Tapatío vs Monarcas Prediction

Tapatío
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Monarcas
Estadio Akron, Zapopan·E. Miranda 26/10/2026
TapatíoTapatío
1-2
Finished
MonarcasMonarcas

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-6.6%
Tapatío Rest
7 days
Monarcas Rest
7 days

Tapatío vs Monarcas: result, form and history

Monarcas beat Tapatío 2-1 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.09
X
27%3.58
2
44%2.02
Double Chance
1X
56%1.72
X2
71%1.30
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'D. De BuenFoul
28'D. De Buen
31'D. CovarrubiasUnsportsmanlike conduct
42'C. SoldatiUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+1'R. del CampoFoul
55'M. Dominguez INM. Nambo out
55'J. MartinezFoul
56'M. Rodriguez INR. Lopez Aburto out
64'M. NamboAssist: R. del Campo
67'L. Torres INC. Medina out
67'G. Gutierrez ING. Garcia out
71'D. VillasecaUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'R. del Campo INA. Flores out
75'J. Martinez ING. Martinez out
76'J. Uribe INL. Ledesma out
76'L. LedesmaSerious foul
77'D. DelgadilloFoul
78'D. Covarrubias INL. Jimenez out
81'D. Villaseca IND. Latorre out
86'V. Moragrega(Penalty)
88'A. AndradeUnsportsmanlike conduct
88'V. MoragregaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

TapatíoTapatío
MonarcasMonarcas
1492Elo Rating 1553
1.87Attack 1.14
0.48Defense 1.71
37%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TapatíoTapatío
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.7 in second half)
MonarcasMonarcas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TapatíoTapatío5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
MonarcasMonarcas2Wins · 20%
1.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga de Expansión MX23/03/2026
TapatíoMonarcas
21
Liga de Expansión MX12/10/2025
MonarcasTapatío
00
Liga de Expansión MX18/01/2025
TapatíoMonarcas
10
Liga de Expansión MX02/08/2024
MonarcasTapatío
14
Liga de Expansión MX18/02/2024
TapatíoMonarcas
00
Liga de Expansión MX18/09/2023
MonarcasTapatío
00
Liga de Expansión MX21/05/2023
TapatíoMonarcas
2122
Liga de Expansión MX18/05/2023
MonarcasTapatío
12
Liga de Expansión MX10/02/2023
MonarcasTapatío
20
Liga de Expansión MX16/07/2022
TapatíoMonarcas
20

Recent Form

TapatíoTapatío
4W1D5L
18/10/2026
DurangoTapatío
50
L
14/10/2026
TapatíoTepatitlán
41
W
10/10/2026
TapatíoCA La Paz
24
L
04/10/2026
CancúnTapatío
10
L
21/09/2026
TapatíoTlaxcala
40
W
13/09/2026
DoradosTapatío
31
L
07/09/2026
TapatíoLeones Negros UDG
13
L
28/08/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaTapatío
11
D
24/08/2026
TapatíoMineros de Zacatecas
42
W
15/08/2026
Correcaminos UatTapatío
23
W
MonarcasMonarcas
5W2D3L
18/10/2026
MonarcasCDS Tampico Madero
12
L
10/10/2026
TepatitlánMonarcas
11
D
04/10/2026
MonarcasTlaxcala
11
D
27/09/2026
Venados FCMonarcas
21
L
20/09/2026
MonarcasLeones Negros UDG
20
W
13/09/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasMonarcas
01
W
06/09/2026
MonarcasAlebrijes de Oaxaca
41
W
29/08/2026
DoradosMonarcas
01
W
21/08/2026
MonarcasCorrecaminos Uat
13
L
15/08/2026
Cruz Azul HidalgoMonarcas
12
W

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1483333:18+1527WDWLW
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1483331:19+1227WLDWW
3MonarcasMonarcas1482425:16+926WLDDL
4PiratasPiratas1473426:14+1224WWLWL
5Venados FCVenados FC1473431:25+624WDDWW
6CancúnCancún1464426:18+822WDDWL
7DurangoDurango1463518:14+421LWDWW
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1454527:27019WDWDW
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1461714:25-1119WWWLL
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1453626:25+118LLDLW
11TapatíoTapatío1452724:27-317LLWLL
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1444621:24-316LLLDW
13DoradosDorados1444623:29-616LWLLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1443715:23-815LWDLL
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1435617:22-514LWWDL
16TepatitlánTepatitlán14211110:41-317LLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1433:1827
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1431:1927
3MonarcasMonarcas1425:1626
4PiratasPiratas1426:1424
5Venados FCVenados FC1431:2524
6CancúnCancún1426:1822
7DurangoDurango1418:1421
8TlaxcalaTlaxcala1427:2719
9Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1414:2519
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1426:2518
11TapatíoTapatío1424:2717
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1421:2416
13DoradosDorados1423:2916
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1415:2315
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1417:2214
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1410:417
Promotion

About the Tapatío vs Monarcas forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tapatío and Monarcas in the Liga de Expansión MX table

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Monarcas are 3rd and Tapatío 11th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Tapatío 24-27, Monarcas 25-16. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Monarcas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.