 | WLWDW |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | +2 | 22 | WWDWD |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 | WWWWL |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 0 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 11 | Tapatío | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 12 |  Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Dorados | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | -9 | 16 | LLWLL |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 15 | LLWDL |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | -7 | 14 | LLWWD |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | -33 | 7 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 36:18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros UDG | 15 | 34:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Monarcas | 15 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 27:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancún | 15 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 31:25 | 25 |
| 7 | Durango | 15 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 29:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 15:25 | 22 |
| 10 | Mineros de Zacatecas | 15 | 26:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 15 | 25:28 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos Uat | 15 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados | 15 | 23:32 | 16 |
| 14 | CDS Tampico Madero | 15 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 11:44 | 7 |
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This match
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About the Leones Negros UDG vs Monarcas forecast
As a knockout tie in the Liga de Expansión MX, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Leones Negros UDG and Monarcas in the Liga de Expansión MX table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Leones Negros UDG are 2nd in the Liga de Expansión MX, 4 points ahead of Monarcas in 3rd. League goal record so far: Leones Negros UDG 34-20, Monarcas 26-19. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.