Piratas vs Tapatío Prediction

Piratas
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Tapatío
PiratasPiratas
1-1
Finished
TapatíoTapatío

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-9.1%
Value Analysis
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Piratas Rest
7 days
Tapatío Rest
6 days

Piratas vs Tapatío: the result in context

Piratas and Tapatío drew 1-1 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 1 Nov 2026. Piratas had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Tapatío.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.25
X
17%5.50
2
13%8.55
Double Chance
1X
87%1.06
X2
30%3.38
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'V. MoragregaFoul
33'J. VenegasFoul
55'J. Clemente INC. Fernandez out
59'L. Calderon INS. Esparza out
60'S. ZamoraFoul
64'D. VillasecaAssist: L. Torres
75'J. Uribe INL. Jimenez out
75'J. Venegas INR. Gonzalez out
75'L. Torres INC. Medina out
75'B. Figueroa INF. Garcia out
75'K. Y. Jaime Sanchez ING. Lopez out
82'C. Hernandez IND. Delgadillo out
82'D. Villaseca INC. Corona out
85'O. Soto INI. Doumbouya out
89'R. GonzalezAssist: C. Fernandez
90+1'A. ChavezFoul

Team Comparison

PiratasPiratas
TapatíoTapatío
1586Elo Rating 1480
3.09Attack 1.38
1.80Defense 0.32
66%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+106 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

PiratasPiratas
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 1.1 in first half)
TapatíoTapatío
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)

Recent Form

PiratasPiratas
5W2D3L
25/10/2026
DoradosPiratas
05
W
18/10/2026
PiratasTepatitlán
30
W
11/10/2026
TlaxcalaPiratas
42
L
04/10/2026
PiratasAlebrijes de Oaxaca
40
W
25/09/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasPiratas
30
L
19/09/2026
PiratasVenados FC
21
W
11/09/2026
Cruz Azul HidalgoPiratas
11
D
06/09/2026
PiratasCorrecaminos Uat
41
W
30/08/2026
Leones Negros UDGPiratas
11
D
23/08/2026
PiratasCancún
01
L
TapatíoTapatío
3W1D6L
26/10/2026
TapatíoMonarcas
12
L
18/10/2026
DurangoTapatío
50
L
14/10/2026
TapatíoTepatitlán
41
W
10/10/2026
TapatíoCA La Paz
24
L
04/10/2026
CancúnTapatío
10
L
21/09/2026
TapatíoTlaxcala
40
W
13/09/2026
DoradosTapatío
31
L
07/09/2026
TapatíoLeones Negros UDG
13
L
28/08/2026
Alebrijes de OaxacaTapatío
11
D
24/08/2026
TapatíoMineros de Zacatecas
42
W

League Table

Liga de Expansión MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CA La PazCA La Paz1593336:18+1830WWDWL
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1483331:19+1227WLDWW
3MonarcasMonarcas1482425:16+926WLDDL
4Venados FCVenados FC1574431:25+625DWDDW
5PiratasPiratas1473426:14+1224WWLWL
6CancúnCancún1464426:18+822WDDWL
7TlaxcalaTlaxcala1564529:27+222WWDWD
8Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1571715:25-1022WWWWL
9DurangoDurango1463518:14+421LWDWW
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1553726:26018LLLDL
11TapatíoTapatío1452724:27-317LLWLL
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1545621:24-317DLLLD
13DoradosDorados1544723:32-916LLWLL
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1443715:23-815LWDLL
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1535717:24-714LLWWD
16TepatitlánTepatitlán14211110:41-317LLLDW
#TeamMPGPts
1CA La PazCA La Paz1536:1830
2Leones Negros UDGLeones Negros UDG1431:1927
3MonarcasMonarcas1425:1626
4Venados FCVenados FC1531:2525
5PiratasPiratas1426:1424
6CancúnCancún1426:1822
7TlaxcalaTlaxcala1529:2722
8Alebrijes de OaxacaAlebrijes de Oaxaca1515:2522
9DurangoDurango1418:1421
10Mineros de ZacatecasMineros de Zacatecas1526:2618
11TapatíoTapatío1424:2717
12Correcaminos UatCorrecaminos Uat1521:2417
13DoradosDorados1523:3216
14CDS Tampico MaderoCDS Tampico Madero1415:2315
15Cruz Azul HidalgoCruz Azul Hidalgo1517:2414
16TepatitlánTepatitlán1410:417
Promotion

About the Piratas vs Tapatío forecast

The forecasts for this Liga de Expansión MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Piratas and Tapatío in the Liga de Expansión MX table

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Piratas are 5th and Tapatío 11th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Piratas 26-14, Tapatío 24-27. The full standings are on the Liga de Expansión MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Piratas have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Piratas and Tapatío have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.